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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Almabayev v Osbourne Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus36 picks · conf 58/99
Almabayev 26
10 Osbourne
XDBS1U pick Almabayev
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Almabayev 23-3 VS 13-9 Osbourne
5'4" height 5'7"
125 lb weight 135 lb
65" reach 73"
32 age 34
Orthodox stance Southpaw
2.1 strikes landed / min 3.3
56% striking accuracy 40%
1.0 strikes absorbed / min 4.0
59% striking defence 45%
5.1 takedowns / 15 min 1.2
50% takedown accuracy 28%
50% takedown defence 63%
1.7 submissions / 15 min 0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MN MMA Lock of the Night picks Asu Almabayev “expect him to drown under the pressure and wrestling of Asu Almabayev and unless on born land some sort of Hail Mary knockout early or latches on to some sort of Hail Mary submission early I think he's gonna falter break and eventually get finished by Asu Almabayev in the second or third round”
BF Bobby Bets Fights picks Asu Almabayev “I'm gonna go with Asu Almabayev but I don't love the pick I think he Ode' Osbourne definitely has a shot if you got him as a dog I just really think I'm abyev he's got that cardio he's got that pace and If Ode' Osbourne starts to fade yeah I think Ode' Osbourne could win the first round but second and third I think Asu Almabayev might be able to put it on him so I'm gonna go without mabayev” $2.60
LJ Lucrative James picks Ode' Osbourne VALUE “I'm going to pick Ode' Osbourne outright you know I think he's worth a a little shot if you want to bet on him”
HY Hypecheck picks Asu Almabayev “I think Asu Almabayev is levels above OD as a fighter and as long as he's coming into this fight healthy he should be able to get a clear decision win or a submission inside the distance”
BE BetVets picks Asu Almabayev VALUE “I'm going to tell you right now you're gonna lose okay so don't come don't come to Ethan don't be visiting Kernan Boulevard tell me that Ethan gave me the wrong pics I told you with the right pick was you know day one all right let's let's look at this oh days gonna win” $2.60
BE BetVets picks Ode' Osbourne “I think Ode' Osbourne does have to be more his experience and stuff but first round I think ASU comes out here hungry”
AD Addicted2Combat picks Asu Almabayev VALUE “I'm taking the debuting Kazakh fighter Asu Almabayev to defeat ode Osborne at flyweight and I got Alma bayev on Sunday night or Monday morning around minus 140” $1.71
AD Addicted2Combat picks Ode' Osbourne “Odie Osborne has the explosive power Advantage early reach Advantage”
MS Magic & Andrew MMA Betting Show picks Asu Almabayev VALUE “I think if the other guy wins he's going to submit Osborne honestly”
DN Degenerate University:MMA Predictions, Plays, News picks Asu Almabayev “we're going to go ahead and go Alma bayev”
JR JrBlessed picks Asu Almabayev “I'm gonna have to go with um a suit to win this fight only because Charles Johnson was actually able to get some wrestling exchanges going on Ode' Osbourne Osborne too and I just think that that's Asu Almabayev this you know is the one that's doing that I feel like he'll be a you know way more successful and he can win the fight maybe even by stoppage”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Asu Almabayev VALUE “I like some Amma buyv and I like him to uh to put up a pretty big score here”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Almabayev23-3
W Johnson Submission · R3 Jun '26
W Perez Submission · R3 Nov '25
W Ochoa Decision · R3 Jul '25
L Kape KO/TKO · R3 Mar '25
W Nicolau Decision · R3 Oct '24
Osbourne13-9
L Idiris Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Erceg Decision · R3 Aug '25
W Gurule KO/TKO · R2 Apr '25
L Rodríguez Decision · R3 Sep '24
L Filho Submission · R1 Mar '24