Choose a fight to analyse
CS
SY
Sandhagen vs YadongMain Card · Bantamweight
GR
CN
Rodrigues vs NjokuaniMain Card · Middleweight
AF
BA
Fili vs AlgeoMain Card · Featherweight
JP
AA
Pyfer vs AmedovskiMain Card · Middleweight
RN
TB
Nascimento vs BoserMain Card · Heavyweight
AH
MB
Hernandez vs BarriaultMain Card · Middleweight
DJ
PS
Jackson vs SabatiniPreliminary Card · Featherweight
TG
LC
Giles vs CoscePreliminary Card · Welterweight
LL
DG
Lookboonmee vs GomesPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
TO
DZ
Ogden vs ZellhuberPreliminary Card · Lightweight
GR
MA
Robertson vs AgapovaPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
JB
TG
Basharat vs GravelyPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
NM
CV
Motta vs VanCampPreliminary Card · Lightweight
SY
Sandhagen vs YadongMain Card · Bantamweight
GR
CN
Rodrigues vs NjokuaniMain Card · Middleweight
AF
BA
Fili vs AlgeoMain Card · Featherweight
JP
AA
Pyfer vs AmedovskiMain Card · Middleweight
RN
TB
Nascimento vs BoserMain Card · Heavyweight
AH
MB
Hernandez vs BarriaultMain Card · Middleweight
DJ
PS
Jackson vs SabatiniPreliminary Card · Featherweight
TG
LC
Giles vs CoscePreliminary Card · Welterweight
LL
DG
Lookboonmee vs GomesPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
TO
DZ
Ogden vs ZellhuberPreliminary Card · Lightweight
GR
MA
Robertson vs AgapovaPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
JB
TG
Basharat vs GravelyPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
NM
CV
Motta vs VanCampPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Hernandez v Barriault
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Hernandez 15-2
VS
17-10 Barriault
6'0"
height
6'1"
186 lb
weight
185 lb
75"
reach
74"
32
age
36
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.9
strikes landed / min
6.0
63%
striking accuracy
47%
2.9
strikes absorbed / min
5.6
46%
striking defence
52%
6.6
takedowns / 15 min
0.2
44%
takedown accuracy
25%
65%
takedown defence
67%
2.3
submissions / 15 min
0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks Anthony Hernandez
“i think he's going to get the takedowns”
We Want Picks picks Anthony Hernandez
“i think he's going to get the takedowns”
SH
Sherdog.com picks Anthony Hernandez
“Anthony Hernandez is minus one seven four against Marc-André Barriault I think that's just about right”
$1.57
Sherdog.com picks Anthony Hernandez
“Anthony Hernandez is minus one seven four against Marc-André Barriault I think that's just about right”
$1.57
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Anthony Hernandez VALUE
“I really like Hernandez this week and I like him even more on from a DraftKings perspective”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Anthony Hernandez VALUE
“I really like Hernandez this week and I like him even more on from a DraftKings perspective”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Marc-André Barriault VALUE
“I'm gonna side with Mark Andre plus 150”
$2.50
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Marc-André Barriault VALUE
“I'm gonna side with Mark Andre plus 150”
$2.50
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Marc-André Barriault VALUE
“I'm kind of leaning towards Marc-André Barriault”
MMA EXPERTS picks Marc-André Barriault VALUE
“I'm kind of leaning towards Marc-André Barriault”
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Marc-André Barriault VALUE
“I'm actually going to be picking Marc-André Barriault uh barrier to get the job done here”
$2.45
Walk The Line MMA picks Marc-André Barriault VALUE
“I'm actually going to be picking Marc-André Barriault uh barrier to get the job done here”
$2.45
AM
Artem MMA picks Anthony Hernandez
“Anthony Hernandez versus mark andre barry Marc-André Barriault jolt is not the pick the pick is Anthony Hernandez both guys have great cardio but if you look at the pace that Anthony Hernandez put on josh froome that is absolutely insane that guy showed some crazy cardio and he really works josh friends for three rounds he worked the grappling with right to wrestling and i think he's probably gonna at least attempt the same thing with mark andre barrio we've seen marchandre barry old getting knocked out by Chidi Njokuani i don't think that's going to happen in this match up here he did beat jordan right but there's jordan right you know that's that that fight's never going to go the distance it's a kind of a call and corn flip coin envelope with old jordan right i'm gonna go with Anthony Hernandez i think he's gonna put a pace on barry up when a decision or maybe a later submission potentially”
Artem MMA picks Anthony Hernandez
“Anthony Hernandez versus mark andre barry Marc-André Barriault jolt is not the pick the pick is Anthony Hernandez both guys have great cardio but if you look at the pace that Anthony Hernandez put on josh froome that is absolutely insane that guy showed some crazy cardio and he really works josh friends for three rounds he worked the grappling with right to wrestling and i think he's probably gonna at least attempt the same thing with mark andre barrio we've seen marchandre barry old getting knocked out by Chidi Njokuani i don't think that's going to happen in this match up here he did beat jordan right but there's jordan right you know that's that that fight's never going to go the distance it's a kind of a call and corn flip coin envelope with old jordan right i'm gonna go with Anthony Hernandez i think he's gonna put a pace on barry up when a decision or maybe a later submission potentially”
WP
We Want Picks picks Anthony Hernandez VALUE
“i like fluffy to get the takedowns and get the win”
We Want Picks picks Anthony Hernandez VALUE
“i like fluffy to get the takedowns and get the win”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Hernandez15-2
L
Strickland
Feb '26
W
Dolidze
Aug '25
W
Allen
Feb '25
W
Pereira
Oct '24
W
Kopylov
Feb '24
Barriault17-10
L
Oleksiejczuk
Feb '26
L
Magomedov
Jul '25
W
Silva
May '25
L
Stoltzfus
Nov '24
L
Pyfer
Jun '24