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Morono vs McGeePreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Hugo vs FalcãoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Hugo v Falcão
Bantamweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Hugo 25-5
VS
16-4 Falcão
5'7"
height
5'6"
145 lb
weight
136 lb
72"
reach
66"
33
age
33
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.3
strikes landed / min
2.9
44%
striking accuracy
48%
3.0
strikes absorbed / min
2.6
56%
striking defence
48%
0.8
takedowns / 15 min
2.1
33%
takedown accuracy
22%
73%
takedown defence
83%
1.2
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Pedro Falcão
“I think I'm going to go with um Pedro Falcão”
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Pedro Falcão
“I think I'm going to go with um Pedro Falcão”
PP
Prime Time Picks picks Pedro Falcão VALUE
“I'm going with Pedro Falcão”
Prime Time Picks picks Pedro Falcão VALUE
“I'm going with Pedro Falcão”
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Victor Hugo VALUE
“I currently have 33% exposure to Victor Hugo”
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Victor Hugo VALUE
“I currently have 33% exposure to Victor Hugo”
WP
We Want Picks picks Victor Hugo VALUE
“I do think Victor wins this fight”
We Want Picks picks Victor Hugo VALUE
“I do think Victor wins this fight”
TP
The City Life Project picks Victor Hugo
“I do like Victor Hugo better Grappler better Striker more well-rounded more experienced and I said funny enough this will have funny enough less of a padded record than his opponent so that's who I'm picking for this one”
The City Life Project picks Victor Hugo
“I do like Victor Hugo better Grappler better Striker more well-rounded more experienced and I said funny enough this will have funny enough less of a padded record than his opponent so that's who I'm picking for this one”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Victor Hugo VALUE
“I'm gonna go with Victor Hugo to win and the odds are pretty damn close for Hugo taking on a guy Dave debuting I'm going Hugo Hugo for the W I think that Hugo probably gets a finish here she get a submission”
$1.77
MMA EXPERTS picks Victor Hugo VALUE
“I'm gonna go with Victor Hugo to win and the odds are pretty damn close for Hugo taking on a guy Dave debuting I'm going Hugo Hugo for the W I think that Hugo probably gets a finish here she get a submission”
$1.77
MM
MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Victor Hugo
“ultimately I'm leaning more towards Victor Victor Hugo here but like I said didn't have a huge amount of time to break this one down I don't have like a super strong uh read or breakdown for you guys here but I'm going to go with Victor Hugo and I'll say he either wins via kotko or probably decision I don't know if he's going to be able to submit a guy like Pedro Falcão who to me looks like a pretty solid Grappler”
MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Victor Hugo
“ultimately I'm leaning more towards Victor Victor Hugo here but like I said didn't have a huge amount of time to break this one down I don't have like a super strong uh read or breakdown for you guys here but I'm going to go with Victor Hugo and I'll say he either wins via kotko or probably decision I don't know if he's going to be able to submit a guy like Pedro Falcão who to me looks like a pretty solid Grappler”
MN
MMA Lock of the Night picks Pedro Falcão VALUE
“I do think fala is the better fighter here and I expect him to get his hand raised on the scorecards”
MMA Lock of the Night picks Pedro Falcão VALUE
“I do think fala is the better fighter here and I expect him to get his hand raised on the scorecards”
KU
Kunath picks Victor Hugo VALUE
“I like Victor Victor Hugo here and I think that he's got this guy covered on the feet”
$1.77
Kunath picks Victor Hugo VALUE
“I like Victor Victor Hugo here and I think that he's got this guy covered on the feet”
$1.77
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Victor Hugo
“backing Victor Hugo in this one”
The Rambling Dad picks Victor Hugo
“backing Victor Hugo in this one”
ZP
Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Victor Hugo
“Victor Victor Hugo is going to be the pick”
Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Victor Hugo
“Victor Victor Hugo is going to be the pick”
EB
ESPN BET picks Victor Hugo VALUE
“I do like him”
ESPN BET picks Victor Hugo VALUE
“I do like him”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Hugo25-5
L
Basharat
Oct '24
W
Falcão
Apr '24
Falcão16-4
L
Henry
Apr '25
L
Hugo
Apr '24