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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Pimblett v Green Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus86 picks · conf 80/99
Pimblett 48
38 Green
MMPMTT pick Pimblett
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Pimblett 23-3 VS 34-17-1 Green
5'10" height 5'10"
155 lb weight 155 lb
73" reach 71"
31 age 39
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.9 strikes landed / min 6.4
53% striking accuracy 53%
3.8 strikes absorbed / min 3.7
40% striking defence 62%
0.9 takedowns / 15 min 1.2
25% takedown accuracy 39%
52% takedown defence 74%
2.1 submissions / 15 min 0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
LS Lil Stray picks Paddy Pimblett “my heart says King Green but my mind says Paddy Pimblett I'mma go with my mind I think Paddy Pimblett gets this done”
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Paddy Pimblett VALUE $1.47
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks King Green VALUE $1.85
LF Liam Picks Fights picks Paddy Pimblett “I think that Molly Molly McCann is being set up to win this fight”
TP The City Life Project picks Paddy Pimblett “I'm picking Leon Edwards to win”
TM The MMA-Holes picks Paddy Pimblett “A minus 107 Paddy Pimblett” $1.93
ES etoft21 sports picks King Green “I just think King Green wins”
RA RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Paddy Pimblett VALUE “I'm much more interested in Paddy Pimblett”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Paddy Pimblett “I'm I was heavy on the Paddy Pimblett side on Monday and I'm going to stay on the Paddy Pimblett side today give me Paddy Pimblett by knockout tomorrow”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Paddy Pimblett VALUE “I'm going with Paddy Pimblett to Beat Bobby” $1.96
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks King Green VALUE “I'm picking King Green to win”
EB ESPN BET picks King Green VALUE “I'm going with King green”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Pimblett23-3
L Gaethje Decision · R5 Jan '26
W Chandler KO/TKO · R3 Apr '25
W Green Submission · R1 Jul '24
W Ferguson Decision · R3 Dec '23
W Gordon Decision · R3 Dec '22
Green34-17-1
W Stephens Submission · R1 May '26
W Zellhuber KO/TKO · R2 Feb '26
W Jr. Decision · R3 Dec '25
L Ruffy KO/TKO · R1 Mar '25
L Pimblett Submission · R1 Jul '24