MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis
Choose a fight to analyse
JA DL Almeida vs LewisMain Card · Heavyweight ND GB Dalby vs BonfimMain Card · Welterweight RN DM Nascimento vs MayesMain Card · Heavyweight CB AM Borralho vs MagomedovMain Card · Middleweight EB KK Brener vs KruschewskyMain Card · Catchweight RF ES Fakhretdinov vs SantosPreliminary Card · Welterweight VP MB Petrino vs BukauskasPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight AH DG Hill vs GomesPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight EM MR Moura vs RuizPreliminary Card · Catchweight MD KF Diakiese vs FernandesPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Borralho v Magomedov Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Consensus25 picks · conf 50/99
Borralho 20
5 Magomedov
HTPJTH pick Borralho
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Borralho 17-2 VS 28-7-1 Magomedov
6'1" height 6'2"
185 lb weight 185 lb
75" reach 78"
33 age 35
Southpaw stance Orthodox
3.0 strikes landed / min 4.7
48% striking accuracy 38%
2.2 strikes absorbed / min 3.8
55% striking defence 74%
1.9 takedowns / 15 min 1.9
29% takedown accuracy 60%
56% takedown defence 65%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Caio Borralho VALUE “I'm picking maget off he shouldn't be this big of a dog and I think he gets it done” $3.40
PP Prime Time Picks picks Caio Borralho “I'm picking Caio Borralho here”
TR The Fighters Replay picks Caio Borralho “I think this guy's a rising star I think he's gonna run through aboose”
WP We Want Picks picks Caio Borralho VALUE “I like Fernandez to get this done and can win this fight”
MM Meo on MMA picks Abusupiyan Magomedov VALUE “yeah B by submission”
BP Boxing MMA Picks picks Caio Borralho VALUE “I like Kyo Balo here”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Caio Borralho “I got Caio Borralho man Caio Borralho money line minus 310 but parlay with the rest of these fights I'm about to talk about next but yeah I just think I think he gets the win” $1.32
TP The Early Weigh In Podcast picks Caio Borralho VALUE “Caio Borralho taking on Abu smam medov at 185 as well second leg to the parlay with rat I think we both have more than two units on this one here” $1.27
CO Covers picks Abusupiyan Magomedov VALUE “I think there is a little bit of value on him” $3.45
HY Hypecheck picks Caio Borralho VALUE “it's a favorite pass spot here” $1.34
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Abusupiyan Magomedov VALUE “Abusupiyan Magomedov around plus 250 Caio Borralho is a tremendous Grappler with karate s standup but everybody's forgetting Mago medov was coming into the UFC with a ton of hype and he's coming off a loss to the world champion Victor Hugo at plus 205 I think he's an extremely skilled fighter with a grappling advantage over Daniel Marcos that he can exploit” $3.50
MN Mayo Media Network picks Caio Borralho “I'll go with Kyle I think I the problem with him is like I've told myself in other situations like this guy is not doesn't care about your prop this guy is not going for finishes” $1.33
Recent form last five, most recent first
Borralho17-2
W Ridder Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Imavov Decision · R5 Sep '25
W Cannonier Decision · R5 Aug '24
W Craig KO/TKO · R2 May '24
W Magomedov Decision · R3 Nov '23
Magomedov28-7-1
W Oleksiejczuk Submission · R1 Jun '26
L Pyfer Submission · R2 Oct '25
W Pereira Decision · R3 Apr '25
W Ferreira Submission · R3 Oct '24
W Alves Decision · R3 May '24