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UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Moicano v Turner Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus55 picks · conf 71/99
Moicano 12
43 Turner
SNMTKP pick Moicano
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Moicano 20-7-1 VS 14-8 Turner
5'11" height 6'3"
155 lb weight 154 lb
72" reach 77"
37 age 31
Orthodox stance Southpaw
4.4 strikes landed / min 5.6
49% striking accuracy 48%
3.6 strikes absorbed / min 4.6
60% striking defence 41%
1.9 takedowns / 15 min 0.8
44% takedown accuracy 55%
72% takedown defence 74%
0.6 submissions / 15 min 1.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GM GLO MMA picks Jalin Turner “am going Jalin Turner ... what I'm going to go with Jalin Turner Jalin Turner moving up on the”
MP Mike's MMA Picks picks Jalin Turner “give me Jalin Turner to walk knockout give me Jalin Turner to walk”
TP The City Life Project picks Jalin Turner VALUE “I'm going with moyano on this one”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Jalin Turner “my subscribers and I picked um Jalin Turner”
EB ESPN BET picks Jalin Turner VALUE “give me Jalin Turner here listen moano is a fun guy money moano he's become a character good on the ground but Turner is a freak at this weight if he makes way with he did I think he even gets it done via knockout minus 245” $1.41
EB ESPN BET picks Renato Moicano “moano plus 200 here in a match up against a taller opponent I love Jalin Turner here” $3.00
GC Gethin Ellis Coaching picks Jalin Turner “then we've got Renato Moicano against Jalin Turner I think Jalin Turner uh wins that fight”
MN Mayo Media Network picks Renato Moicano VALUE “my salary play of the week I'm going to go with Renato Moicano at 7.3k”
WP We Want Picks picks Jalin Turner VALUE “I think Jalin Turner wins this fight”
TW Tim Welch picks Jalin Turner VALUE “I got Jalin Jalin Turner at more than 40.5 significant strikes”
KG Kelvin Gastelum picks Renato Moicano “I'm betting my money on money moano to win”
TP The Darce Podcast picks Jalin Turner VALUE “give me Jalin Turner money line as a parlay piece” $1.40
Recent form last five, most recent first
Moicano20-7-1
W Duncan Submission · R2 Apr '26
L Dariush Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Makhachev Submission · R1 Jan '25
W Denis KO/TKO · R2 Sep '24
W Turner KO/TKO · R2 Apr '24
Turner14-8
W Barboza KO/TKO · R1 Dec '25
L Bahamondes Submission · R1 Mar '25
L Moicano KO/TKO · R2 Apr '24
W Green KO/TKO · R1 Dec '23
L Hooker Decision · R3 Jul '23