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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Lapilus v Loughran Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus13 picks · conf 34/99
Lapilus 9
4 Loughran
MUDSLT pick Lapilus
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Lapilus 21-4 VS 9-2 Loughran
height
weight
reach
34 age 30
Southpaw stance Orthodox
4.6 strikes landed / min 5.6
48% striking accuracy 43%
2.6 strikes absorbed / min 5.6
62% striking defence 54%
0.3 takedowns / 15 min 2.0
33% takedown accuracy 26%
77% takedown defence 100%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
LM Leftlane MMA picks Taylor Lapilus VALUE “I was just going to go with lapala” $1.57
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Taylor Lapilus “I'll side with the EVENT_DETAILS favorite here Taylor laplus to get the job done”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Caolán Loughran “I don't think Caolán Loughran will have much success with takedowns or striking here”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Taylor Lapilus VALUE “I'm going with the side of lapilus” $1.59
WP We Want Picks picks Taylor Lapilus VALUE “I think Taylor Wins this fight”
DV Dissection Of Violence picks Taylor Lapilus VALUE “I'm honestly on Taylor Lapilus here”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Taylor Lapilus “I'm gonna go lapless to win” $1.59
SH Sherdog.com picks Caolán Loughran VALUE “I'm giving is Caolán Loughran uh to be Taylor Lapilus and he's plus 1 30.” $2.30
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Caolán Loughran “you can't play Caolán Loughran at 9 300 when he's plus 140 on the money line”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Taylor Lapilus VALUE “I am actually picking Taylor Lapilus to win this fight as well”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Caolán Loughran VALUE “I bet Caolán Loughran laugher and when he opened at like plus 235” $3.35
SD Santino DeFranco picks Taylor Lapilus VALUE “I'm going to load up on uh on laus here I think this is a great great spot”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Lapilus21-4
W Morales Decision · R3 Sep '24
W Stamann Decision · R3 Jun '24
L Basharat Decision · R3 Jan '24
W Loughran Decision · R3 Sep '23
W Issa Decision · R3 Sep '16
Loughran9-2
W Fletcher Decision · R3 Mar '25
L Hadley Decision · R3 Jul '24
W Pacheco Decision · R3 Mar '24
L Lapilus Decision · R3 Sep '23