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UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Mokaev v Kape Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus67 picks · conf 75/99
Mokaev 43
24 Kape
bMPFMM pick Mokaev
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Mokaev 13-0 VS 22-7 Kape
5'7" height 5'5"
126 lb weight 126 lb
70" reach 68"
25 age 32
Orthodox stance Southpaw
1.6 strikes landed / min 4.4
45% striking accuracy 53%
1.4 strikes absorbed / min 4.1
57% striking defence 59%
5.3 takedowns / 15 min 0.5
41% takedown accuracy 33%
25% takedown defence 73%
0.8 submissions / 15 min 0.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
LF Liam Picks Fights picks Manel Kape VALUE “I think cop wins”
UC UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Muhammad Mokaev “I'm going to go with the down to win decision”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Muhammad Mokaev “I'Muhammad Mokaev gonna go Muhammad Mokaev submission or decision it um but yeah I'Muhammad Mokaev gonna I think Muhammad Mokaev the is lower confidence ... I think he is submission though”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Muhammad Mokaev “I'm going to stay on my side I'm going to stay on my pick I'm going to go Muhammad Mokaev to get a decision win here”
DR DRYWALL picks Manel Kape VALUE
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Muhammad Mokaev VALUE “the official pick is going to stay Muhammad Mokaev” $1.57
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Manel Kape VALUE “I'm betting Manel Kape on the money line I think this is really close to a pick him fight” $2.45
FA FanDuel picks Manel Kape VALUE “I like his money line at plus 136 I've actually got him a slight favorite here at 50.5% to win... take Manel Kape on the money line here” $2.36
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Muhammad Mokaev VALUE “I like Belal Muhammad Mokaev at minus 155 against Manel Kape”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Manel Kape “this fight was moved from the EVENT_DETAILS to the featured prelim to the early prelim and a bunch of money came in mokv”
WP We Want Picks picks Muhammad Mokaev VALUE “I'm going to lean Muhammad Mokaev”
SP SportsLine picks Manel Kape VALUE “I'm betting Manel Kape”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Mokaev13-0
W Kape Decision · R3 Jul '24
W Perez Decision · R3 Mar '24
W Elliott Submission · R3 Oct '23
W Filho Submission · R3 Mar '23
W Gordon Submission · R3 Oct '22
Kape22-7
W Horiguchi KO/TKO · R3 Jun '26
W Royval KO/TKO · R1 Dec '25
W Almabayev KO/TKO · R3 Mar '25
W Silva KO/TKO · R3 Dec '24
L Mokaev Decision · R3 Jul '24