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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Aspinall v Blaydes
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Aspinall 15-3
VS
0-0 Blaydes
6'5"
height
6'4"
251 lb
weight
256 lb
78"
reach
80"
33
age
35
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
8.1
strikes landed / min
3.5
67%
striking accuracy
50%
2.9
strikes absorbed / min
1.9
65%
striking defence
58%
3.3
takedowns / 15 min
5.7
100%
takedown accuracy
53%
100%
takedown defence
31%
1.6
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
LS
Lil Stray picks Tom Aspinall VALUE
“it's pretty clearcut and dry for me I think Tom Aspinall Aspen is going to get this one done”
Lil Stray picks Tom Aspinall VALUE
“it's pretty clearcut and dry for me I think Tom Aspinall Aspen is going to get this one done”
⚔P
⚔️Soups MMA Preview⚔️ picks Tom Aspinall
“I have Tom Aspinall by KO round one lock it”
⚔️Soups MMA Preview⚔️ picks Tom Aspinall
“I have Tom Aspinall by KO round one lock it”
LF
Liam Picks Fights picks Tom Aspinall
“Tom Aspinall taking on Curtis Curtis Blaydes”
Liam Picks Fights picks Tom Aspinall
“Tom Aspinall taking on Curtis Curtis Blaydes”
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Tom Aspinall
“I am picking Tom Aspinall spoiler alert I think Tom Aspinall ... I got Tom Aspinall as much Tom Aspinall on that Tom Aspinall I think he's gonna yeah Tom Aspinall fight I'll definitely take Tom Aspinall”
The MMA-Holes picks Tom Aspinall
“I am picking Tom Aspinall spoiler alert I think Tom Aspinall ... I got Tom Aspinall as much Tom Aspinall on that Tom Aspinall I think he's gonna yeah Tom Aspinall fight I'll definitely take Tom Aspinall”
ES
etoft21 sports picks Tom Aspinall
“I actually think Tom Aspinall's gonna win by think Tom Aspinall is going to win this thing”
etoft21 sports picks Tom Aspinall
“I actually think Tom Aspinall's gonna win by think Tom Aspinall is going to win this thing”
RA
RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Tom Aspinall VALUE
“the more enticing fight from a ceiling perspective I think is Tom Aspinall Curtis Blaydes probably doesn't go five rounds”
RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Tom Aspinall VALUE
“the more enticing fight from a ceiling perspective I think is Tom Aspinall Curtis Blaydes probably doesn't go five rounds”
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Tom Aspinall
“Tom Aspinall is not going to lose if it's submission and then Tom Aspinall over three have Curtis Blaydes”
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Tom Aspinall
“Tom Aspinall is not going to lose if it's submission and then Tom Aspinall over three have Curtis Blaydes”
KM
Keep it a Buck Media picks Tom Aspinall
“I'm G to take Tom Aspinall all but again I do not feel comfortable with this fight”
Keep it a Buck Media picks Tom Aspinall
“I'm G to take Tom Aspinall all but again I do not feel comfortable with this fight”
NN
Noah Nwadei picks Tom Aspinall
“Tom Aspinall that's all we know about Tom Aspinall all to be”
Noah Nwadei picks Tom Aspinall
“Tom Aspinall that's all we know about Tom Aspinall all to be”
LM
Locked Door MMA picks Tom Aspinall VALUE
“we're taking two Hometown natives that's going down in Manchester Giga Chikadze me Tom Aspinall”
Locked Door MMA picks Tom Aspinall VALUE
“we're taking two Hometown natives that's going down in Manchester Giga Chikadze me Tom Aspinall”
II
Ish 4 My Iggans™️ picks Tom Aspinall
“everyone thinks Curtis Blaydes is going to upset him but Tom Aspinall is going to pull through”
Ish 4 My Iggans™️ picks Tom Aspinall
“everyone thinks Curtis Blaydes is going to upset him but Tom Aspinall is going to pull through”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Aspinall15-3
W
Blaydes
Jul '24
W
Pavlovich
Nov '23
W
Tybura
Jul '23
L
Blaydes
Jul '22
W
Volkov
Mar '22
Blaydes0-0
L
Hokit
Apr '26
W
Kuniev
Jun '25
L
Aspinall
Jul '24
W
Almeida
Mar '24
L
Pavlovich
Apr '23