UFC VEGAS 102 PREDICTIONS | FULL CARD BREAKDOWN

“give me Gregory Rodriguez to win this fight by knockout”

“give me Youssef Zalal to win this fight inside the distance and if you haven't already like the video subscribe to the channel comment something for the algorithm and if you don't mind give me a go birds in the chat more middleweights on the main card Edmen Shahbazyan fighting Dylan Budka this week the line could be wider for this fight and I'd be perfectly okay with it I don't think Dylan bu holds a spot in the UFC for all that long gassed out in under 5 minutes in his UFC debut I get it short notice came out Wrestled a lot I could see why he got tired I also think it's inexcusable and he followed that up with missing weight against Andre Petroski in a fight where he got controlled on the mat for most of it and ended up losing every round Edmen Shahbazyan faced better fighters in the division he's going to have the Striking Advantage here and probably the biggest striking advantage on the card outside of maybe one guy that we'll talk about later and as long as he's not giving up takedown early in this one and getting tired because of it I don't think the fight's going to be all that close Bud's only chance in this fight is to get it to the mat early so I think he's going to come at him fast try to get the clinch try to get these takedowns and that's where Edmund's going to be able to punish him with uppercuts knees down the middle staying on his bike one two keep moving and I think he's just going to chew him up and probably finish him before the third round give me Edmen Shahbazyan to win this fight by knockout next we have fight between Ismael Bonfim he's fighting Nazim Sadykhov this week the bonim brothers are back and I'm telling you right now they're going to go one in one I believe that so much so that if Gabriel Bonfim wins early you should just place a bet on Nazim Sadykhov I don't think both of these guys are going to win but I also don't think that happens foreshadowing no I like ishma bon in this fight because it's only UFC losses to benois santon pre porier taking his soul outside of that Bon FS looked really good he throws everything with bad intentions really good on the mat and between these two I think he just fights with a bit more intensity because sakov is very cool very relaxed in there but I think that works against them at times you see that fight against veslav borov he was getting tagged he didn't look all that urgent and he came out with a weak first round dominant second round and he almost finished the fight got 10 eight on all the scorecards or I think two out of the three scorecards but then in round three foot was off the gas and he ends up dropping that round just not really enough ferocity and even against Terence mckeny he getting dominated in the first round of that fight ends up getting to a dominant position in the second round but hangs on to the fence and it keeps him in that position and the ref just did nothing about it pretty egregious fence grabbing in my opinion that probably should have lost him the position and if you look at the Evan Elder fight in his UFC debut dude was down 20 on every judge of scorecard before a headbutt Clash of heads whatever you want to call it created a cut and ended the fight and it ended the fight in his favor it looks like a knockout on his record and he was kind of getting worked in that one it was a good fight but he was losing so Nazim Sadykhov is two and 0 and one in the UFC but not without controversy I think that ishma bonim might just be a little bit better everywhere I think he's going to give us consistent effort throughout each round mix in takedowns more effectively we saw him look great last time out against Vince Pelle where he was patient he was accurate and his last round was his best round a lot of people like Bon Fe in this one you can see that the line has swelled since open I think most people are just seeing what I'm seeing and thinking right now that he's better everywhere and he should look the part this week give me Ishmael bonf to win this fight by decision and he will probably find himself on the official betting article this week I don't think we're going to have a bon F parlay on there but we're going to have Ishmael Bon most likely on the official betting article this week the official betting article last week got cooked and I'm kicking myself in hindsight for not just putting my life on Jang way Lee because that fight was never close but that's on me should have put my life on Jan way Lee and then should have put my life in afterlife on the Eagles but we'll get back on track this week that could be found on kunth mma.com official betting article DFS strategy guide lineup Optimizer data model tools all that good stuff in the community parlay the DFS stuff is going to be AAL Al valuable this week because there's going to be no final picks video this week so just keep an eye out for that if you're on the site if you're not that's Linked In the description and in a pinned comment back to the breakdown more middleweights we've got Rodolfo Vieira he's fighting Andre Petroski this week a Grappler versus Grappler contest so what should we do we should pick the better Grappler