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Prophecy read
Maness v Mendonça
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Maness 16-3
VS
10-3 Mendonça
5'10"
height
—
125 lb
weight
—
72"
reach
—
35
age
27
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.1
strikes landed / min
1.7
50%
striking accuracy
40%
3.9
strikes absorbed / min
4.1
42%
striking defence
30%
0.7
takedowns / 15 min
2.5
75%
takedown accuracy
27%
80%
takedown defence
55%
0.7
submissions / 15 min
0.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
LM
Leftlane MMA picks Nate Maness VALUE
“I'll definitely be picking [Nate Maness] in this fight”
Leftlane MMA picks Nate Maness VALUE
“I'll definitely be picking [Nate Maness] in this fight”
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Mateus Mendonça
“I'm going to pick him to win”
$1.33
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Mateus Mendonça
“I'm going to pick him to win”
$1.33
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Mateus Mendonça
“I'm picking Matas Mateus Mendonça but I won't lie to you I'll be rooting for Nate”
$1.45
MMA EXPERTS picks Mateus Mendonça
“I'm picking Matas Mateus Mendonça but I won't lie to you I'll be rooting for Nate”
$1.45
AO
Andrew Osantowski picks Mateus Mendonça
“Nate Maness against Mateus Mendonça I'm gonna say with Mateus Mendonça here man”
Andrew Osantowski picks Mateus Mendonça
“Nate Maness against Mateus Mendonça I'm gonna say with Mateus Mendonça here man”
TP
The City Life Project picks Mateus Mendonça VALUE
“I'm going Mateus Mendonça Mendonça uh Nate Maness Maness is not bad so like hey at plus 220 I wouldn't sprinkle a little something even a half unit I wouldn't do it it's not the worst for this card in particular it's not the worst uh but Mateus Mendonça is just like I said he's a [ __ ] dude he's so good uh um I think this likely is a decision loss for Nate Maness Maness”
The City Life Project picks Mateus Mendonça VALUE
“I'm going Mateus Mendonça Mendonça uh Nate Maness Maness is not bad so like hey at plus 220 I wouldn't sprinkle a little something even a half unit I wouldn't do it it's not the worst for this card in particular it's not the worst uh but Mateus Mendonça is just like I said he's a [ __ ] dude he's so good uh um I think this likely is a decision loss for Nate Maness Maness”
FP
Free Picks PickDawgz picks Mateus Mendonça VALUE
“I'm going to go with medona to get it done”
$1.45
Free Picks PickDawgz picks Mateus Mendonça VALUE
“I'm going to go with medona to get it done”
$1.45
PR
Premium-Picks picks Nate Maness
“I did bet Menan earlier in the week when his odds were much better right now he's grown to a minus 250 uh I I don't love him at minus 250”
Premium-Picks picks Nate Maness
“I did bet Menan earlier in the week when his odds were much better right now he's grown to a minus 250 uh I I don't love him at minus 250”
BB
Blood Money MMA Bets picks Nate Maness
“I'm going to take mendosa here just because I feel like he's going to he he's got more more ways to win”
Blood Money MMA Bets picks Nate Maness
“I'm going to take mendosa here just because I feel like he's going to he he's got more more ways to win”
BM
Big Gun Brian Petrie MMA picks Nate Maness VALUE
“give me Nate Maness Maness you know what I mean give me Nate Maness Maness as the underdog here”
$2.95
Big Gun Brian Petrie MMA picks Nate Maness VALUE
“give me Nate Maness Maness you know what I mean give me Nate Maness Maness as the underdog here”
$2.95
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Maness16-3
W
Flick
Jun '24
W
Mendonça
Oct '23
L
Ulanbekov
Nov '22
L
Nurmagomedov
Jun '22
W
Gravely
Sep '21
Mendonça10-3
L
Aguilar
Feb '24
L
Maness
Oct '23
L
Basharat
Jan '23