UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · breakdown
UFC 301 Data Analysis Full Card Prediction and Breakdown
MM
MMADataGuy66% hit
26 months ago
5W–2L · +0.2u
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
AC
Alessandro Costa
v Kevin Borjas
MONEYLINE
WON
Alessandro Costa
v Kevin Borjas
MONEYLINE
WON
“for my final prediction I give alisandra Costa a slightly less confident 60% probability of Victory”
Line since pick
CLV −5%
◆ entry$1.77
→
close$1.87
entry: Caesars · best in any region at publish
IB
Ismael Bonfim
v Vinc Pichel
MONEYLINE
WON
Ismael Bonfim
v Vinc Pichel
MONEYLINE
WON
“I'm going to go against the prediction models here and give ishma bonfim a 67.9% probability of Victory”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.20
→
close$1.20
entry: Bovada · best in any region at publish
JS
Joaquim Silva
v Drakkar Klose
MONEYLINE
LOST
Joaquim Silva
v Drakkar Klose
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I tend to agree with that range because diione Barbosa has a 5% higher striking accuracy she absorbs less strikes per minute and has a better striking defense”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$2.65
→
close$2.70
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
MO
Myktybek Orolbai
v Elves Brener
MONEYLINE
WON
Myktybek Orolbai
v Elves Brener
MONEYLINE
WON
“for my final prediction I give him a slightly more confident 63% probability of Victory”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.40
→
close$1.42
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
IL
Iasmin Lucindo
v Karolina Kowalkiewicz
MONEYLINE
WON
Iasmin Lucindo
v Karolina Kowalkiewicz
MONEYLINE
WON
“for my final prediction I give her a more confident 67% probability of Victory”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.25
→
close$1.25
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
JS
Jack Shore
v Joanderson Brito
MONEYLINE
LOST
Jack Shore
v Joanderson Brito
MONEYLINE
LOST
“for my final prediction I give him a much less confident 53% probability of Victory”
Line since pick
CLV −6%
◆ entry$2.48
→
close$2.63
entry: WynnBET · best in any region at publish
AP
Alexandre Pantoja
v Steve Erceg
MONEYLINE
WON
Alexandre Pantoja
v Steve Erceg
MONEYLINE
WON
“however I'm going to go opposite of the prediction models here and give Alexandre Alexandre Pantoja a 60.6% probability of Victory”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.54
→
close$1.56
entry: Bovada · best in any region at publish