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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Saint Denis v Moisés Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus15 picks · conf 36/99
Saint Denis 12
3 Moisés
HBMDCT pick Saint Denis
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Saint Denis 16-3 VS 19-9 Moisés
5'11" height 5'9"
156 lb weight 155 lb
73" reach 70"
30 age 31
Southpaw stance Orthodox
4.4 strikes landed / min 2.4
40% striking accuracy 40%
5.0 strikes absorbed / min 4.1
73% striking defence 54%
1.9 takedowns / 15 min 1.5
57% takedown accuracy 35%
54% takedown defence 55%
1.7 submissions / 15 min 1.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Benoît Saint Denis VALUE “Benoît Saint Denis Locker the goddamn card he's 161 money line that's the safest way to go about it”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Thiago Moisés “Thiago Moisés won't be able to threaten him whatsoever on the feed”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Benoît Saint Denis VALUE “I'm going with Benoit Saint Denita win” $1.66
WP We Want Picks picks Benoît Saint Denis VALUE “Benoit Santini will probably be in my lineup I bet on him I have a bet on him at even money”
DV Dissection Of Violence picks Benoît Saint Denis “I'm gonna go with Benoît Saint Denis here”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Benoît Saint Denis VALUE “I'm picking Benoît Saint Denis for the win” $1.67
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Benoît Saint Denis “I'll take the Benoît Saint Denis I'll take them more on the takedowns”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Thiago Moisés “I think he has the most upside in terms of a drafting score more is this just very low volume”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Benoît Saint Denis VALUE “give me San Benoît Saint Denis in this one from a EVENT_DETAILS perspective at least”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Benoît Saint Denis “Ben was St den you're going to mention it you hate his tape” $1.61
SD Santino DeFranco picks Thiago Moisés VALUE “tago Thiago Moisés I love the guy that's my that's my pick here”
HB Half The Battle picks Benoît Saint Denis VALUE “I believe that Ben was Anthony is going to win this fight and I think he's going to do it by knockout” $1.57
Recent form last five, most recent first
Saint Denis16-3
W Hooker KO/TKO · R2 Feb '26
W Dariush KO/TKO · R1 Nov '25
W Ruffy Submission · R2 Sep '25
W Prepolec Submission · R2 May '25
L Moicano KO/TKO · R2 Sep '24
Moisés19-9
L Young Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Gordon KO/TKO · R1 May '25
W Ogden Decision · R3 Jan '25
L Klein Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Ramirez KO/TKO · R3 Mar '24