UFC on ESPN: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · breakdown
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WT
Wellington Turman
v Jared Gooden
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Wellington Turman
v Jared Gooden
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“on picking Wellington terman to win the fight 2928 because Jared goodon believe it or not it's weird to think a guy that big tries to fight a bit like Bobby Green and I know it's not just Bobby Green style but hands down and he doesn't really have that good footwork he's light on the feet but he's not like an extremely good mover and he doesn't really have that good head movement either so at times you'll see that he'll miss a lot of the punches and because he doesn't move his head he gets clipped and that's why Coulson and Harris although he was throwing like some looping what are they called hammerfist punches a bit like Dan hooker against porier they were actually Landing a few times on Jared Gooden and Wellington Thurman in his last fight it didn't go well because he lost but in the later half of the fight he tends to the Thrive forward pressure attacking the legs and then clenching you but what I think he'll do against Gooden is take him down because Gooden faded in that fight he got tired and I don't know how because when you have your hands down low you're not using as much energy compared to having your hands up every minute moving he's got his hands down low and his cardio was off he missed the weight a lot as well that might have affected his cardio and I think Wellington terman the later the fight goes on the better it will be for him and he'll be able to mix up more of the takedowns and that's how I think you'll win 29 28 using the takedowns and then Landing ground and pound and Gooden will be too exhausted to do anything”
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Turman’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
ZR
Zachary Reese
v Cody Brundage
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Zachary Reese
v Cody Brundage
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“I am just going with Mel cuis a Costa just because of how he dealt with the last boxer Austin lingo he's going to provide a similar threat to Steve Garcia but I'd say Steve Garcia hits way harder and he uses those body shots with more power as well like look what he did to Shay and yud with that body shot he gets dropped early because he likes to mix up a kick every now and then which I think he must not do if you mix up a kick against Mel Costa because he's so much better than him at throwing the kick I know he's going to beat him to throw the kick so he has to work on that boxing not working it but keep using that boxing and it says that he hasn't got that long of a reach but if you actually look at him when he fights he's able to use his reach like to a high standard where it would make you think he has a much longer reach than he actually does but I think melaz La Costa he will slow him down because Steve Garcia holds his hands a bit higher he's going to have that body exposed for that spinning body kick and front kick by Mel Costa and that will break him down and once he's broken you down from there he will then begin to try and get you down to the ground and then wrap up like a rear naked choke attempt and that's what I think he will do over Steve Garcia I don't think he'll do what he did with lingo where he got the re naked choke attempts but he couldn't finish it I think with Steve Garcia he will get much more tired than Austin lingo because Austin lingo can't throw with as much power as Garcia and if you throw with a lot of power and you're getting countered by a body kick that will drain the cardio out of you so I am predicting Mel Costa to go out there and get a reuna choke over Steve Garcia”
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Reese’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
JT
Jalin Turner
v Bobby Green
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Jalin Turner
v Bobby Green
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“I'm actually going with the older guy Joe SEL no dra car close to win the fight because I've noticed look at that fight of Rafa Garcia that was a very telling fight for me because Rafa Garcia is going to offer a similar threat to Joe SEI in terms of the grappling but what Joe Solecki does at times is especially in that last fight he tried to use a lot of strength to get the first take down and he weren't looking to get like the over under clinch or anything he was just trying to get behind the back of the legs eventually yeah he did get the Tak down but come on Deon he's not even in the EVENT_DETAILS anymore and dra carose in his last fight the way he was able to actually deal with the grappler and actually use that game plan against him makes me confident against joei I don't think he'll KO him I think it'll be by a decision but I can see a uh type of fight where Joe S is trying to get like that double leg but because drar close I believe will be a bit stronger in the clinch he'll be able to like do some damage and then throw him off of him and then end up going on top of him but then getting Joe SEI to stand up because I wouldn't want to mess on the ground with Joe Solecki if I'm drar close but if he's confident against a girl at Rafa Garcia on the ground I wouldn't be surprised if he does it with Joe siki but if I'm draa close I'm going to try and keep it on the feet but I'm going to try and like body lock him and start grabbing like the single color tie and hitting him with like a few uppercuts because that will make it harder for him because Joe seli again he doesn't always use the clinch to get the tap down he was a looking looking to shoot towards the lower body and get takedowns instead of like building up with the body and then coming down low so yeah picking dra car close by decision”
