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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Volkov v Pavlovich Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus56 picks · conf 71/99
Volkov 21
35 Pavlovich
bPBLWS pick Volkov
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Volkov 39-11 VS 20-3 Pavlovich
6'7" height 6'3"
261 lb weight 255 lb
80" reach 84"
37 age 34
Orthodox stance Southpaw
5.1 strikes landed / min 3.1
57% striking accuracy 44%
3.0 strikes absorbed / min 3.3
55% striking defence 66%
0.5 takedowns / 15 min 1.8
63% takedown accuracy 25%
73% takedown defence 64%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 1.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MJ MMA JOEY picks Alexander Volkov “renat gets it done via Split Decision”
LM Leftlane MMA picks Sergei Pavlovich “I picked Sergei Sergei Pavlovichvlovichh obviously I thought he would catch him”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Alexander Volkov VALUE “Alexander Volkov favorite at two to five ... I'm on Alexander Volkov as well ... I'm going with Alexander Volkov on this one”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Alexander Volkov “I picked Tom Aspen” $2.85
NS Nikki Stickz picks Sergei Pavlovich “we got Sergei Pavlovich on this one though”
WT WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Alexander Volkov VALUE “I love Alexander Volkov leaning into the questioning too I mean that was just great what do you remember from training I don't know I just woke up in the locker room like okay he's just leaning into funny subtle jab at the power of pavich” $4.00
CC Cody's Calls picks Sergei Pavlovich “give me pavich by TKO in the first round Sergei Pavlovich pavich is my man bro”
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Alexander Volkov “vov could win a lot of the Striking exchanges at times”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Alexander Volkov VALUE “I've been picking Alexander dragov Alexander Volkov to win” $3.07
I9 i9ines picks Sergei Pavlovich “I'm going to trust Sergei Pavlovich Landing his bombs getting Alexander Volkov out in the first round”
MK Morning Kombat picks Alexander Volkov “I want to give Alexander Volkov here shot”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Alexander Volkov VALUE “I'll take some plus 200 pre-fight small”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Volkov39-11
W Cortes-Acosta Decision · R3 May '26
W Almeida Decision · R3 Oct '25
L Gane Decision · R3 Dec '24
W Pavlovich Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Tuivasa Submission · R2 Sep '23
Pavlovich20-3
W Teixeira KO/TKO · R1 May '26
W Cortes-Acosta Decision · R3 Aug '25
W Rozenstruik Decision · R3 Feb '25
L Volkov Decision · R3 Jun '24
L Aspinall KO/TKO · R1 Nov '23