UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
MM
Melissa Mullins
v Nora Cornolle
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Melissa Mullins
v Nora Cornolle
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“I'm going to be taking Melissa Mullins by decision”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.30
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Mullins’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
DB
Dylan Budka
v César Almeida
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Dylan Budka
v César Almeida
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“I'm going to be taking Dylan budka to win by submission”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.69
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close$1.71
Budka’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
JM
Jean Matsumoto
v Dan Argueta
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Jean Matsumoto
v Dan Argueta
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“I'm going to be taking Jean Matsumoto [__] whatever his name is I don't know he's never fought in the UFC before he's fought on the EVENT_DETAILS he's undefeated 14 and0 uh he's actually pretty solid though so uh yeah you might ask how do I know he's pretty solid if I've never seen him fight uh that's cuz I listen to other people do the breakdown and then I take their work no all jokes aside though daneta is [__] he lost to Miles Johns who's a little [__] [__] and um Jean Matsumoto he actually looked solid on the contender series I saw some highlights I didn't watch the whole fight but I saw some highlights and uh yeah he looks pretty clean I think he's pretty good maybe ageta could take him down but mastero uh actually looks like a pretty good fighter so I'll pick him to win by decision”
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Matsumoto’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
ND
Norma Dumont
v Germaine de Randamie
PROP · DECISION
WON
Norma Dumont
v Germaine de Randamie
PROP · DECISION
WON
“I'll take Norma Dumont you know she's got the assets you know she's got the lower half and that's what we like to see and yeah again you're picking women's MMA I don't know I'm just take whoever looks whoever I think I like to win more I guess that's what I'm going to go with nor jamont um she's got pretty strong grappling she's a big girl you know got the legs got the the thighs to her Jan deand me [__] hasn't fought in a hot minute she's coming back I don't know I just feel like she's not that good anymore she fought ages ago and she was all right back then but I feel like she's kind of [__] now so I'll take normal Jon by decision”
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CLV −9%
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Dumont’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
AM
Alex Morono
v Court McGee
PROP · DECISION
WON
Alex Morono
v Court McGee
PROP · DECISION
WON
“I'm going to take Alex morono to win a fight against Court McGee in 2024 Court McGee is literally a senior citizen uh and he got koed by Matt Brown and Jeri wells in his last two fights neither of those guys are bad but you know it's Court McGee like he's [__] and he's old as [__] and he doesn't care to be good at fighting so yeah I'm taking Alex Morono in height he actually looks good against Buckley and he didn't quit like a [__] like luk did so yeah only one of these two out of luk and morona only one of them folded like a lawn chair in the second and just fumbled and just didn't fight back and let thems lose so yeah I'm taking Alex morono to win by decision maybe he gets a TKO”
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CLV −2%
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Morono’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
BA
Brendan Allen
v Chris Curtis
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Brendan Allen
v Chris Curtis
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“I'm going to be taking Brendan Allen to win by round one submission but I don't love it and I have been kind of telling myself to take the Chris Curtis Underdog cuz I do think he's got a great chance of winning but I just kind of have a inkling I just got a feeling that Chris Curtis is just not that good at this point in his career we're not going to see the same guy that beat Brendan Allen the first time and we're not going to see the same brandan Allen that lost to Chris Curtis the first time I do think Brendan Allen's much improved and although this is annoying cuz I was like watching tape the other day trying to find reasons to pick Chris Curtis cuz whenever I start a fight I like I start my base pick as the favorite whoever's the favorite I pick them and then from there I'll then watch tape and try and figure out a reason to pick the underdog and I was trying to do that with Chris Curtis and I was watching Brendan Allen get cracked by Bruno Silva and almost dropped and then he caught him back put him away like I was watching brandan Allen looks like lose the Striking to Andre Min and then somehow win in the grappling against Manis B lose on the feet and it was just weird stuff but ultimately I think I've leared with MMA you get those performances where you're like okay this guy got out struck by [__] Andre maniz or this guy got cracked and wobbled by Bruno Silva who just lost to Chris Weidman you can't go into the MMA math of it too much you kind of just have to go all right Chris Curtis ain't that good at this point in his career he's not really knocking guys out much and I don't think he's going to win a decision against Brendan Allen um his last knockout was Yoko and Buckley at uh UFC 282 in 2022 so he hasn't gotten a knockout in like a year and a half um and Buckley that win aged pretty well but ultimately I do think Brenan Allen he took him down early in the first fight when they fought I think he can do a similar thing I I think he's a lot stronger he's gotten the man strength a little bit more when he fought him the first time he was like really young and so that's another thing I'm going to look at when you're looking at these rematches from when one guy was really young it's the same reason why I picked gaii in the rematch against porier um when a lot of people were saying oh it's going to be the same as before PO is going to smoke him and I said no Gate's improved this is a different gatei but it's the same pu I think it's the same thing I think it's the same Curtis if not worse but a much better Brandon Allen who's better with the grappling stronger better with the standup I think less likely to get cracked by Curtis and I don't think Curtis's power is there anymore or like one shot power he was scrapping with Andre baral just big Slugger Mark Andre who's not all that good um like Mark Andre had a [__] close scrap with Eric Anders who's literally an former NFL player and you're going to tell me that Chris Curtis go into a split decision with that guy you're telling me he's going to just cleanly smoke Brendan Allen on the feet I don't think so and even if on the feet he is giving him problems I do think Brandon can just mix in the takedowns I think his submission game is a lot more effective I think he's able to get control a lot easier and so I'm going to take Brendan Allen to win I don't mind the idea of a Chris ctis Underdog I would not tell you to bet Brendan Allen at 2 to1 odds but I'll take him to win as the favorite”
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Allen’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted