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Petersen vs UsmanPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Petersen vs UsmanPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Petersen v Usman
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Petersen 10-4
VS
12-4 Usman
6'1"
height
6'2"
246 lb
weight
244 lb
74"
reach
79"
31
age
37
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
4.6
strikes landed / min
3.9
55%
striking accuracy
44%
2.6
strikes absorbed / min
3.2
54%
striking defence
57%
2.1
takedowns / 15 min
2.5
36%
takedown accuracy
66%
78%
takedown defence
61%
0.3
submissions / 15 min
2.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Thomas Petersen VALUE
“first Underdog of the night with Thomas Petersen he seems to be a bigger heavyweight than Newman's on the 234 plus back in the country... I'm taking my first Underdog pick as well... I do not rate Mohammed Usman one little bit... I look this a't even a contest you know I mean we're going with Mohammed Usman over here wait no Thomas Petersen wait... riding with Thomas Petersen wait transcript correction based on context Thomas Petersen picks stated.”
The Rambling Dad picks Thomas Petersen VALUE
“first Underdog of the night with Thomas Petersen he seems to be a bigger heavyweight than Newman's on the 234 plus back in the country... I'm taking my first Underdog pick as well... I do not rate Mohammed Usman one little bit... I look this a't even a contest you know I mean we're going with Mohammed Usman over here wait no Thomas Petersen wait... riding with Thomas Petersen wait transcript correction based on context Thomas Petersen picks stated.”
BO
BobbyBoy picks Mohammed Usman
“my first pick is Mohammed Mohammed Usman over Thomas Petersen I think Thomas Petersen's going to gas out his cardio tank is not that well I mean neither is Mohammed Usman but Mohammed Usman does have Kamar as his brother which helps in terms of IQ big time and I think that uh Mohammed Usman will actually win in the distance”
BobbyBoy picks Mohammed Usman
“my first pick is Mohammed Mohammed Usman over Thomas Petersen I think Thomas Petersen's going to gas out his cardio tank is not that well I mean neither is Mohammed Usman but Mohammed Usman does have Kamar as his brother which helps in terms of IQ big time and I think that uh Mohammed Usman will actually win in the distance”
KU
KultureCombatMMA-(Justin) picks Mohammed Usman
“so Mohammed Usman will be the pick in this one”
KultureCombatMMA-(Justin) picks Mohammed Usman
“so Mohammed Usman will be the pick in this one”
I9
i9ines picks Mohammed Usman
“I'm going to be taking Mohammed Usman by a decision”
i9ines picks Mohammed Usman
“I'm going to be taking Mohammed Usman by a decision”
OT
otsmedia picks Mohammed Usman VALUE
“I'm going with Usman here I think this fight is going to be sloppy as hell and I won't be surprised if we end up in the third round and it's just a [ __ ] gas Fest uh but I like I like Mohamed Usman to come out on top on this one”
$1.79
otsmedia picks Mohammed Usman VALUE
“I'm going with Usman here I think this fight is going to be sloppy as hell and I won't be surprised if we end up in the third round and it's just a [ __ ] gas Fest uh but I like I like Mohamed Usman to come out on top on this one”
$1.79
FM
Fresh Start MMA picks Mohammed Usman VALUE
“I took Mohammed Usman Luana Carolina Lee Jeong-yeong Jeong-yeong and Cody Cody Durden those four right there got me plus 8.96”
Fresh Start MMA picks Mohammed Usman VALUE
“I took Mohammed Usman Luana Carolina Lee Jeong-yeong Jeong-yeong and Cody Cody Durden those four right there got me plus 8.96”
WT
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Mohammed Usman VALUE
“I think Mohamed dusman is the pick”
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Mohammed Usman VALUE
“I think Mohamed dusman is the pick”
UB
UFC Brasil picks Thomas Petersen
“we begin in the heavyweight division Thomas Petersen takes on Mohammed Usman”
UFC Brasil picks Thomas Petersen
“we begin in the heavyweight division Thomas Petersen takes on Mohammed Usman”
MM
MMAWeekly.com picks Thomas Petersen
“we begin in the EVENT_DETAILS Thomas Petersen takes on Mohammed Usman”
MMAWeekly.com picks Thomas Petersen
“we begin in the EVENT_DETAILS Thomas Petersen takes on Mohammed Usman”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Petersen10-4
W
Pat
Apr '26
L
Petrino
Oct '25
W
Mayes
May '25
L
Gaziev
Feb '25
W
Usman
Jul '24
Usman12-4
W
Abdelwahab
Jun '25
L
Petersen
Jul '24
L
Parkin
Mar '24
W
Collier
Sep '23
W
Pauga
Aug '22