Choose a fight to analyse
LM
EB
Murphy vs BarbozaMain Card · Featherweight
KW
CH
Williams vs HarrisMain Card · Welterweight
TG
RB
Gorimbo vs BrahimajMain Card · Welterweight
AY
VS
Yañez vs SalvadorMain Card · Bantamweight
AH
LP
Hill vs PinheiroMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
TN
VM
Nolan vs MartinezPreliminary Card · Lightweight
OS
TT
Sy vs TokkosPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
MG
TV
Gatto vs VidalPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
AM
WA
Magomedov vs AlvesPreliminary Card · Middleweight
AC
PR
Carnelossi vs RodríguezPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
AH
KR
Heili vs RodriguesPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
VD
ED
Demopoulos vs DucotePreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
EB
Murphy vs BarbozaMain Card · Featherweight
KW
CH
Williams vs HarrisMain Card · Welterweight
TG
RB
Gorimbo vs BrahimajMain Card · Welterweight
AY
VS
Yañez vs SalvadorMain Card · Bantamweight
AH
LP
Hill vs PinheiroMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
TN
VM
Nolan vs MartinezPreliminary Card · Lightweight
OS
TT
Sy vs TokkosPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
MG
TV
Gatto vs VidalPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
AM
WA
Magomedov vs AlvesPreliminary Card · Middleweight
AC
PR
Carnelossi vs RodríguezPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
AH
KR
Heili vs RodriguesPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
VD
ED
Demopoulos vs DucotePreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Gorimbo v Brahimaj
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Gorimbo 14-6
VS
13-6 Brahimaj
6'1"
height
5'10"
171 lb
weight
170 lb
77"
reach
72"
35
age
33
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.1
strikes landed / min
4.0
61%
striking accuracy
40%
1.1
strikes absorbed / min
3.8
56%
striking defence
52%
4.9
takedowns / 15 min
2.4
65%
takedown accuracy
54%
82%
takedown defence
68%
0.6
submissions / 15 min
0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Themba Gorimbo
“I'm going with t Themba Gorimbo ... unanimous decision win for for Themba Gorimbo good um I'm going go with Themba Gorimbo as with Themba Gorimbo on this one”
The Rambling Dad picks Themba Gorimbo
“I'm going with t Themba Gorimbo ... unanimous decision win for for Themba Gorimbo good um I'm going go with Themba Gorimbo as with Themba Gorimbo on this one”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Ramiz Brahimaj VALUE
“I've been picking ramiz brahimaj as an underdog to win all week”
$2.30
MMA EXPERTS picks Ramiz Brahimaj VALUE
“I've been picking ramiz brahimaj as an underdog to win all week”
$2.30
MN
Mayo Media Network picks Themba Gorimbo VALUE
“I picked Themba Gorimbo to win”
Mayo Media Network picks Themba Gorimbo VALUE
“I picked Themba Gorimbo to win”
WP
We Want Picks picks Themba Gorimbo
“I think TBA wins this fight”
We Want Picks picks Themba Gorimbo
“I think TBA wins this fight”
TP
The City Life Project picks Themba Gorimbo VALUE
“gimbo that is my pick moving on to the co- main event of the evening which features Khaos Williams and carlston Harris ladies and gentlemen interesting match up here interesting matchup very very close as far as the odds go chaos Williams minus 125 he's the favorite Carlston Harris plus 105 Khaos Williams is 30 years of age Carlson Harris 36 years old but you could have fooled me with how good he's looked recently 4-1 in his last five fights he's 19 and5 as a pro sub Jeremiah Wells and went to a decision with Jared Gooden lost to shavkat ranov no shame in that before them beat impa kasang and Christian Aguilera so honestly his last five fights he's fought really good opponents and four of those have been really good wins now Khaos Williams coming onto the scene I thought this guy was going to be unreal he's been okay he hasn't he's he surely hasn't been unreal but he does have some good wins on his resume six kot gos two submissions six decisions 5-2 in the UFC split decision against Ronaldo bedoya who's 14-1 for them beat a 10- one guy and an 8-2 Matthew simburger lost Michelle Pereira no shame in that beat Abdul razak alhassan and he was only t two at that time beat Alex morono man he's got some good wins in the UFC but again the Randy Brown Lost split decision so he lost the Randy Brown Split Decision don't like that you should be knocking out Randy Brown Michelle Pereira I don't mind too much but Michelle Pereira was still pretty green at that time in 20 T20 Carlston Harris man it's it's tough not to pick him cuz his grappling is so legit and he's fought in so many good promotions and so many good opponents six submissions five k Ko's never been submitted eight decisions 4-1 in the UFC 2-1 in Brave 3-0 in xfc and 2-1 in SHO oh man I know I know he's 36 going up against a 30-year-old but I do think Williams is going to rely on his striking a little too much Carlson Harris will find the entry and out grapple him we're going Carlson Harris on this one probably submission to be perfectly honest I'm going with the underdog locking it in chaos williams' power is always dangerous but I think I think Harris puts it together”
