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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Durden v Hadley
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Durden 17-10-1
VS
11-4 Hadley
5'7"
height
—
125 lb
weight
—
67"
reach
—
35
age
29
Southpaw
stance
Southpaw
3.4
strikes landed / min
3.8
50%
striking accuracy
43%
3.3
strikes absorbed / min
4.2
50%
striking defence
61%
4.4
takedowns / 15 min
0.3
50%
takedown accuracy
11%
73%
takedown defence
54%
0.9
submissions / 15 min
1.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
FS
Final Round Sports picks Jake Hadley VALUE
“Jake Hadley over 12 and a half minutes”
Final Round Sports picks Jake Hadley VALUE
“Jake Hadley over 12 and a half minutes”
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Jake Hadley VALUE
The MMA-Holes picks Jake Hadley VALUE
MN
MMA Lock of the Night picks Jake Hadley
“I'm still going to go with the uh Hadley side and uh Hadley by finish under two and a half specifically”
MMA Lock of the Night picks Jake Hadley
“I'm still going to go with the uh Hadley side and uh Hadley by finish under two and a half specifically”
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Cody Durden VALUE
“I strongly am going to lean towards the dirt inside”
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Cody Durden VALUE
“I strongly am going to lean towards the dirt inside”
BF
Bobby Bets Fights picks Jake Hadley
“in this one I'm gonna go and Edge Jake Jake Hadley just because I think on the feet he's got the advantage he's going to be a little bit more crisper with his boxing and then on the ground I think he is also dangerous with his submission”
$1.50
Bobby Bets Fights picks Jake Hadley
“in this one I'm gonna go and Edge Jake Jake Hadley just because I think on the feet he's got the advantage he's going to be a little bit more crisper with his boxing and then on the ground I think he is also dangerous with his submission”
$1.50
CC
Combat Crazy picks Cody Durden
“I think I'm gonna go with Cody Durden just because I I you know I've seen him many times in in trouble I've seen him you know he's always fighting I've never seen this guy just give up he's always pushing the pushing the pace going forward always fighting more experience”
Combat Crazy picks Cody Durden
“I think I'm gonna go with Cody Durden just because I I you know I've seen him many times in in trouble I've seen him you know he's always fighting I've never seen this guy just give up he's always pushing the pushing the pace going forward always fighting more experience”
TB
Totally Blitzed picks Jake Hadley VALUE
“Max says 'I'm gonna go Jake Hadley Hadley'”
Totally Blitzed picks Jake Hadley VALUE
“Max says 'I'm gonna go Jake Hadley Hadley'”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Cody Durden VALUE
“I'm going dirt in on the cards close fight dirt and by decision”
MMA EXPERTS picks Cody Durden VALUE
“I'm going dirt in on the cards close fight dirt and by decision”
LJ
Lucrative James picks Jake Hadley VALUE
“I think Jake Hadley Hadley wins the fight”
Lucrative James picks Jake Hadley VALUE
“I think Jake Hadley Hadley wins the fight”
RA
Ringside Report Network - Combat Sports Authority picks Jake Hadley
“I think Nate loses a decision because that's how boxing works I think it'll be close sadly close and Nate will lose by judges scorecards”
Ringside Report Network - Combat Sports Authority picks Jake Hadley
“I think Nate loses a decision because that's how boxing works I think it'll be close sadly close and Nate will lose by judges scorecards”
BE
BetVets picks Jake Hadley VALUE
“I think Jake Jake Hadley is the better fighter out of the two to be honest”
$1.52
BetVets picks Jake Hadley VALUE
“I think Jake Jake Hadley is the better fighter out of the two to be honest”
$1.52
AD
Addicted2Combat picks Jake Hadley
“Jake Hadley in this bout um Cody Durden just a very big Underdog here more than I think he should be”
Addicted2Combat picks Jake Hadley
“Jake Hadley in this bout um Cody Durden just a very big Underdog here more than I think he should be”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Durden17-10-1
W
Filho
Apr '26
L
Tumendemberel
Mar '26
L
Nascimento
Nov '25
L
Ochoa
Jun '25
L
Van
Dec '24
Hadley11-4
L
Smotherman
Oct '24
W
Loughran
Jul '24
L
Johnson
May '24
L
Durden
Aug '23
W
Gordon
Mar '23