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Turner’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
DS
Dustin Stoltzfus
v Punahele Soriano
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Dustin Stoltzfus
v Punahele Soriano
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“I'm picking P to win the fight and I don't know how to pronounce that name but the reason I'm picking him to win that fight is because Dustin stalas I don't even think he's that good what's his name Sean Strickland said he don't even know how he became a pro but that being said P hel Sano he reminds me of Tyron Woodley overhand right Merchant no not even overhand right overhand left Merchant throws the threee and then sometimes wants to throw two but a lot of the time overhand and he brings it from his hip and he doesn't really set it up with a jab which can make it even harder to land effectively but the reason I think it'll work against stus is because even though he's been knocked out once I don't think he's going to be able to survive a punch from Sano like when a fighter rushes him like Abus did he got dropped early and I know it's abs magam medov and you might think oh he's not that good now after watching his last two fights but if P hel Sano watchs you down I can see a similar situation and I think that's what he's going to do so I am going to predict in overhand left KO which puts him down”
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Stoltzfus’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
JS
Joaquim Silva
v Clay Guida
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Joaquim Silva
v Clay Guida
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“I'm picking yoim Silva to win the fight and you're going to be surprised with what I'm picking I think he'll actually Koo clay Guida and do you know how rare that is that guy's had over like 50 something fights only been KO twice but I think Yom Silva's got some power that is actually extremely underrated the only problem is when he ends up getting KO we don't get to see it but against Arman Tsarukyan look at that fight where he's being controlled on the ground with a lot of ease but when it comes to fighting in the pocket and Alan seroin is trying to trade toet to toe he's losing the exchanges and gets caught with a hook and it kind of throws his equilibrium of balance and he kind of like stumbles like he's going to go down and then he shoots through a desperation taked down and with the way that clay Goa he's an exciting fight don't get me wrong he likes to be in your fa you don't really like to go backwards he likes to pop out that jab right in front of you do a load of like faints and keep moving his head and try and swing at you it's kind of like a reckless people call it like caveman likee style not just because of the hair by the way but that's what he's going to do and I think by overthrowing in the pocket or not even overthrowing just popping out that jab and staying in front of a garc Yom silver way too dangerous like look at how we put out Jared Gooden you try and trade there toet to toe he'll come down to the body make you tired and I think because clay Goa is getting a bit older now absorbing these body shots and taking punches toad ofe is going to do a lot of wear and tear on the body like he took a lot of damage in that last fight with Rafa Garcia but Rafa Garcia don't knock people out he's a guy who finishes people with jiu-jitsu or it's going to go to a decision he ain't going to TKO you rarely and I think yum Silva's got that power where this is a perfect match up for him”
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Silva’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
SB
Sean Brady
v Kelvin Gastelum
PROP · SUBMISSION
WON
Sean Brady
v Kelvin Gastelum
PROP · SUBMISSION
WON