The City Life Project picks Themba Gorimbo VALUE
“gimbo that is my pick moving on to the co- main event of the evening which features Khaos Williams and carlston Harris ladies and gentlemen interesting match up here interesting matchup very very close as far as the odds go chaos Williams minus 125 he's the favorite Carlston Harris plus 105 Khaos Williams is 30 years of age Carlson Harris 36 years old but you could have fooled me with how good he's looked recently 4-1 in his last five fights he's 19 and5 as a pro sub Jeremiah Wells and went to a decision with Jared Gooden lost to shavkat ranov no shame in that before them beat impa kasang and Christian Aguilera so honestly his last five fights he's fought really good opponents and four of those have been really good wins now Khaos Williams coming onto the scene I thought this guy was going to be unreal he's been okay he hasn't he's he surely hasn't been unreal but he does have some good wins on his resume six kot gos two submissions six decisions 5-2 in the UFC split decision against Ronaldo bedoya who's 14-1 for them beat a 10- one guy and an 8-2 Matthew simburger lost Michelle Pereira no shame in that beat Abdul razak alhassan and he was only t two at that time beat Alex morono man he's got some good wins in the UFC but again the Randy Brown Lost split decision so he lost the Randy Brown Split Decision don't like that you should be knocking out Randy Brown Michelle Pereira I don't mind too much but Michelle Pereira was still pretty green at that time in 20 T20 Carlston Harris man it's it's tough not to pick him cuz his grappling is so legit and he's fought in so many good promotions and so many good opponents six submissions five k Ko's never been submitted eight decisions 4-1 in the UFC 2-1 in Brave 3-0 in xfc and 2-1 in SHO oh man I know I know he's 36 going up against a 30-year-old but I do think Williams is going to rely on his striking a little too much Carlson Harris will find the entry and out grapple him we're going Carlson Harris on this one probably submission to be perfectly honest I'm going with the underdog locking it in chaos williams' power is always dangerous but I think I think Harris puts it together”
KC
Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Ramiz Brahimaj VALUE
“I'm gonna lean that way right now I haven't bet it yet but uh yeah this be dogger pass for me yeah I am with you”
Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Ramiz Brahimaj VALUE
“I'm gonna lean that way right now I haven't bet it yet but uh yeah this be dogger pass for me yeah I am with you”
KC
Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Themba Gorimbo
“I'm on gimbo going into it um again no confidence at all”
Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Themba Gorimbo
“I'm on gimbo going into it um again no confidence at all”
BP
Bloody Water Podcast picks Themba Gorimbo VALUE
“bloody water podcast consensus pick it is Dea grimbo”
$1.67
Bloody Water Podcast picks Themba Gorimbo VALUE
“bloody water podcast consensus pick it is Dea grimbo”
$1.67
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Ramiz Brahimaj VALUE
“I slightly lean towards Ramiz Brahimaj here you're getting a $600 price savings on him but you know kind of like aboose like if it doesn't happen in round one it's it's probably not happening”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Ramiz Brahimaj VALUE
“I slightly lean towards Ramiz Brahimaj here you're getting a $600 price savings on him but you know kind of like aboose like if it doesn't happen in round one it's it's probably not happening”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Themba Gorimbo VALUE
“I like Themba Gorimbo here 8,400 if he does weather that early storm I think he can potentially get a finish late against R brahimaj”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Themba Gorimbo VALUE
“I like Themba Gorimbo here 8,400 if he does weather that early storm I think he can potentially get a finish late against R brahimaj”
PP
Prime Time Picks picks Themba Gorimbo
“I'm gonna go with themo gimbo in this one”
Prime Time Picks picks Themba Gorimbo
“I'm gonna go with themo gimbo in this one”
WP
We Want Picks picks Themba Gorimbo VALUE
“Themba Gorimbo is a guy that I bet on Themba Gorimbo is a guy that I think wins Ramiz Brahimaj is coming back after two years away in some surgeries but all of a sudden emotions are running high he was crying at the press conference”
We Want Picks picks Themba Gorimbo VALUE
“Themba Gorimbo is a guy that I bet on Themba Gorimbo is a guy that I think wins Ramiz Brahimaj is coming back after two years away in some surgeries but all of a sudden emotions are running high he was crying at the press conference”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Gorimbo14-6
L
Micallef
May '26
L
Wells
Nov '25
L
Luque
Dec '24
W
Price
Oct '24
W
Brahimaj
May '24
Brahimaj13-6
L
Soriano
Feb '26
W
Vanderford
Oct '25
W
Goff
May '25
W
Gall
Nov '24
L
Gorimbo
May '24