right well I would say that Rodolfo Vieira is rightfully favored he's one of the hardest guys to stop in the sport when he gets to his spot now for Andre Petroski I think he deserves a lot of credit for his UFC run s- two in the promotion a lot of guys can't say that and most of his wins have looked pretty dominant except for that Gerald mhart win where really could have went either way he picks up a split decision W in that one and I'll never forget picking him to beat Nick maximov as the biggest Underdog in the card and he ends up beating M Nick maximov in like under 90 seconds or something like that it was great the dude is talented and where he might surprise people this week is with his ability to stay safe on the map because it's hard to say for sure if he's going to be able to do that but one thing you can say about Andre Petroski is that he spent a lot of time on the mat in the UFC very little of that has he been in a bad position now he's almost always in the driver seat and against Hado vietta I think that could be important because if vietta gets stuck on bottom it doesn't really matter how good he is these guys in MMA today are so good at keeping top position staying tight staying sticky that they're probably going to stay safe we even saw that with Tatiana Suarez and Jean Way Lee last week Jean Way Lee went to the ground with her intentionally and Suarez just wasn't able to get much going after the first round because she was stuck on her back the sweeps weren't there getting her elevated wasn't there armar from guard Guillotine attempts they weren't really there and patoski has really good control on the mat similar to like a Trey Ogden in a lower weight class so if he gets that there if he gets him to the mat he got hadalo vietta flat on his back I think he can end up riding out the round and winning that round but I think the most likely scenario is that it plays out a bit differently no one really wants to take hadalo vietta to the mat I think the only guy in the UFC who attempted takedowns against him was Dustin stus and he went 0 for three on takedown attempts and they were more just kind of like give you a look not really any intention behind it but guys don't wrestle them because they don't want to find themselves on top because they're afraid to get swept or they don't want to run into a guillotine or something crazy like that but beta will wrestle he will sell out for the takedowns even against Chris Curtis he went 0 for 20 on takedowns you think that guy's not going to do everything he can to get the fight to the mat he will and once he gets on top I think he's going to find himself getting an armed triangle here he's won most of his fights in the UF C by arm triangle I don't think Petroski has good enough striking to keep vietta at range and I don't think he's going to try to take him down in this fight either so give me the black belt Hunter here give me the better Grappler give me Rodolfo Vieira to win this fight by submission next we have a fight between Jose Delgado he's making his UFC debut this week against Connor Matthews if you haven't watched Jose Delgado fight do yourself a favor go back and watch it it doesn't take that long because he gets guys out of there like that he starts very fast he throws a lot of hard kicks to each level he never throws one punch at a time even with his kicks everything just seems to be in combination and everything looks fast getting big reactions out of his opponents as well and I think that makes all the difference here because Conor Matthews is good on the mat but on the feet I think he's going to be two steps behind and he's probably going to sell out to get this fight to the map but I think Jose Delgado is just a better athlete here and he's going to be able to keep his feet and at that striking range he probably picks apart the much slower Connor Matthews we saw Dennis bookia put him out and Dennis bazuki has had a real rough run in the UFC I think delgado's a much better Talent fighting out of one of the better gyms in the country especially for the lower weight divisions and I could just see him doing what he does best here starting fast finishing the fight early the quick start feels kind of like Terrence mckin except he seems more grounded better technique more balanc he isn't swinging for the fenes he's just making contact and he's doing it as often as possible so a lot to like about Jose Delgado this week I think he gets it done in one the best bet for this fight is under a round and a half because even if he loses Connor Matthews typically does his work in the first round by submission so last week I gave you under a half a round in the T of fight that sat at plus 230 the week before that I gave you under a half a round in the Terrence mckin fight that also ended up hitting at plus money so don't miss the boat on this one it's one and done go under one and a half rounds this week give me Jose Delgado to win by knockout next we have a fight between Angela Hill she's fighting Ketlen Souza this week talk about a movie we've seen before we've seen Angela Hill in the same situation where you've got a promising prospect on their way up they run in into Angie Hill and then they kind of get humbled because