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Alexander Volkanovski
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Procházka 2 · breakdown

Let's Discuss UFC 303 | BREAKDOWNS WITH VOLK

AV Alexander Volkanovski63% hit
24 months ago 2W–1L · -1.0u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
MP Michael Page v Ian Machado Garry PROP · DECISION LOST
“so I am going to pick maren and paage because he's the underdog so I'm literally 50/50 I don't know where to go so I'm going to go with the value here so uh you know I'm 50/50 anyone can win this fight um I think the range again last time I did the breakdown I went into detail let's see where this goes is Ian Machado Garry going to try and pressure him uh fight a different sort of style that that he's used to because I know he can is he going to cuz he's going to struggle on the feet with with um Michel ven well at least Mar V page is going to give him some problems doesn't mean he can't deal with it he's just going to give him some problems is he going to think that's the best way to approach it from me I don't know we'll see maybe we back is striking I just don't know if that's going to be enough so I'm going to let's see what it is let's see what range uh let's see what range Michael Page fights out I think he likes to fight at a very very long range so does Ian he does Ian doesn't mind being at a decent range with his kicks and that as well it's going to be interesting one let's see what happens but I'm going to go with Micha page only on the value there I'm 5050 on this so remember me saying that I'm 5050 on this um do I see a finish I I think it's going to be a decision I'm going decision win for Michael Ven and page with the value”
Analyst’s stated line $2.80
analyst’s stated line — no market snapshots for this fight
RD Roman Dolidze v Anthony Smith PROP · DECISION WON
“I'm going to go with Roman Dolidze I think Roman Dolidze is grappling and wwor wrestling is going to be too much you're going to see a lot of that you're going to see him pressing him on the cage Anthony Smith doesn't mind being there but he can be a little bit uh chill he's not going to panic but that's just going to give uh Roman Dolidze say time to to work there stay on him and just keep him pressed there look for takedowns here and there might get the taked down and then stay on top I don't think he's going to get a submission I can't see him outg grappling him that way I think sub so I think actual grappling so if they were to have a submission match would be a totally different story right where they don't really care about any of that if it was just submission only it would end up coming down to nutrition you know what I mean who who who could last longer and where the other person that and eventually get it cuz I don't think uh I don't think Roman delit even though I think he's going to out wrestle him and out grapple him in a sense with control I don't think he's going to do too much damage there maybe some ground and pound but I mean in the actual submission or jiujitsu world of it I think Anthony Smith's going to be okay I just think he's going to get controlled so I'm going to have to go with what's that paying Smith is paying $222 so SMI yeah so Smith is the underdog he proved me wrong you know there's an underdog pick there I just think Roman Dolidze ain't going to mess about could Anthony Smith catch him yeah could catch him I just think it's going to be a decision win I don't think he submits could Tiko could be a Tiko but I think it's going to be a decision again I'm going to go of a decision win for Roman delit”
Moneyline since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.73 close$1.74
Dolidze’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
AP Alex Pereira v Jiří Procházka PROP · KO/TKO WON
“I think I'm going to have to go again with Alex Pereira it's five rounds I'm going finish obviously I'm going KO I'm not going submission um you know there's a only way could be a submission I'd say Jiří Procházka cuz even if uh he went to the ground with Alex Pereira he's going to punch head through the canvas Jiří Procházka might you know if he does a bit of control if he does get to the match he will look for submissions so uh you know if if it goes to the m ground the only submission I'll see is on Jiří Procházka y's side not Alex purz it's going to be he's going to be going for the punches so I'm going to go KO TKO KO uh Alex Pereira again it's still a a pick of fight because they're so dangerous both very unorthodox both take a lot of risks so anything can happen but uh you see a lot of footage of Alex Pereira sparring everywhere all over the world boxers kickboxers MMA fighters no matter where he goes so even when he's doing tours he's sparring so he's going to have his eye in uh so you don't need to worry about that five rounds I think he's going to be going to be okay he's a very composed type fight I think he's going to get the stress levels won't get him tight he won't get fatigue so I'm going to lean towards Alex per I think he's more of a safer bet on this one for the Finish”
Moneyline since pick CLV −3%
◆ entry$1.67 close$1.72
Pereira’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted