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Aaron The Dog MMA
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · breakdown

UFC 304: Leon Edwards vs. Belal Muhammad 2 Full Card Betting Breakdown and Predictions

AM Aaron The Dog MMA 56% hit
23 months ago 5W–2L · +2.5u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
SB Shauna Bannon v Alice Ardelean MONEYLINE WON
“I'll take uh a sha Bannon to start out the card with an emphatic decision victory”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.62 close$1.62
entry: Paddy Power · best in any region at publish
MK Manel Kape v Muhammad Mokaev MONEYLINE LOST
“for me it would have been C this fight's not happening so I don't really care but you guys can break it down if you'd like but that was my kind of feeling with the fight to be honest with you lucky yeah I mean I like the matchmaking I hope it happens uh because this is probably a title Eliminator fight and you know I definitely think it deserved to be on the main card where it was so I'm wondering like maybe they didn't want to put it on there because they don't want people paying money and expecting to see that and then if it doesn't happen they're kind of on the hook so maybe that's why they moved it off I mean Manel Kape is undefeated at almost 24 years old now he's his results have been really really impressive for his age cop has also been on a tear winning four in a row a lot of cancellations in there for cop some his fault some not I don't really like that um I also mentioned he hasn't really beaten anyone of notes so far in the UFC he did beat kaai Sakura and ryzen that's his best win he fought close with Pantoja um also lost a split to Nicola where you know he should have been given the nod in my opinion and I picked Nicola on that fight but you know I'll keep it a bu cop on that fight um you was four actual UFC wins osor and Jima Dvorak fipe dos Santos kind of went to war with dos Santos a little bit who's good but I mean that's not a super great look to me to be fighting close with a short notice 22y old as a minus 400 favorite if you're supposed to be a title Contender but yeah you know um Manel Kape has beaten a few ranked guys you know Cody deran who was in the rankings as of last week I don't know if he's still is Charles Johnson was a good win Elli at Perez Jael philho is aging pretty well I think he has better notches in his belt um got you know the advantages in height and reach in terms of pure physicality I think cop is the more explosive of these two guys you know both of are high level cop is is way more exciting I'd like to see him win um I feel like makay does kind of have that pressure grappling upside where he can make this really boring and stall it and you know cop has shown that he can be low output so you know the fact that if they move this off to pay-per-view because they are worried about it not happening that's one thing I feel like maybe another thing is they're kind of thinking maybe it might be boring uh and they mooved to gr rod and Christian Leroy Duncan fight on there um to kind of Remedy that situation so if they do think it's going to be boring that kind of sounds like you know mv's motus op Randi to me so everything considered I do think the Manel Kape like small favorite price kind of makes sense here but I'm not willing to pay to find out”
Line since pick CLV −3%
◆ entry$2.45 close$2.53
entry: Bovada · best in any region at publish
JH Jake Hadley v Caolán Loughran MONEYLINE WON
“give me Marson praco give me the plus money”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.89 close$2.89
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
CD Christian Leroy Duncan v Gregory Rodrigues MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm going to be the one who once again bet the Gregory Rod”
Line since pick CLV −3%
◆ entry$1.74 close$1.80
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
MP Mick Parkin v Łukasz Brzeski MONEYLINE WON
“give me mck Parkin by decision”
Line since pick CLV +7%
◆ entry$1.44 close$1.35
entry: Virgin Bet · best in any region at publish
OE Oban Elliott v Preston Parsons MONEYLINE WON
“give me oan ellot to win a really gross split decision”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.32 close$2.32
entry: FanDuel · best in any region at publish
SP Sam Patterson v Kiefer Crosbie PROP · SUBMISSION WON
“give me Sam Patterson by sub”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.27 close$1.27
Patterson’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.24