MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy
Choose a fight to analyse
LM EB Murphy vs BarbozaMain Card · Featherweight KW CH Williams vs HarrisMain Card · Welterweight TG RB Gorimbo vs BrahimajMain Card · Welterweight AY VS Yañez vs SalvadorMain Card · Bantamweight AH LP Hill vs PinheiroMain Card · Women'S Strawweight TN VM Nolan vs MartinezPreliminary Card · Lightweight OS TT Sy vs TokkosPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight MG TV Gatto vs VidalPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight AM WA Magomedov vs AlvesPreliminary Card · Middleweight AC PR Carnelossi vs RodríguezPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight AH KR Heili vs RodriguesPreliminary Card · Bantamweight VD ED Demopoulos vs DucotePreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Williams v Harris Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Consensus39 picks · conf 61/99
Williams 26
13 Harris
PFMBhS pick Williams
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Williams 15-5 VS 19-7 Harris
6'0" height 6'0"
170 lb weight 170 lb
77" reach 76"
32 age 38
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.8 strikes landed / min 3.2
39% striking accuracy 49%
5.4 strikes absorbed / min 2.7
42% striking defence 52%
0.0 takedowns / 15 min 2.0
0% takedown accuracy 29%
80% takedown defence 55%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TD The Rambling Dad picks Khaos Williams “I'm gonna go with Khaos Williams because I feel like Khaos Williams is than Khaos Williams”
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Khaos Williams VALUE “Khaos Williams is going to be my pick and my slightly preferred option to play in DFS”
AP AnyGivenMonday Podcast picks Carlston Harris VALUE “we're gonna pick Carlston Harris on this” $2.30
WT WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Khaos Williams “it's chaos or nothing for me but it's just going to be nothing from a betting perspective”
MN Mayo Media Network picks Khaos Williams VALUE “I think Khaos Williams has knock out upside” $1.09
WP We Want Picks picks Khaos Williams “I am still going to pick Khaos Williams here”
TP The City Life Project picks Carlston Harris VALUE “we're going Carlson Harris on this one probably submission to be perfectly honest I'm going with the underdog locking it in chaos williams' power is always dangerous but I think I think Harris puts it together by the way Umar C on this card was supposed to fight Antonio troli and rolfo bolat so ends up settling for this opponent here all right moving up the card main event of the evening ladies and gentlemen and yes he is back in another Main Event Edson Barboza against Lerone Lerone Murphy luron Lerone Murphy is undefeated ladies and gentlemen 130 and one as a pro he's the slight favorite of minus 150 32 years of age beat Josh kba in his last fight Gabriel Santos before that Amir Connie before that but everyone beats Amir Connie Douglas Silva de Andra and Ricardo Ramos 14-2 26 and three Amir con will'll just pretend that we don't care about because we don't uh Gabriel Santos 10 and0 and Josh kba about 11-1 so luron Lerone Murphy he's been taking out really good opponents in the UFC s kotko six decisions 50 And1 in the UFC what else is there to say he's very well-rounded is he does he have that dangerous knockout power that Edson Barboza had throughout his career and still has no but he knows how to put it all together he knows how to win a fight if he if he has to make it boring he will if he has to out point you he will but luron Lerone Murphy's a very smart fighter but Edson Edson Barboza been there done that main event Fight Night former title Contender 24- 11 in his prma career and he's on a little bit of a Resurgence 4-2 in his last five fights beat Shane Bergos before going on a two-fight losing streak against gig chicat and Bryce Mitchell decision against Bryce Mitchell by the way then knocked up Billy corello And had a tremendous performance against sadik yusf where he rocked him a couple times and just just beat him all around just beat him all around look is he as quick as he once was no is his timing still there absolutely is he still tough his nails yet and does he still hit hard absolutely dude Edson Barboza 38 years old still looks very very good but luron Lerone Murphy that's a big big test that is a step up from a sadique yusf that is a step up from a Billy quarantillo And as far as luron Lerone Murphy you're taking a step up as far as fighting a guy with experience CU kibal Santos Ricardo Ramos they're not Edson Barboza now I will say Douglas silv D dra had had a lot of experience as well but again not Edson Edson Barboza ladies and gentlemen Edson Barboza 18- 11 in the UFC 13 kotos two submissions nine decisions and at plus 125 we're going with Edson Barboza I feel like these up and cominging Prospects they always disappoint in one fight that you're like oh you're going to up against the old fart of course you're going to win this one not against Edson Barboza not against Edson Barboza this is the first five rounder for luron Lerone Murphy again Edson Barboza he's been there done that many many times he's got decent takedown defense insane striking even at 38 awesome kicks as we know especially that spinning heel kick coming off two great wins don't get me wrong Lerone Murphy is very good very well rounded but not as dangerous in his striking not as dangerous in his one punch power first five rounder in the UFC probably will keep it a boring pace and drag out a close decision if luron Lerone Murphy wins whereas Edson Barboza is going to be pushing the pace in my opinion I'm banking on Edson Barboza to do more damage to the body and legs or get that KO Edson Barboza another Main event Victory here 38 years of age let's freaking go that is my prediction” $2.05
PN Picks Nation picks Khaos Williams “especially against somebody like chaos Khaos Williams who has been known to be a little iffy and make some mistakes”
PN Picks Nation picks Carlston Harris VALUE “Carlston Carlston Harris could absolutely win this fight”
KC Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Khaos Williams VALUE “I think chaos is gonna spark cold yeah I I could Oumar Sy it um I'm rolling with Oumar Syarlston Ramiz Brahimajarris in this one I uh I do think I don't know I've just been hot and cold on chaos and uh I think I think Oumar Syarlston Ramiz Brahimajarris can avoid the power”
BP Bloody Water Podcast picks Carlston Harris VALUE “bloody water podcast consensus pick is the man who has more Tools in his tool belt it is carlston Carlston Harrisston Harris” $2.10
LF Liam Picks Fights picks Khaos Williams
Recent form last five, most recent first
Williams15-5
W Veretennikov KO/TKO · R1 May '26
L Gustafsson Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Bonfim Submission · R2 Feb '25
W Harris KO/TKO · R1 May '24
W Bedoya Decision · R3 May '23
Harris19-7
L Matthews Decision · R3 May '26
L Ponzinibbio KO/TKO · R3 Jan '25
L Williams KO/TKO · R1 May '24
W Wells Submission · R3 Aug '23
W Gooden Decision · R3 Mar '23