Choose a fight to analyse
AP
JP
Pereira vs ProcházkaMain Card · Light Heavyweight
DL
DI
Lopes vs IgeMain Card · Catchweight
RD
AS
Dolidze vs SmithMain Card · Light Heavyweight
MC
MS
Chiasson vs SilvaMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
IG
MP
Garry vs PageMain Card · Welterweight
JP
MB
Pyfer vs BarriaultPreliminary Card · Middleweight
AF
CS
Fili vs SwansonPreliminary Card · Featherweight
JS
CJ
Silva vs JourdainPreliminary Card · Catchweight
PT
YG
Talbott vs GhemmouriPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
GR
MW
Robertson vs Waterson-GomezEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
MB
AA
Buday vs ArlovskiEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight
RT
CH
Tsuruya vs HernandezEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
VO
RS
Oliveira vs SimónEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
JP
Pereira vs ProcházkaMain Card · Light Heavyweight
DL
DI
Lopes vs IgeMain Card · Catchweight
RD
AS
Dolidze vs SmithMain Card · Light Heavyweight
MC
MS
Chiasson vs SilvaMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
IG
MP
Garry vs PageMain Card · Welterweight
JP
MB
Pyfer vs BarriaultPreliminary Card · Middleweight
AF
CS
Fili vs SwansonPreliminary Card · Featherweight
JS
CJ
Silva vs JourdainPreliminary Card · Catchweight
PT
YG
Talbott vs GhemmouriPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
GR
MW
Robertson vs Waterson-GomezEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
MB
AA
Buday vs ArlovskiEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight
RT
CH
Tsuruya vs HernandezEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
VO
RS
Oliveira vs SimónEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Dolidze v Smith
Light Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Dolidze 15-4
VS
38-20 Smith
6'2"
height
6'4"
185 lb
weight
206 lb
76"
reach
76"
37
age
37
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.2
strikes landed / min
3.2
42%
striking accuracy
49%
3.4
strikes absorbed / min
4.6
50%
striking defence
46%
1.3
takedowns / 15 min
0.5
42%
takedown accuracy
26%
33%
takedown defence
50%
1.1
submissions / 15 min
0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Roman Dolidze
“it is Roman Dolidze at 8,400 ... I'm on Roman Dolidze as well”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Roman Dolidze
“it is Roman Dolidze at 8,400 ... I'm on Roman Dolidze as well”
ES
etoft21 sports picks Roman Dolidze
“I'm gonna play Roman Dolidze time um I think Roman Dolidze is going to be a money line um against Anthony Smith”
etoft21 sports picks Roman Dolidze
“I'm gonna play Roman Dolidze time um I think Roman Dolidze is going to be a money line um against Anthony Smith”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Anthony Smith VALUE
“I'm going with Anthony Smith”
The Rambling Dad picks Anthony Smith VALUE
“I'm going with Anthony Smith”
US
Uselyis picks Roman Dolidze VALUE
“give me Roman Deliz at minus 150 to win this fight by unanimous decision”
$1.67
Uselyis picks Roman Dolidze VALUE
“give me Roman Deliz at minus 150 to win this fight by unanimous decision”
$1.67
CM
Comedian Romeo Mac picks Roman Dolidze VALUE
“Anthony Smith is going to lose and the reasons are simple... I got Mayra Bueno Silva 100% this is I am riding I'm riding and dying with my my Brazilian here”
Comedian Romeo Mac picks Roman Dolidze VALUE
“Anthony Smith is going to lose and the reasons are simple... I got Mayra Bueno Silva 100% this is I am riding I'm riding and dying with my my Brazilian here”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Anthony Smith
“I'm going to lean more towards Anthony Smith's um experience”
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Anthony Smith
“I'm going to lean more towards Anthony Smith's um experience”
AC
Agents Of Calamity picks Anthony Smith
“I'm going to take Anthony Smith”
Agents Of Calamity picks Anthony Smith
“I'm going to take Anthony Smith”
VS
VSiN picks Anthony Smith VALUE
“grabbing Anthony Smith the lionard uh on the money line at plus 124”
$2.24
VSiN picks Anthony Smith VALUE
“grabbing Anthony Smith the lionard uh on the money line at plus 124”
$2.24
DH
Degen Hours picks Anthony Smith VALUE
“I'm actually taking Anthony Smith at plus 125 here and that's the guy that defended the house that's the guy who defend the house um lionart yep lionart so let's go baby heart of the lion”
$2.25
Degen Hours picks Anthony Smith VALUE
“I'm actually taking Anthony Smith at plus 125 here and that's the guy that defended the house that's the guy who defend the house um lionart yep lionart so let's go baby heart of the lion”
$2.25
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Roman Dolidze VALUE
“I currently have delid in 32% of my lineups”
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Roman Dolidze VALUE
“I currently have delid in 32% of my lineups”
CM
Chi-Town MMA picks Roman Dolidze
“I'm going to go with Roman Dolidze by KO round one”
Chi-Town MMA picks Roman Dolidze
“I'm going to go with Roman Dolidze by KO round one”
TB
Totally Blitzed picks Roman Dolidze VALUE
“that boy Ricky s's gonna do it for the red white and blue he's gonna show what the Brazilian some good old USA Wrestling is I mean it's gonna be a tough one you know I got my dog Ricky Simone”
$3.00
Totally Blitzed picks Roman Dolidze VALUE
“that boy Ricky s's gonna do it for the red white and blue he's gonna show what the Brazilian some good old USA Wrestling is I mean it's gonna be a tough one you know I got my dog Ricky Simone”
$3.00
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Dolidze15-4
L
Duncan
Mar '26
L
Hernandez
Aug '25
W
Vettori
Mar '25
W
Holland
Oct '24
W
Smith
Jun '24
Smith38-20
L
Mingyang
Apr '25
L
Reyes
Dec '24
L
Dolidze
Jun '24
W
Petrino
May '24
L
Jr.
Dec '23