UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
AT
Antonio Trócoli
v Tresean Gore
MONEYLINE
LOST
Antonio Trócoli
v Tresean Gore
MONEYLINE
LOST
“the model on the other hand sees Antonio Trócoli with a big Advantage here at minus 204”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.65
→
close$2.65
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
CR
Cortavious Romious
v Gastón Bolaños
MONEYLINE
LOST
Cortavious Romious
v Gastón Bolaños
MONEYLINE
LOST
“the model also believes that he will get the win”
Line since pick
CLV +4%
◆ entry$1.56
→
close$1.50
entry: Mr Green · best in any region at publish
CR
Charles Radtke
v Matthew Semelsberger
MONEYLINE
WON
Charles Radtke
v Matthew Semelsberger
MONEYLINE
WON
“neither the bookmakers at plus 137 nor the model at plus 156 think that is enough to win this fight”
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.67
→
close$1.64
entry: Bally Bet · best in any region at publish
MA
Mansur Abdul-Malik
v Duško Todorović
MONEYLINE
WON
Mansur Abdul-Malik
v Duško Todorović
MONEYLINE
WON
“I'm just glad it favors Mansur Abdul-Malik in this matchup”
Line since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.29
→
close$1.28
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
GR
Gillian Robertson
v Luana Pinheiro
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Gillian Robertson
v Luana Pinheiro
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“I believe that Gillian Robertson will have a significant advantage and will likely earn a submission Victory”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +5%
◆ entry$1.36
→
close$1.29
Robertson’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.32
RR
Reinier de Ridder
v Gerald Meerschaert
MONEYLINE
WON
Reinier de Ridder
v Gerald Meerschaert
MONEYLINE
WON
“the book ODS have Dar Ritter as a minus 280 favorite and the model also thinks highly of him”
Line since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.37
→
close$1.36
entry: SportsBet · best in any region at publish
DG
Denise Gomes
v Karolina Kowalkiewicz
MONEYLINE
WON
Denise Gomes
v Karolina Kowalkiewicz
MONEYLINE
WON
“the prediction model also sees her as a sizable minus 190 favorite”
Line since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.22
→
close$1.21
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
CP
Carlos Prates
v Neil Magny
MONEYLINE
WON
Carlos Prates
v Neil Magny
MONEYLINE
WON
“I am glad that we are betting on Carlos Prates here”
Line since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.14
→
close$1.13
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
DB
Da'Mon Blackshear
v Cody Stamann
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Da'Mon Blackshear
v Cody Stamann
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“the bookmakers have Da'Mon Blackshear as a pretty big minus 275 favorite and the model isn't nearly as confident at minus 129”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.38
→
close$1.39
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish