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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Matsumoto v Argueta Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus46 picks · conf 66/99
Matsumoto 26
20 Argueta
HPBBTT pick Matsumoto
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Matsumoto 17-2 VS 9-3 Argueta
5'6" height 5'7"
135 lb weight 138 lb
69" reach 70"
26 age 32
Orthodox stance Southpaw
5.2 strikes landed / min 2.5
40% striking accuracy 43%
5.0 strikes absorbed / min 3.4
46% striking defence 50%
1.1 takedowns / 15 min 4.4
27% takedown accuracy 35%
57% takedown defence 55%
0.4 submissions / 15 min 1.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Dan Argueta “my official pick is going to be um Dan Argueta”
PP Prime Time Picks picks Dan Argueta VALUE “I'm going with Dan Argueta Argueta” $2.35
MM MMAWeekly.com picks Dan Argueta “Dan aret I got to take them off tips on your shoulders just like this 136 136b for Dan Argueta”
MN Mayo Media Network picks Dan Argueta VALUE “my salary play of the week here let's go with Dan Argueta at 7.4k” $2.39
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Jean Matsumoto “he's facing a really good Prospect in Jean Matsumoto”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Dan Argueta VALUE “and then finally Dan Argueta at about plus 130”
WP We Want Picks picks Dan Argueta VALUE “I do think Dan aru his toughness his UFC experience his willingness to move forward and the straightup wrestling can be enough to get him a win here”
KC Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Jean Matsumoto VALUE “I'll lean Jean Matsumoto in this one”
TP The City Life Project picks Jean Matsumoto VALUE “so I'm going John Jean Matsumoto as well what's up Ethan good to see you m man I'm guessing everyone seen that 5V find line bro two seconds in the hockey game yeah New Jersey Devils New York Rangers oldtime hockey some lnah [ __ ] I love it because the NHL is a disgrace to hockey these days it's great to see some old school hockey and that Matthew rempe kid even though he lost his fight in that one keeping old school hockey alive and I mentioned him here on this channel in this stream because he does train Muay Tha in the offseason so big shout out to him degenerate Dan Arguetae I don't give a [ __ ] about picking for the pfl I will be streaming it though I will be streaming it um you're the expert on the pfl picks my man you're the expert on the pfl F good to see you degenerate Dan Arguetae hope all is well” $1.49
MM MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Dan Argueta “I'm going to go with Dan Argueta here”
DS DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Dan Argueta VALUE “give me a dog this is my favorite dog play on the card”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Jean Matsumoto VALUE $4.50
Recent form last five, most recent first
Matsumoto17-2
W Almakhan Decision · R3 Jun '26
L Basharat Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Johns Decision · R3 Aug '25
L Font Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Katona Decision · R3 Oct '24
Argueta9-3
L Matsumoto Submission · R2 Apr '24