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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Nascimento v Boser
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Nascimento 11-3
VS
21-10-1 Boser
—
height
6'2"
—
weight
205 lb
—
reach
76"
33
age
34
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.7
strikes landed / min
4.7
47%
striking accuracy
52%
4.3
strikes absorbed / min
2.8
44%
striking defence
58%
1.0
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
37%
takedown accuracy
0%
60%
takedown defence
63%
0.5
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks Tanner Boser
“i think tanner boser wins”
We Want Picks picks Tanner Boser
“i think tanner boser wins”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Rodrigo Nascimento
“I'm gonna lean towards Tanner Bowser to get this one done just to win”
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Rodrigo Nascimento
“I'm gonna lean towards Tanner Bowser to get this one done just to win”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Tanner Boser VALUE
“on the feet Bowser's going to have a significant advantage and he probably knocks out NASA Mentor”
$1.49
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Tanner Boser VALUE
“on the feet Bowser's going to have a significant advantage and he probably knocks out NASA Mentor”
$1.49
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Tanner Boser
“I'm gonna side with Tana bozar”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Tanner Boser
“I'm gonna side with Tana bozar”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Rodrigo Nascimento VALUE
“i like him here i like him here”
Santino DeFranco picks Rodrigo Nascimento VALUE
“i like him here i like him here”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Tanner Boser VALUE
“I think Tana bossier's gonna look good”
MMA EXPERTS picks Tanner Boser VALUE
“I think Tana bossier's gonna look good”
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Tanner Boser
“I gotta I Gotta Give the nod to Bossier to get the job done”
$1.54
Walk The Line MMA picks Tanner Boser
“I gotta I Gotta Give the nod to Bossier to get the job done”
$1.54
AM
Artem MMA picks Rodrigo Nascimento
“Tanner Boser versus richard nasaminto i've got to go with tanabosa in this match up here i think that he's the better striker out of the two i know Rodrigo Nascimento got good grappling and listen that but i think i'm just going to trust tanaboza a little bit more here um it's pretty hard to trust boza to be fair he does um have some weird fights you mean there's an argument that he did beat andre alofsky there's also an argument he beat alilah tv so this guy really should or could be on a great win streak right now he hasn't fought for a long time potentially a good thing maybe he's made a lot of improvements which we're going to mean to hasn't fought for a long time but that's because he popped i under usada find alan bordeaux i have no idea why you would need um to take anything to be el nambardo because alan bardot has proven to be probably the worst ufc heavyweight in all time but i'm going to go bozo versus Joe Pyfer joe supply for by ko in the first round”
Artem MMA picks Rodrigo Nascimento
“Tanner Boser versus richard nasaminto i've got to go with tanabosa in this match up here i think that he's the better striker out of the two i know Rodrigo Nascimento got good grappling and listen that but i think i'm just going to trust tanaboza a little bit more here um it's pretty hard to trust boza to be fair he does um have some weird fights you mean there's an argument that he did beat andre alofsky there's also an argument he beat alilah tv so this guy really should or could be on a great win streak right now he hasn't fought for a long time potentially a good thing maybe he's made a lot of improvements which we're going to mean to hasn't fought for a long time but that's because he popped i under usada find alan bordeaux i have no idea why you would need um to take anything to be el nambardo because alan bardot has proven to be probably the worst ufc heavyweight in all time but i'm going to go bozo versus Joe Pyfer joe supply for by ko in the first round”
TF
The ICE Files picks Tanner Boser
“slightly leaning for Tanner Boser on this one so i'm gonna go with the canadian on that one Tanner Boser”
The ICE Files picks Tanner Boser
“slightly leaning for Tanner Boser on this one so i'm gonna go with the canadian on that one Tanner Boser”
WP
We Want Picks picks Tanner Boser VALUE
“the pick is definitely tanner because of the footwork his activity and how good he looked in his last fight”
We Want Picks picks Tanner Boser VALUE
“the pick is definitely tanner because of the footwork his activity and how good he looked in his last fight”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Nascimento11-3
L
Romanov
Nov '24
L
Lewis
May '24
W
Mayes
Nov '23
W
Latifi
May '23
W
Boser
Sep '22
Boser21-10-1
L
Sarıçam
Apr '26
W
Camur
Aug '23
L
Cuțelaba
Apr '23
L
Nascimento
Sep '22
W
Preux
Jun '21