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Allen vs CurtisMain Card · Middleweight
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Jackson vs HernandezMain Card · Catchweight
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Mariscal vs CharrièreMain Card · Featherweight
IB
CG
Bahamondes vs GiagosMain Card · Lightweight
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Campbell vs PeekMain Card · Lightweight
AM
CM
Morono vs McGeePreliminary Card · Welterweight
ŁB
VW
Brzeski vs WalkerPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
ND
GR
Dumont vs RandamiePreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
VH
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Hugo vs FalcãoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Matsumoto vs ArguetaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Allen v Curtis
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Allen 26-7
VS
32-12 Curtis
6'2"
height
5'10"
186 lb
weight
170 lb
75"
reach
76"
30
age
38
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.9
strikes landed / min
5.8
36%
striking accuracy
51%
3.5
strikes absorbed / min
6.2
53%
striking defence
52%
1.6
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
62%
takedown accuracy
0%
53%
takedown defence
82%
1.7
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Brendan Allen
“I'm going to stick with my pick of Brendan Allen”
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Brendan Allen
“I'm going to stick with my pick of Brendan Allen”
UP
UFC FIGHT PASS picks Chris Curtis
“happy Chris Curtis fil Peter and Carl with the head again Chris Curtis calling”
UFC FIGHT PASS picks Chris Curtis
“happy Chris Curtis fil Peter and Carl with the head again Chris Curtis calling”
PP
Prime Time Picks picks Brendan Allen
“I'm going with Brendan Brendan Allennder Hernandez”
Prime Time Picks picks Brendan Allen
“I'm going with Brendan Brendan Allennder Hernandez”
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Chris Curtis VALUE
“I'm picking Chris Curtis to win”
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Chris Curtis VALUE
“I'm picking Chris Curtis to win”
JC
Jimmy Smith - Combat Sports Analyst & Commentator picks Brendan Allen VALUE
“for that I got to go with Brendan Allen I think he gets it done probably late I do think it's going to be a difficult fight either by decision or late submission is Brendan Allen”
Jimmy Smith - Combat Sports Analyst & Commentator picks Brendan Allen VALUE
“for that I got to go with Brendan Allen I think he gets it done probably late I do think it's going to be a difficult fight either by decision or late submission is Brendan Allen”
JC
Jimmy Smith - Combat Sports Analyst & Commentator picks Brendan Allen VALUE
“I gotta go with Brendan Allen”
Jimmy Smith - Combat Sports Analyst & Commentator picks Brendan Allen VALUE
“I gotta go with Brendan Allen”
FC
Fight Fan Culture picks Chris Curtis
“I think this is going to be a repeat of their last match with Chris Curtis being able to pull out with the win”
Fight Fan Culture picks Chris Curtis
“I think this is going to be a repeat of their last match with Chris Curtis being able to pull out with the win”
BG
Bettor in Green picks Brendan Allen
“I have to go with Brendan Allen and I think Allan just overall in general I think Brendan Allen is the better fighter”
$1.05
Bettor in Green picks Brendan Allen
“I have to go with Brendan Allen and I think Allan just overall in general I think Brendan Allen is the better fighter”
$1.05
TB
Totally Blitzed picks Brendan Allen
“give me give me the Brendan Allen name is decision win right here”
$1.45
Totally Blitzed picks Brendan Allen
“give me give me the Brendan Allen name is decision win right here”
$1.45
MN
Mayo Media Network picks Brendan Allen VALUE
“I like Brendan Allen ... he's affordable and has a really safe floor”
$1.95
Mayo Media Network picks Brendan Allen VALUE
“I like Brendan Allen ... he's affordable and has a really safe floor”
$1.95
TT
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Chris Curtis VALUE
“in terms of a moneyline side I think it's Chris Curtis”
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Chris Curtis VALUE
“in terms of a moneyline side I think it's Chris Curtis”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Allen26-7
W
Shahbazyan
Jun '26
W
Ridder
Oct '25
W
Vettori
Jul '25
L
Hernandez
Feb '25
L
Imavov
Sep '24
Curtis32-12
L
Orolbai
Mar '26
W
Griffin
Jul '25
L
Kopylov
Jan '25
L
Allen
Apr '24
W
Barriault
Jan '24