UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
Line since pick
CLV +11%
◆ entry$1.65
→
close$1.48
entry: Tipico (US) · best in any region at publish
TN
Tom Nolan
v Victor Martinez
MONEYLINE
WON
Tom Nolan
v Victor Martinez
MONEYLINE
WON
“gave me Tom Nolan in a spot medium to high confidence”
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.25
→
close$1.23
entry: Paddy Power · best in any region at publish
TG
Themba Gorimbo
v Ramiz Brahimaj
MONEYLINE
WON
Themba Gorimbo
v Ramiz Brahimaj
MONEYLINE
WON
“I'm going to pick Themba Gorimbo here medium confidence”
Line since pick
CLV −14%
◆ entry$1.50
→
close$1.74
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV +6%
◆ entry$1.38
→
close$1.30
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.71
→
close$1.74
entry: Tipico (US) · best in any region at publish
LM
Lerone Murphy
v Edson Barboza
MONEYLINE
WON
Lerone Murphy
v Edson Barboza
MONEYLINE
WON
“I'll go with Lerone Murphy because do think he's the younger fighter”
Line since pick
CLV −3%
◆ entry$1.69
→
close$1.74
entry: Tipico (US) · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$2.35
→
close$2.31
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV +15%
◆ entry$4.60
→
close$4.00
entry: Ladbrokes AU · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV +29%
◆ entry$3.00
→
close$2.33
entry: Tipico (US) · best in any region at publish
MG
Melissa Gatto
v Tamires Vidal
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Melissa Gatto
v Tamires Vidal
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“give me Melissa Gatto there confidence”
Line since pick
CLV −5%
◆ entry$1.25
→
close$1.32
entry: Bally Bet · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV −9%
◆ entry$4.75
→
close$5.20
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV −4%
◆ entry$2.30
→
close$2.40
entry: Betway · best in any region at publish
AC
Ariane Carnelossi
v Piera Rodríguez
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Ariane Carnelossi
v Piera Rodríguez
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“Not explicitly picked, but transcript implies caution”
Line since pick
CLV −14%
◆ entry$2.55
→
close$2.95
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV −15%
◆ entry$3.65
→
close$4.30
entry: TAB · best in any region at publish








