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Williams vs HarrisMain Card · Welterweight
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Gorimbo vs BrahimajMain Card · Welterweight
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Yañez vs SalvadorMain Card · Bantamweight
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Hill vs PinheiroMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Nolan vs MartinezPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Sy vs TokkosPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Gatto vs VidalPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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Magomedov vs AlvesPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Carnelossi vs RodríguezPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Nolan v Martinez
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Nolan 10-1
VS
13-6 Martinez
6'3"
height
5'8"
155 lb
weight
156 lb
73"
reach
70"
26
age
34
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
2.5
strikes landed / min
7.9
52%
striking accuracy
51%
2.4
strikes absorbed / min
7.7
59%
striking defence
53%
1.2
takedowns / 15 min
0.7
42%
takedown accuracy
33%
62%
takedown defence
80%
1.4
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Tom Nolan
“I'm going to go with Tom Nolan going to go with Tom Nolan ... backing Tom Nolan on this backing Tom Nolan as well”
The Rambling Dad picks Tom Nolan
“I'm going to go with Tom Nolan going to go with Tom Nolan ... backing Tom Nolan on this backing Tom Nolan as well”
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Tom Nolan VALUE
“Tom Nolan is my favorite”
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Tom Nolan VALUE
“Tom Nolan is my favorite”
EA
EagleMMA picks Victor Martinez
“I'll go Victor Martinez because I think Jordan L actually got some skill”
EagleMMA picks Victor Martinez
“I'll go Victor Martinez because I think Jordan L actually got some skill”
US
Uselyis picks Tom Nolan
“Tom Nolan is actually pretty good I think he wins this fight against Victor Martinez”
Uselyis picks Tom Nolan
“Tom Nolan is actually pretty good I think he wins this fight against Victor Martinez”
TP
The City Life Project picks Tom Nolan
“I am going to pick Tom Nolan to win this one the odds seem a little wild like Victor Martinez is no schmuck he's former Fury Champion 32 years of age 13 and five and four- one in his last five fights only losing his last fight to Jordan levit though KO TKO that's why the odds are so whack however Tom Nolan lost his last fight to Nicholas MTA so why again why oh I'm going I'm going Tom Nolan I guess it sucks he got uh smacked by mat Tom Nolan's better all around solid resume for how young he is and for how young his prma record is good amateur run though so it's not like he doesn't have any experience at all he did go six- one as an amateur and developed an eternal MMA where he actually fought some decent opponents 2-0 when he was 2 7 And1 9 and6 11 and one on Contender series again Martinez has fought some really good guys as well he's got eight Kos in his prma career was on a great win streak coming into the UFC but yeah lost your debut against Jordan L Jordan l t KO you o Martinez does have KO power more fights but not in the best promotions and his resume other than fighting in Fury where he fought some good guys and actually won a belt there Tom Nolan that's the pick big train let's go”
$1.22
The City Life Project picks Tom Nolan
“I am going to pick Tom Nolan to win this one the odds seem a little wild like Victor Martinez is no schmuck he's former Fury Champion 32 years of age 13 and five and four- one in his last five fights only losing his last fight to Jordan levit though KO TKO that's why the odds are so whack however Tom Nolan lost his last fight to Nicholas MTA so why again why oh I'm going I'm going Tom Nolan I guess it sucks he got uh smacked by mat Tom Nolan's better all around solid resume for how young he is and for how young his prma record is good amateur run though so it's not like he doesn't have any experience at all he did go six- one as an amateur and developed an eternal MMA where he actually fought some decent opponents 2-0 when he was 2 7 And1 9 and6 11 and one on Contender series again Martinez has fought some really good guys as well he's got eight Kos in his prma career was on a great win streak coming into the UFC but yeah lost your debut against Jordan L Jordan l t KO you o Martinez does have KO power more fights but not in the best promotions and his resume other than fighting in Fury where he fought some good guys and actually won a belt there Tom Nolan that's the pick big train let's go”
$1.22
PR
Pub Sports Radio picks Victor Martinez
“I'm going with Omar Sai I think we're going to be able to get him at a minus 260”
$1.18
Pub Sports Radio picks Victor Martinez
“I'm going with Omar Sai I think we're going to be able to get him at a minus 260”
$1.18
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Tom Nolan VALUE
“I'm mostly going to be on Tom Nolan this week uh then we have mang medov going against Warlley Alves minus 325 for that fight doesn't go to decision another fight that I think definitely does finish here one way or another and I think it's a good fight to Target both sides with Abusupiyan Magomedov I think he's very front loaded”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Tom Nolan VALUE
“I'm mostly going to be on Tom Nolan this week uh then we have mang medov going against Warlley Alves minus 325 for that fight doesn't go to decision another fight that I think definitely does finish here one way or another and I think it's a good fight to Target both sides with Abusupiyan Magomedov I think he's very front loaded”
PP
Prime Time Picks picks Tom Nolan
“I'm going with Tom Nolan”
Prime Time Picks picks Tom Nolan
“I'm going with Tom Nolan”
OT
otsmedia picks Tom Nolan VALUE
“I'm going with Tom Nolan”
otsmedia picks Tom Nolan VALUE
“I'm going with Tom Nolan”
LF
Liam Picks Fights picks Tom Nolan VALUE
“I'm gonna go ahead and give Tom Nolan one more chance here pick him to win this fight”
Liam Picks Fights picks Tom Nolan VALUE
“I'm gonna go ahead and give Tom Nolan one more chance here pick him to win this fight”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Nolan10-1
W
Ziam
Jun '26
W
Campbell
Sep '25
W
Borshchev
Feb '25
W
Reyes
Aug '24
W
Martinez
May '24
Martinez13-6
L
Nolan
May '24
L
Leavitt
Feb '23