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Patterson vs CrosbieEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
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Pimblett vs GreenMain Card · Lightweight
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Rodrigues vs DuncanMain Card · Middleweight
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Allen vs ChikadzeMain Card · Featherweight
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Wood vs PinedaPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Brasil vs McCannPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Hadley vs LoughranPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Elliott vs ParsonsEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
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Bukauskas vs PrachnioEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Patterson vs CrosbieEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
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Parkin vs BrzeskiEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Patterson v Crosbie
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Patterson 14-2-1
VS
10-6 Crosbie
6'3"
height
5'11"
170 lb
weight
170 lb
78"
reach
70"
30
age
36
Orthodox
stance
Switch
5.1
strikes landed / min
5.2
57%
striking accuracy
49%
2.1
strikes absorbed / min
3.8
57%
striking defence
48%
1.3
takedowns / 15 min
2.6
31%
takedown accuracy
40%
71%
takedown defence
77%
1.9
submissions / 15 min
1.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
RA
RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Sam Patterson VALUE
“Sam Patterson is like a minus 400 favorite minus 225 inside the distance”
$1.25
RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Sam Patterson VALUE
“Sam Patterson is like a minus 400 favorite minus 225 inside the distance”
$1.25
KM
Keep it a Buck Media picks Sam Patterson
“my pick was Sam Patterson is gonna stay that way I'm GNA stay with Sam Patterson the tomorrow um give me Sam Patterson by submission”
Keep it a Buck Media picks Sam Patterson
“my pick was Sam Patterson is gonna stay that way I'm GNA stay with Sam Patterson the tomorrow um give me Sam Patterson by submission”
DR
DRYWALL picks Kiefer Crosbie
“Kiefer Crosbie knockout or decision”
DRYWALL picks Kiefer Crosbie
“Kiefer Crosbie knockout or decision”
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Sam Patterson VALUE
“if he comes in and looks to wrestle I think it should just be an easy win for Sam Patterson”
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Sam Patterson VALUE
“if he comes in and looks to wrestle I think it should just be an easy win for Sam Patterson”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Sam Patterson VALUE
“Sam Patterson's gonna whoop his ass”
MMA EXPERTS picks Sam Patterson VALUE
“Sam Patterson's gonna whoop his ass”
DI
DFS Insights picks Sam Patterson VALUE
“I like a Sam Patterson so let me know what you think”
DFS Insights picks Sam Patterson VALUE
“I like a Sam Patterson so let me know what you think”
GO
GoSleepMMA picks Kiefer Crosbie
“Sam Patterson versus Kiefer Crosbie we're going to go with Sam Patterson here by a third round finish”
GoSleepMMA picks Kiefer Crosbie
“Sam Patterson versus Kiefer Crosbie we're going to go with Sam Patterson here by a third round finish”
BE
BetSam picks Sam Patterson
“I think Sam Patterson wins this fight by submission and either rounds one or two”
BetSam picks Sam Patterson
“I think Sam Patterson wins this fight by submission and either rounds one or two”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Sam Patterson VALUE
“I do like Patterson quite a bit I'm going to quite a few shares of of Sam Patterson”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Sam Patterson VALUE
“I do like Patterson quite a bit I'm going to quite a few shares of of Sam Patterson”
GM
GC MMA picks Sam Patterson
“I'm taking Sam Patterson”
GC MMA picks Sam Patterson
“I'm taking Sam Patterson”
BA
babysharpMMA🦈 picks Sam Patterson VALUE
“I do see Sam Patterson winning this one”
babysharpMMA🦈 picks Sam Patterson VALUE
“I do see Sam Patterson winning this one”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Patterson14-2-1
L
Page
Mar '26
W
Waters
Sep '25
W
Barlow
Mar '25
W
Crosbie
Jul '24
W
Lainesse
Jan '24
Crosbie10-6
L
Nueraji
Aug '25
L
Patterson
Jul '24
L
Jousset
Sep '23