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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Bukauskas v Prachnio Light Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus35 picks · conf 58/99
Bukauskas 22
13 Prachnio
JTMMCB pick Bukauskas
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Bukauskas 19-7 VS 17-8 Prachnio
6'3" height 6'3"
204 lb weight 205 lb
78" reach 73"
32 age 37
Switch stance Orthodox
4.4 strikes landed / min 5.6
47% striking accuracy 54%
2.8 strikes absorbed / min 3.2
64% striking defence 54%
2.2 takedowns / 15 min 0.1
30% takedown accuracy 20%
58% takedown defence 53%
1.0 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
LF Liam Picks Fights picks Modestas Bukauskas VALUE “I like the Modesta side”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Modestas Bukauskas “my pick is going to stay the same for this fight I'm going to go bukus to get the decision win”
US Uselyis picks Modestas Bukauskas VALUE “give me Mesa basus to win this fight out of minus 150” $1.67
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Modestas Bukauskas VALUE “modestus Modestas Bukauskas to win this fight” $1.69
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Marcin Prachnio “I think the winner scores like 75 fantasy points”
MM MMA_Protagonist01 picks Marcin Prachnio “I'm probably gonna go with Marcin Prachnio”
WP We Want Picks picks Modestas Bukauskas “I thinkes bukus wins this fight”
DS D Steaz picks Modestas Bukauskas VALUE “Modestas Bukauskas winning by round one KO baby” $1.67
BE BetSam picks Marcin Prachnio VALUE “I'm taking Mar prano the dog here at plus 130 to win this fight by decision”
BM Bert MMA picks Marcin Prachnio VALUE “I got Marcin Prachnio 2928 in a really close fights”
MN MMA Lock of the Night picks Modestas Bukauskas “my official prediction is still going to be with Allen considering he could have some grappling success if he chooses to go that way but knowing that he doesn't U usually utilize that approach jadzi is all to pull off the upset but in terms of a prediction I'll still go with Allen and Allen by decision”
CZ Comedian Black Zeus picks Marcin Prachnio “I know Modestas Bukauskas and Marcin Prachnio this is the guy I will tell Marcin Prachnio this is the guy”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Bukauskas19-7
W Edwards Decision · R3 May '26
L Krylov KO/TKO · R3 Jan '26
W Craig KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25
W Cuțelaba Decision · R3 May '25
W Cerqueira KO/TKO · R1 Feb '25
Prachnio17-8
L Crute Submission · R1 Jul '25
L Bukauskas Submission · R3 Jul '24
W Clark Decision · R3 Feb '24
L Petrino Submission · R3 Jul '23
W Knight Decision · R3 Feb '23