there's holes in their game she takes advantage of those holes because she's super smart and she wins the fight and they end up having to go back to the drawing board and then they end up being better because of it and if you want a more specific example this fight to me is Angela Hill Denise Gomes too D Gomes Brazilian powerful aggressive Striker taking a big step up in competition against an intelligent veteran who's been doing this for a long time what happens in that fight Angela Hill wrestles her to death and ends up winning on the scorecards same thing's going to happen here Catlin soza was giving up takedowns to marck man we're going to do a little MMA math here so just stick with me Catlin soza is giv up takedowns to Marik man Marik man is not UFC caliber she's a bad MMA wrestler and to put that in perspective for you Marik man got out wrestled by Josephine kuden Josephine cansen got out wrestled eight takedowns to zero against Gregory Rodrigues in most divisions in MMA but especially the women's divisions the better wrestler most of the time is going to win the fight Angela Hill is a much better wrestler here as far as striking goes I don't think she has as much power as soua but she's got the Muay Thai kickboxing to keep this competitive on the feet until she gets her takedowns this fight is sitting at about pickham odds right now and I couldn't believe it when I saw it I know that Angela Hill doesn't typically get love from the odds makers but I would have set the line at minus 175 Angie Hill so for us to be getting the kind of line that we're getting on Angela Hill in this situation we've seen it multiple times already so you take these young promising prospects she typically gets over on them give me Angela Hill to win this fight by decision next we have a fight between Jared Gordon fighting MH ramj RAB boev this week this was supposed to be CER Fernandez against Jared Gordon and I loved Fernandez in this matchup so now that the fight has changed I looked at this I saw that the odds were super wide and I thought Hold Up Wait A Minute something ain't right look at the odds I'm saying okay the the odds are pretty crazy we might be live here you look at the record I see this guy's fighting out of usbekistan he's much younger decent win streak thought okay we definitely got a live one here then you start to look at the fights that he's had and this dude is a can crusher of the highest order he can't walk through the non-p perishable section of the grocery store because if he does there's going to be a mess on the staff's hands he fights guys with little to no experience the guys that he does fight that are highly experienced are coming in with just some of the worst records you've ever seen for people with that many fights he hasn't fought J Ellis but I'm sure if J Ellis Came Calling this guyd be licking his chops but then you see he has a couple of L is on his record and you see the guys that he's losing to these are the only competent guys when he's not fighting mail men he's losing and that's a problem because Jared Gordon is too good for a guy like this to just come up off the couch to show up and beat Jared Gordon's going to make it a tough night for him in his debut this week and I expect him to pick up a much needed finish in this one because you look at his last five fights Jared Gordon got robbed on two bad decisions he got headbutted by he got headbutted by Bobby green and he ended up winning the other two but really he should should be wi lossless in his last five excuse me I think he ends up hurting this guy with his boxing multiple times in this fight ends up getting the fight to the mat finding a submission there just too big of a step up in competition for a guy that has a history of coming up short in similar positions so give me Jared Gordon to win this fight I think he wins inside the distance and that's going to be a way for you to get a much better line because right now you're laying some serious chalk on Flash Gordon if you just play the money line next we have a fight between Rafael Estevam he's fighting Jesús Santos Aguilar this week eston's been out of action for a while he's only had one fight in the UFC that was a win over Charles Johnson where he was hanging on for dear life took Charles Johnson down a whole lot in that fight early controlled him for most of the fight but at striking range he had NADA in his fight in Contender series though he looked dominant got the fight to the mat landed a lot of ground and pound wins by knockout early in the second now on the other side Jesus agilar has rattled off three nice wins in a row he has the quick win knockout over Shannon Ross knocked him out in I think 17 seconds with one the cleanest overhands you're ever going to see wins a split over matus m donon a very close fight obviously and then a quick submission over Stuart nickel with that Guillotine and his Guillotine is nasty he's got tons of confidence in it he's not afraid to jump it at any time we've talked about this before Guillotine shouldn't work in the UFC and they largely don't but we saw him nearly finished tsuro Tyra with it in his UFC debut just slept Stewart nickel with it as a plus 350 Underdog and did that right away early in