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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Gaziev v Buday Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus38 picks · conf 60/99
Gaziev 21
17 Buday
CBJTLU pick Gaziev
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Gaziev 14-2 VS 14-2 Buday
6'4" height 6'4"
262 lb weight 266 lb
78" reach 77"
36 age 34
Orthodox stance Orthodox
2.4 strikes landed / min 4.8
49% striking accuracy 53%
3.7 strikes absorbed / min 5.5
44% striking defence 52%
1.0 takedowns / 15 min 0.2
30% takedown accuracy 25%
100% takedown defence 100%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TD The Rambling Dad picks Shamil Gaziev VALUE “I think they um Shamil Gaziev's more of an unknown entity you know's he's he's figh competition yeah um with that being said though I think I'm going to take him as well just because as far as underdogs go I think one of The Underdogs a better chance”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Shamil Gaziev “I'm going to pick Shamil Gaziev”
LM Leftlane MMA picks Martin Buday VALUE “I'm picking Martin Buday I do believe that he's going to be enough of a technical Striker and decent takedown defense to keep it on the feet and I think he's going to have a better gas tank than Shamil Gaziev... so I'm taking Martin Buday -135 on the money line” $1.74
TL The life of laASMR picks Martin Buday “if I have pick someone I'd probably pick Martin budy”
EB ESPN BET picks Shamil Gaziev “I did not like the way Shamil Shamil Gaziev was able to be taken down by a much smaller fighter”
EB ESPN BET picks Martin Buday VALUE “we're going to go with Martin Martin Buday Bay to get that done”
ZP Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Martin Buday “I'm going to go with Martin bdai”
ZP Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Martin Buday “I think he's going to pull this off uh Martin Buday”
WP We Want Picks picks Shamil Gaziev VALUE “I like Shamil to win this fight”
DS Dynes Sports picks Martin Buday “I'm with you on Martin Buday but it's not a confident play... I'm with you on Martin Buday... I am going with”
LO Luke O'Libre picks Shamil Gaziev VALUE “we're going to just that alone maybe is The Edge but it is a very close fight”
TP The City Life Project picks Shamil Gaziev VALUE “I'm going sham and I I truly think that that's the it should be easy money it should be easy money”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Gaziev14-2
L Peričić KO/TKO · R2 May '26
L Cortes-Acosta KO/TKO · R1 Nov '25
W Petersen KO/TKO · R1 Feb '25
W Mayes Decision · R3 Aug '24
L Rozenstruik KO/TKO · R4 Mar '24
Buday14-2
W Buchecha Decision · R3 Jul '25
W Satybaldiev Decision · R3 Apr '25
W Arlovski Decision · R3 Jun '24
L Gaziev KO/TKO · R2 Dec '23
W Parisian Submission · R1 Aug '23