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UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Garbrandt v Kelleher Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus47 picks · conf 67/99
Garbrandt 32
15 Kelleher
CSTB2E pick Garbrandt
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Garbrandt 0-0 VS 24-16 Kelleher
5'8" height 5'6"
136 lb weight 136 lb
65" reach 66"
34 age 39
Orthodox stance Switch
3.0 strikes landed / min 3.3
40% striking accuracy 41%
3.8 strikes absorbed / min 4.6
60% striking defence 54%
1.0 takedowns / 15 min 1.7
34% takedown accuracy 41%
80% takedown defence 60%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Cody Garbrandt “my subscribers also picked um Cody Cody Garbrandt to win”
LM Leftlane MMA picks Cody Garbrandt VALUE “I'm taking Cody garan um at the money line +192” $2.92
SM Scorecard MMA picks Cody Garbrandt “I think Cody bar brand probably takes this fight by KO or very comfortable decision”
EB ESPN BET picks Cody Garbrandt VALUE “I'm going Cody Garbrandt Durden as the underdog here”
EB ESPN BET picks Brian Kelleher “Fighter_M great fighter he's been out for a very long time bad neck injury”
ZP Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Cody Garbrandt “Cody garan's going to be the pick”
ZP Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Cody Garbrandt “Cody Garbrandt should win this fight he should be faster stay on the outside take him down a few times out Point Brian Kelleher”
WP We Want Picks picks Cody Garbrandt “I think he wins this fight”
PN Picks Nation picks Cody Garbrandt VALUE “I think he's a solid favorite”
LO Luke O'Libre picks Brian Kelleher VALUE “I'm taking the underdog on that one”
MB Michael Bisping picks Cody Garbrandt “I think CI can pull this one off”
TP The City Life Project picks Cody Garbrandt “I have Cody Garbrandt garbrandt winning this one”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Garbrandt0-0
W Long Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Barcelos Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Figueiredo Submission · R2 Apr '24
W Kelleher KO/TKO · R1 Dec '23
W Jones Decision · R3 Mar '23
Kelleher24-16
L Gibson Submission · R1 Jul '24
L Garbrandt KO/TKO · R1 Dec '23
L Bautista Submission · R1 Jun '22
L Nurmagomedov Submission · R1 Mar '22
W Croom Decision · R3 Jan '22