MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov
Choose a fight to analyse
RW IA Whittaker vs AliskerovMain Card · Middleweight AV SP Volkov vs PavlovichMain Card · Heavyweight KG DR Gastelum vs RodriguezMain Card · Middleweight SM AT Magomedov vs TrócoliMain Card · Middleweight VO JW Oezdemir vs WalkerMain Card · Light Heavyweight NH JG Haqparast vs GordonPreliminary Card · Lightweight FL MN Lima vs NaimovPreliminary Card · Featherweight RF ND Fakhretdinov vs DalbyPreliminary Card · Welterweight MG KK Gafurov vs Kyung-hoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight MG BR Gadzhiyasulov vs RibeiroPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight LC XL Chang-ho vs LongPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Haqparast v Gordon Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Consensus47 picks · conf 67/99
Haqparast 39
8 Gordon
PFHBLT pick Haqparast
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Haqparast 17-5 VS 21-8 Gordon
5'10" height 5'9"
156 lb weight 156 lb
72" reach 68"
30 age 37
Southpaw stance Orthodox
6.2 strikes landed / min 2.9
44% striking accuracy 48%
5.7 strikes absorbed / min 2.0
62% striking defence 62%
0.3 takedowns / 15 min 2.6
20% takedown accuracy 61%
84% takedown defence 81%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 1.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MJ MMA JOEY picks Nasrat Haqparast “this was a split decision win for nazrat I agreed with the decision”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Nasrat Haqparast VALUE “I'm going with Nasrat Haqparast Nasrat Haqparast is my Peck same card as Kelvin”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Nasrat Haqparast “my subscribers and I went with um Nasrat Haqparastas” $1.43
NS Nikki Stickz picks Nasrat Haqparast “I'm going to go with Nasrat Haqparast on this one”
BO Botmfeeder picks Jared Gordon “I'm probably going to go with Jared Gordon I think Jared Gordon is the better Striker I think he mixes it up better”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Jared Gordon VALUE “I do see Jared Gordon pulling it off I just hate Jared Gordon personally”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Nasrat Haqparast VALUE “I think nazrat HW Pros is going to win I think he pulls through” $1.43
I9 i9ines picks Nasrat Haqparast “I do think Nasrat Haqparast is going to win”
KC Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Nasrat Haqparast “I think Haas should win” $1.42
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Jared Gordon “nazrat is Young still he's the much younger fighter in this fight he has a cardio advantage”
BE BetSam picks Nasrat Haqparast “give me Nasrat Haqparast give me the Moroccan gentleman and I think he kind of styles on Jared Gordon here and gets like a 3027 Victory” $1.45
TP The City Life Project picks Jared Gordon “I am going to go with Nazar hack parz” $1.44
Recent form last five, most recent first
Haqparast17-5
L Salkilld KO/TKO · R1 Oct '25
W Ribovics Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Gordon Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Mullarkey KO/TKO · R1 Dec '23
W Quiñones Decision · R3 Sep '23
Gordon21-8
L Miller Submission · R1 May '26
L García KO/TKO · R3 Sep '25
W Moisés KO/TKO · R1 May '25
L Haqparast Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Madsen KO/TKO · R1 Nov '23