the 1 and I'm not surprised to see him at plus money here because he tends to be the underdog in these fights but I think the line is a little bit wide because RFA El estavam he didn't look great against Charles Johnson he just Wrestled a lot and he's undefeated so you're going to expect his line to have a little bit of juice but that fight against Charles Johnson was 14 months ago he missed weight twice in the UFC already he's only fought once in the last two and a half years and he's going to be shooting for takedowns relentlessly in this fight and that means Jesús Santos Aguilar is going to be jumping Guillotine relentlessly in this fight so I think to bet on hael estam at this price is just dangerous still a lot of unknowns and Jesús Santos Aguilar he has some momentum he has the technique that's going to be good against the wrestler and I think he goes out there and I think he gets it done I think he jumps the Ghillie I think he's a silly goose this week and it's going to pay off for him probably does it early on one of the first or couple of takedown attempts coming from estom at striking range I don't think he's completely outgunned either give me Jesus Aguilar to win this fight I think he wins by submission next we have a fight between Gabriel bonf he's fighting chaos Williams this week I told you one of the the brothers are going to lose and I already picked the other one so the cats out of the bag now for Gabriel bonf to show respect the guy is a monster right 16 and one you don't get like that by just being a guy not only is he a monster but he's got more ways to win this fight than chaos Williams does but Williams has the power and that's the great separator here he hits as hard as anybody at 170 lbs he's also got the reach Advantage here strong athletic guy who's going to stuff some early takedown attempts as well we saw Bon F run through guys at the start of his UFC run but but then he gassed out and got finished by Nicholas Dolby Nicholas Dolby doesn't finish anybody so now we see the adjustment in his game okay let me use my skills let me be the talented guy I am but let me Pace myself let me be a bit more patient that's what we saw against Ana he ends up winning a decision against an Lusa but Luca has no power Luca is not dangerous Luca manages fights and doesn't even do a great job of managing fights no when chaos Williams lands he stuns guys he lands with a different type of capache and that's why I think Gabriel Bon's going to be in trouble here because it's going to be pick your poison right he might try to be more patient here like he was with angeloa or he might try to start fast like he did against everybody else either way I think he gets punished for it because if he's patient that means he's going to give chaos Williams the time and space to set his feet lean into these punches and just let his strikes go if he's aggressive from the start then Williams might catch him on his way in hurt him early and if he's hurt early I don't know if he's going to be able to contend for a whole three rounds after that either way I think Williams's boxing punching power length all that's going to serve him pretty well this week and I could see him getting Bon fee out of there as a result so give me the power give me the underdog give me chaos Williams to win this fight by knockout next we have a fight between Vince Morales he is welcoming Elijah Smith to the UFC Elijah Smith youth athleticism momentum all on his side he's finished five of his seven wins his father as his coach who was also a professional fighter at a time physically Smith looks great tall and long for the division moves pretty well very composed for 22 years old and that's why he's favored here I don't love the matchup for him but I could see why he's favored here in his fight in Contender series he fought a tough dude who ate a ton of shots kept walking him down and actually stole the third round from Smith with that pace and that pressure but Elijah Smith did enough through the first two and ended up winning that fight and giving a good account of himself but I don't feel great about seeing him lose the third round on top of that Smith's only loss came in the third round by knockout in a fight where he was winning that's concerning against a guy like Vince Morales who he's 34 right there's not a whole lot of time left right how much longer is Vince Morales going to fight two three more years at best four or five more years right so the window is not super wide open he needs to not only get his checks but he needs to get two checks here because he went three and six I think throughout his UFC run so far this is his second run in the promotion you need to get these checks man right they're not just going to give you money for showing up you're probably not getting a ton of sponsorships and stuff like that so Vince Morales highly highly motivated obviously to get the win here and he doesn't have as much time right Elijah Smith could be garbage for eight years and still not hit his prime he's fine but I think Morales presents some interesting challenges for him this week because Vince Morales is very tough right you're not going to see a whole lot of guys that are hurting him with strikes he's going to