MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC on ESPN: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan
Choose a fight to analyse
AT BD Tsarukyan vs DariushMain Card · Lightweight JT BG Turner vs GreenMain Card · Lightweight DF RF Figueiredo vs FontMain Card · Bantamweight SB KG Brady vs GastelumMain Card · Welterweight JS CG Silva vs GuidaMain Card · Lightweight DS PS Stoltzfus vs SorianoMain Card · Middleweight MT JA Tate vs AvilaPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight CB ZR Brundage vs ReesePreliminary Card · Middleweight DK JS Klose vs SoleckiPreliminary Card · Lightweight RB IP Bellato vs PotieriaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight JG WT Gooden vs TurmanPreliminary Card · Welterweight VH JH Hardy vs HorthPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Brady v Gastelum Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Consensus53 picks · conf 70/99
Brady 30
23 Gastelum
HTDFKE pick Brady
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Brady 18-2 VS 21-10 Gastelum
5'10" height 5'9"
169 lb weight 191 lb
72" reach 71"
33 age 34
Orthodox stance Southpaw
4.1 strikes landed / min 4.4
55% striking accuracy 52%
3.2 strikes absorbed / min 4.9
60% striking defence 74%
3.5 takedowns / 15 min 1.9
52% takedown accuracy 32%
85% takedown defence 86%
0.9 submissions / 15 min 1.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
UP UFC Bro Picks picks Kelvin Gastelum VALUE “I got Kelvin Gastelum G him by KO” $2.15
PT Premier TV picks Sean Brady VALUE “I I would love to to show the uh Kevin gastam Sean Brady one too”
DG Diary of a Pro Gambler picks Sean Brady VALUE “Brady was one of the first names that jumped out at me as a potential bet”
BG Bettor in Green picks Sean Brady “I'm gonna go with Sean Brady Brady just for the hell of it”
ZP Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Kelvin Gastelum VALUE “Kelvin gastam is going to be the pick” $2.00
ZP Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Kelvin Gastelum VALUE “gastam is going to be the pick you know I I can't see him losing anywhere”
EB ESPN BET picks Sean Brady VALUE “I would also lean Sean Sean Brady I think he has the edge in the grappling here”
PN Picks Nation picks Kelvin Gastelum VALUE “Kelvin Gastelum Gastelum should win this fight he fighting Sean Sean Brady” $1.99
LF Liam Picks Fights picks Kelvin Gastelum VALUE “I think CA wins the decision in this one”
MN MMA Lock of the Night picks Sean Brady “I'm fully expecting gastam to look in the greatest shape that we've seen him in a long time and that should allow him to go out there and pull off a decision victory over the prospect sha Brady”
TP The Early Weigh In Podcast picks Sean Brady VALUE “I'm on Kelvin gastam at one and a half units plus 110 I really like that bet” $2.10
TP The Early Weigh In Podcast picks Kelvin Gastelum VALUE “I like bat to get the job done inside the distance”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Brady18-2
W Buckley Decision · R3 May '26
L Morales KO/TKO · R1 Nov '25
W Edwards Submission · R4 Mar '25
W Burns Decision · R5 Sep '24
W Gastelum Submission · R3 Dec '23
Gastelum21-10
L Luque Submission · R1 Apr '26
W Stoltzfus Decision · R3 Sep '25
L Pyfer Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Rodriguez Decision · R3 Jun '24
L Brady Submission · R3 Dec '23