“I'm going with Sean Brady to win the fight and that might shock a lot of you because Kelvin Gastelum he has shown good takedown defense in the past and usually he does but the has been times for example against Robert Whitaker where that went out the window and remember Robert Whitaker is a defensive Grappler who found success imagine what Shawn Brady could do if he shoots in early on Kelvin Gastelum Kelvin gastelum's got good takedown defense but he doesn't have Elite takedown defense like a g b Muhammad therefore it had to be a standup battle and I do think Shawn Brady remember he beat a guy like Craig Jones in a grappling competition also that is a very good thing to do and you'll see when he comes up against a lot of Grapplers he tends to out grapple them with domination like Michael Kessa but when it comes to being on the feet he gets pieced up even by Michael K so the longer the fight stays on the feet Kelvin Gastelum will piece him up with combinations like look what he was doing in Chris Curtis early he might even start attacking the legs but one benefit I mentioned in another video about Shawn Brady he'll be fighting the South Pole Kelvin Gastelum and it doesn't always mean a massive thing but if you're orthodo against Southpaw and you can get that outside of your leg to the Southpaw outside then it's going to be much easier to get that single leg taked down because you don't have to cover as much distance as if he was an orthodox and now you've got to step towards the middle and not the outside of the leg to try and get the take down so that being said I think he's going to have a good job of getting that single leg down early and once he gets him down to the ground I don't think Kelvin Gastelum will be able to get back up to his feet because of of how strong Sean Brady is when he's on top of you I think he's going to try and look for a submission and I do think he is going to submit Kelvin Gastelum in round one”
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Brady’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
RF
Rob Font
v Deiveson Figueiredo
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Rob Font
v Deiveson Figueiredo
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“by am going with Rob Font to win the fight via decision three round fight Davidson Deiveson Figueiredo I think the problem with him now is he sticks using a jab especially in that last fight against Brandon Moreno and I know his eye was shutting and it's probably recovered now but Rob fun is a master of using the jab he don't even Telegraph the jab and if you're a shorter guy and you're relying on using the jab against a guy who's a bit taller than you and it's got a longer reach how are you going to land on him he's going to have to use that jab to then set up like an overhand or like another punch with his rear hand and I think he doesn't really do that as much anymore so maybe even try and grapple with font because we saw what Cory sanhan could do but now when I think of Cory San Haagen I don't think of him as just your extremely technical stri I think of him as an allrounder who's got everything even Jiu-Jitsu even though we don't really see it he's submitted Maria Batista he's done things where he almost got an inverted triangle over Dillis Shaw he is a complete fighter and it was on short notice so Rob fun I don't really want to go too much into that that Adrian YZ fight was a very highlight fight for me with the way he was able to pop out that jab Adrien YZ not moving his head that much Deiveson Figueiredo does move his head quite a bit but I think because of how fast that jab is on a shorter guy that will work perfectly in this fight it's not like he only uses the jab he follows up but Davids and Deiveson Figueiredo if he shoots in on him you've got to worry about Rob fun he has got a very good Guillotine choke in him as well so does Deiveson Figueiredo but remember when you are heavier the guillotine choke is easier to perform like if you're at flow getting a guillotin is going to be very hard because you're light and your opponent's light as well compared to if you're heavier and you can use all that weight from your arms to then pull onto the neck and crank it's easier to get the submission but I do think R font's going to end up winning like a technical striking showcase beating him with the jab you don't see a fighter like Rob font who just uses the jab over and over and over again they usually follow up a lot but Rob Font uses that jab like how a boxer would use it so yeah”
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Font’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
BD
Beneil Dariush
v Arman Tsarukyan
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Beneil Dariush
v Arman Tsarukyan
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“I'm picking banil darush to win the fight via I'm trying to think decision but I think it's going to be a very competitive one it's going to be a 48 47 decision and the reason I'm picking B darush is yes the Striking of Arman seroin you could argu better in terms of defensively and offensively but that being said after watching that last fight with jaim Silva his striking defense didn't look great he was getting countered a lot in the pocket but the same could be argued for Beneil Beneil Dariushh like he's known for not having good head movement and that backfired massively against Charles Oliva he ran through him that first high kick threw him off balance and I'm thinking armasian was a heavy kicker as well so you might be thinking if he comes out there kicking Ben der Shirley it might intimidate him and then him off if he catches him with a good one and then once he rocked game plan in the bin like when Beneil Beneil Dariushh was on the ground with Charles Oliva there was no damage done Charles Ola was winning but I think we've been Dar yeah