force this young man to fight a hard 15 minutes and Morales is coming out of a good gym trains right there in Vegas with some of the best Bantam weights in the UFC so he's not really traveling all that far for this and he can win this fight where I could see him having success here is by putting a lot of pressure on Smith early looking for takedowns throwing knees in the clinch against the fence these are all things we saw him do against Taylor lapilus and Taylor lapilus is world's beyond what Elijah Smith is right now lapis was a little bit too sharp a little bit too technical a little bit too clean it just landed too many strikes for Morales to really close the gap but Morales did do his best work in the third round arguably won that round and he showed a lot of toughness in that fight and that fight was in Paris in front of the lapis crown right they wanted him to win they wanted Morales to lose and that was kind of like his Second Debut so I could see there would being a lot of nervous energy same thing could be said for Elijah Smith he's not fighting in unfamiliar territory they're still in the Apex but it's UFC debut a lot of nervous energy and I think that Vince Morales is going to make him expend a lot of that energy because he's going to be looking for that early finish and when he doesn't get it he might be in trouble so I'm going to take the dog here I think Vince Morales finds a way to win just look at the betting odds man like money has come in on Vince Morales Vince Morales is normally a bigger Underdog than what we're seeing currently so I think people kind of know what's up with Elijah Smith I don't think that he's quite there yet I think Vince Morales finds a way to win give me Vince Morales to win this fight by decision next we have a fight between wter Walker and Don'Tale Mayes I'm going with Walter Walker and I don't really have to go too deep into this because Dantel Mae I just don't know what the hell I'm looking at sometimes when I'm watching him fight I never seen a guy this big come off his feet as much as he does right I see him trying to throw jumping kicks and flying knees sometimes he's jumping in the air and throwing punches I don't know what he's doing and we've talked about this before for a guy who has spent so much time in the same room as Jon Jones you would think that he's getting better but I don't think that he is now on the other side wter Walker is in a much better training situation and you might think well training with Jon Jones he's the best how could you get a better training situation than that I don't think training with Jon Jones makes you all that much better like how often did we see guys fight out of the same gym as Conor McGregor and not get much better you're much better off competing against guys at your level than you are just you're here and the guy that you train with is all the way up here you want to train with people that are right here so you can catch up and then you find some other people are right there and then you catch up and then you catch up and then you catch up and I I think that is partially why we haven't seen a whole lot of growth out of Dantel M I think volter Walker has more ways to win this fight especially with his takedowns I think he's going to get takedowns at will here I think he probably finishes this fight in the first or second round with a submission because he's going to be selling out to get to the legs get the fight to the ground dant tme is a big dude so he going to take a lot for him to get back up to his feet and I like that gym that wter Walker's training at of I think that's the same one as like Bogden gusov and um Bogden grod I believe so give me some wter Walker to get it done I think that he wins inside the first two rounds by submission and for this last one Julia ala she's fighting Jacqueline Cavalcanti this week you could just see the gray hair she's not storm she's not Rogue all right she's just getting old she's getting up there in age she hasn't fought a very long time and this woman on the right hand side of your screen is a murderer I think it's easy work for Jaclyn kaval con this week I think she's going to throw a lot more strikes she's going to land at a higher clip and she's going to put it on aula who's been out of action for way too long I didn't even know she was still involved and the betting line would suggest as much right Jaclyn cavalon is a giant favorite so it's not over complicated I think she starts us off on the right foot this week give me calante to win this fight by decision if you've made it to this point in the video thank you so so much for watching I really do appreciate it make sure you like the video subscribe to the channel comment something for the algorithm I wish you the best of luck at EVENT_DETAILS and I will see you next week”

“give me Edmen Shahbazyan to win this fight by knockout”

“give me Ishmael bonf to win this fight by decision”

“give me the better Grappler give me Rodolfo Vieira to win this fight by submission”

“give me Jose Delgado to win by knockout”

“give me Angela Hill to win this fight by decision”

“give me Jesus Aguilar to win this fight I think he wins by submission”

“give me Vince Morales to win this fight by decision”