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Bahamondes vs GiagosMain Card · Lightweight
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Campbell vs PeekMain Card · Lightweight
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Morono vs McGeePreliminary Card · Welterweight
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VW
Brzeski vs WalkerPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Dumont vs RandamiePreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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Hugo vs FalcãoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Mariscal v Charrière
Featherweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Mariscal 17-6
VS
20-10-1 Charrière
5'7"
height
5'8"
146 lb
weight
146 lb
69"
reach
69"
33
age
30
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.8
strikes landed / min
3.9
57%
striking accuracy
51%
3.2
strikes absorbed / min
3.7
50%
striking defence
57%
3.1
takedowns / 15 min
2.5
39%
takedown accuracy
57%
72%
takedown defence
83%
0.3
submissions / 15 min
0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
PP
Prime Time Picks picks Morgan Charrière
“I will take Morgan Charrière to get it done”
Prime Time Picks picks Morgan Charrière
“I will take Morgan Charrière to get it done”
FC
Fight Fan Culture picks Chepe Mariscal
“I think Chepe Mariscal is going to have the better style overall with it being the Apex cage and the fact that he does have good throws and a little bit more UFC experience”
Fight Fan Culture picks Chepe Mariscal
“I think Chepe Mariscal is going to have the better style overall with it being the Apex cage and the fact that he does have good throws and a little bit more UFC experience”
TY
Tyler_Bet$ picks Morgan Charrière VALUE
“I like chipper here that's who I'm going with uh Morgan”
Tyler_Bet$ picks Morgan Charrière VALUE
“I like chipper here that's who I'm going with uh Morgan”
MM
MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Morgan Charrière
“I think he's going to be able to get the job done so I like Shier and I like Shier at the price currently on that money line too”
MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Morgan Charrière
“I think he's going to be able to get the job done so I like Shier and I like Shier at the price currently on that money line too”
KU
Kunath picks Chepe Mariscal VALUE
“first is Chepe Mariscal coming in at 7900”
Kunath picks Chepe Mariscal VALUE
“first is Chepe Mariscal coming in at 7900”
GM
GC MMA picks Morgan Charrière
“we're going to definitely go with cheerier in this fight”
GC MMA picks Morgan Charrière
“we're going to definitely go with cheerier in this fight”
EB
ESPN BET picks Morgan Charrière VALUE
“I'm going to go with him”
ESPN BET picks Morgan Charrière VALUE
“I'm going to go with him”
WP
We Want Picks picks Morgan Charrière VALUE
“Morgan's the better fighter in that fight”
We Want Picks picks Morgan Charrière VALUE
“Morgan's the better fighter in that fight”
WT
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Chepe Mariscal VALUE
“I'm taking chpe mariscal to get the job done”
$2.05
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Chepe Mariscal VALUE
“I'm taking chpe mariscal to get the job done”
$2.05
TP
The Club and Sub Podcast picks Morgan Charrière VALUE
“I still want to bet Morgan Charrière like if he goes plus I will I do think he's way more skilled”
$1.87
The Club and Sub Podcast picks Morgan Charrière VALUE
“I still want to bet Morgan Charrière like if he goes plus I will I do think he's way more skilled”
$1.87
DD
Dimes & Dogs picks Chepe Mariscal VALUE
“Chepe Mariscal definitely Plus”
Dimes & Dogs picks Chepe Mariscal VALUE
“Chepe Mariscal definitely Plus”
TP
Technical Knockout: MMA Podcast picks Morgan Charrière VALUE
“I'm going to take Morgan Charrière here”
Technical Knockout: MMA Podcast picks Morgan Charrière VALUE
“I'm going to take Morgan Charrière here”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Mariscal17-6
L
Sabatini
Nov '25
W
Ramos
Mar '25
W
Jackson
Aug '24
W
Charrière
Apr '24
W
Jenkins
Sep '23
Charrière20-10-1
L
Costa
Dec '25
W
Landwehr
Jul '25
L
Wood
Mar '25
W
Miranda
Sep '24
L
Mariscal
Apr '24