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UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Nascimento
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Ricci v Pennington Women'S Strawweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus35 picks · conf 58/99
Ricci 20
15 Pennington
PPFJSM pick Ricci
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Ricci 12-3 VS 14-7 Pennington
5'1" height 5'1"
115 lb weight 114 lb
61" reach 61"
31 age 36
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.2 strikes landed / min 4.8
36% striking accuracy 47%
5.3 strikes absorbed / min 3.5
57% striking defence 61%
2.7 takedowns / 15 min 0.6
37% takedown accuracy 14%
81% takedown defence 63%
0.1 submissions / 15 min 0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Tabatha Ricci VALUE “I'm taking REI to win the fight taking her to win over Tecia Pennington”
ZP Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Tabatha Ricci “I'm going to go with Tabatha Ricci on this one”
WP We Want Picks picks Tabatha Ricci VALUE “I do think tabii wins this fight”
MB Matty Betss picks Tabatha Ricci “I lean Tecia Pennington here I I shouldn't say I've leaned I I already deployed when her line was better” $1.69
MB Matty Betss picks Tecia Pennington VALUE “I lean Tecia Pennington especially with striking criteria the scoring criteria favoring Strikers” $2.30
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Tabatha Ricci VALUE “I'm picking Tabatha Ricci because I believe she's more in her prime... I'll go Tabitha” $1.71
MM MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Tabatha Ricci “I'm going to go with tabat thei I feel like she's just going to be a little bit sharper overall and uh be able to get the job done here so give me to with the REI to win this one V DEC”
MN MMA Lock of the Night picks Tecia Pennington “she'll utilize it defensively here to keep this fight standing where she should be able to use her better movement footwork and striking combinations to touch up tabari and win this fight on the scorecards”
DR DraftKings picks Tecia Pennington “I like Tecia Pennington ... give me Tecia Pennington plus ... SL 100 yep give me Tecia Pennington plus” $2.00
MD MMA Mic Drop picks Tabatha Ricci “I'm going to go with REI by decision”
MD MMA Mic Drop picks Tecia Pennington “I'm going to go with Penington by decision”
TD Twon DeSimone picks Tecia Pennington “I'm going Tecia Pennington to win here by unanimous decision”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Ricci12-3
L Jandiroba Decision · R3 Apr '26
W Ribas KO/TKO · R2 Jul '25
L Xiaonan Decision · R3 Nov '24
W Hill Decision · R3 Aug '24
W Pennington Decision · R3 May '24
Pennington14-7
L Gomes Decision · R3 Nov '25
W Pinheiro Decision · R3 May '25
W Esparza Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Ricci Decision · R3 May '24