UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Nascimento · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
Line since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.81
→
close$1.79
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV −8%
◆ entry$1.65
→
close$1.80
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV +4%
◆ entry$2.40
→
close$2.31
entry: Bally Bet · best in any region at publish
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.45
→
close$2.45
Goff’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.35
TP
Tecia Pennington
v Tabatha Ricci
MONEYLINE
LOST
Tecia Pennington
v Tabatha Ricci
MONEYLINE
LOST
“to me Tia Torres is the play I think she looks good right now”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.15
→
close$2.15
entry = analyst’s stated line (no snapshot at publish)
ER
Esteban Ribovics
v Terrance McKinney
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
Esteban Ribovics
v Terrance McKinney
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
“I'm going to pick him in the second round by knockout”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.62
→
close$1.66
Ribovics’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.60
VB
Viacheslav Borshchev
v Chase Hooper
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Viacheslav Borshchev
v Chase Hooper
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“I've got him in the first round”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.71
→
close$1.74
Borshchev’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.56
SW
Sean Woodson
v Alex Caceres
MONEYLINE
WON
Sean Woodson
v Alex Caceres
MONEYLINE
WON
“I am taking Sean Woodson but not betting him”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.53
→
close$1.53
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
NR
Nursulton Ruziboev
v Joaquin Buckley
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Nursulton Ruziboev
v Joaquin Buckley
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“I think raboa is going to get this knockout”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +8%
◆ entry$2.40
→
close$2.23
Ruziboev’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.50
DL
Derrick Lewis
v Rodrigo Nascimento
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
Derrick Lewis
v Rodrigo Nascimento
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
“I've got Derrick Lewis by round number one knockout”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.69
→
close$1.67
Lewis’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.62
MR
Mateusz Rębecki
v Carlos Diego Ferreira
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
Mateusz Rębecki
v Carlos Diego Ferreira
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
“I've got Mateusz Rębecki here I think decision or possibly finish along round number two or round number three”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.29
→
close$1.26
Rębecki’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $3.15
CU
Carlos Ulberg
v Alonzo Menifield
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
—
Carlos Ulberg
v Alonzo Menifield
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
—
“I'm going to take orberg and ... I'll go with olberg second round TKO”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +4%
◆ entry$1.45
→
close$1.39
Ulberg’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.48
WC
Waldo Cortes-Acosta
v Robelis Despaigne
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
Waldo Cortes-Acosta
v Robelis Despaigne
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
“I've got coosta to win this one by knockout first or second round”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −10%
◆ entry$2.80
→
close$3.10
Cortes-Acosta’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.45