there's people like Alexander Hernandez and uh Edon B of people who have exploded and just knocked him out but aroian in my opinion I think he's going to look to try and grapple with benil darush I don't think he's just going to want to strike because Beneil Beneil Dariushh is a very unconventional weird like type of striking where he's kind of like hunched forward got like his lead hand out ready to measure the distance before throwing it's going to be very hard to counter when you've got his hand right in front of your face to try and get into the pocket for Alan serukan and on the ground you could argue aran's a better wrestler not jiujitsu especially after watching that fight back with Isam makev when they had that fight back in the day and he was very young like 21 or something but I don't don't think the wrestling transitions will work like it worked against guys like deir because when you're on the ground with benil der because his jiujitsu is so like Elite he was in the ADC fighting Jiu-Jitsu he's very good at scrambling on the ground look at Mat scam he was like try Harding so much to get that double leg but when he got him down to the ground it was just a load of scrambling benil darus going for some like heel hook attempts and I can see something like that happened with Arman serukan and after like he experiences is Beneil Beneil Dariushh on the ground I think he might even want to come back up to the feat because if you have benil daru every minute scrambling and rolling and getting into advantageous positions you might not want to mess about there so you might want to mess about on the feet with him but by messing about on the feet with him he's got a good counter striking game as well and watching how Arman serukan was getting countered against yum Silva makes me think but Neil darus in my opinion has a good chance of actually doing well in the Striking and it's a weird type of fight I actually think this is a bad match up for Arman cukan on paper and I know you might not think it is because of how Charles Oliva ran through him but it's Charles Oliva him and makev you could argue are levels above a lot of the fighters in the division and a lot of people might not know who Arman suuki is yet which is why a lot of you might pick benil derish but I believe benil derish is actually quite a big underlook for the fight and I'm surprised about that and I'm not just going to base it off Charles Oliva because like I've mentioned he can run through a lot of Fighters look look how he ran through Justin gaii look at how he ran through Dustin Stoltzfus yeah he got dropped in that fight but apart from getting dropped he will go straight through you after that so that's what I'm saying I think Beneil Beneil Dariushh is going to win the fight on a comeback and it's going to be a decision 4847”
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Dariush’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
RB
Rodolfo Bellato
v Ihor Potieria
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
—
Rodolfo Bellato
v Ihor Potieria
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
—
“I am picking Rulo belotto to win the fight via I'm going to say second round KO because Ihor Potieria what he tends to do have his hands way too low a bit like Jared Gooden but you're at light heavyweight and he doesn't have good footwork either another one of them but Rulo Rodolfo Bellato one thing that might go against him is overthrowing if you watch the fight with vita patrino although he actually dropped patrino and that looks very good on paper he always gets caught by left hooks because he doesn't protect that other side of his chin and when he overthrows he puts himself in vulnerable positions to be counted a bit like it or ptor don't know how to pronounce that name um look at that fight with maritzio ruer he got clipped early by a cross the left hook because again both of them don't really move their head and they don't really hold their hands up the highest I'd say Rodolfo Bellato holds his hands up a bit higher in the first round but H ptor he does not hold his hands high at all and I think that's what's going to be the detriment in the fight like he'll shoot for takedowns but when he's shooting for the takedowns because Rodolfo Bellato will overthrow in the pocket I think eventually one of the strikes that he throws will land on him and because botto's got a good ground game I can see I or Petoria putting himself in a vulnerable position where he gets put in like a triangle choke or something and then that allows Rodolfo Bellato to reverse the position and get on top of him because I ptor will have to do something like vitto did where he like power bombed him down to the ground because he started messing around on the ground with Rodolfo Bellato and he's got a very good Jiu-Jitsu game like I've seen him do things like go from an armar into a triangle choke like a slick transition and he ended up not getting a submission but he almost did and then he did get a submission later on in that fight so yeah I am picking Rulo bot to win this fight via KO”
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Bellato’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted