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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Wood v Pineda Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus45 picks · conf 66/99
Wood 42
3 Pineda
MLPMBT pick Wood
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Wood 22-6 VS 28-17 Pineda
5'6" height 5'7"
146 lb weight 145 lb
69" reach 69"
33 age 40
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.8 strikes landed / min 2.9
51% striking accuracy 49%
4.0 strikes absorbed / min 3.3
56% striking defence 45%
1.6 takedowns / 15 min 1.4
48% takedown accuracy 24%
72% takedown defence 54%
0.5 submissions / 15 min 1.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Daniel Pineda VALUE $4.00
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Nathaniel Wood VALUE $1.25
UC UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Nathaniel Wood “super L versus Jonathan Hagerty going with super L to win”
TP The City Life Project picks Nathaniel Wood “Nathaniel wood should be an easy pick for us”
ES etoft21 sports picks Nathaniel Wood “I think Nathaniel Wood's going to win his fight”
RA RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Nathaniel Wood “Nathaniel Wood minus 115 against Daniel Pineda” $1.87
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Nathaniel Wood “I'm just I'm I'm taking Nathaniel Nathaniel Wood um I'm gonna stay on the Nathaniel Wood side and I think he gets a win”
LM Locked Door MMA picks Nathaniel Wood VALUE “and brevan taking Nathaniel Wood”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Nathaniel Wood VALUE “I'm going with Nathaniel wood” $1.25
WP We Want Picks picks Nathaniel Wood “I do think Nathaniel Wood wins”
IM ITP MMA picks Nathaniel Wood “Nathaniel Wood understand what to do on the ground that's it that's it he's got it he's got it that's the submission”
BE BetSam picks Nathaniel Wood “I'm going to take Nathaniel Wood either round late round two three finish or decision”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Wood22-6
W Keita Decision · R3 Mar '26
W Delgado Decision · R3 Oct '25
W Charrière Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Pineda Decision · R3 Jul '24
L Naimov Decision · R3 Oct '23
Pineda28-17
L Elkins Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Wood Decision · R3 Jul '24
L Caceres Decision · R3 Jun '23
W Lutz Submission · R2 Mar '23
L Swanson KO/TKO · R2 Dec '20