MMA Prophecy
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UFC 303: Pereira vs. Procházka 2
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Pereira v Procházka Light Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus101 picks · conf 85/99
Pereira 67
34 Procházka
BTPTBK pick Pereira
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Pereira 13-3 VS 32-5-1 Procházka
6'4" height 6'3"
251 lb weight 206 lb
79" reach 80"
38 age 33
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.5 strikes landed / min 4.8
54% striking accuracy 48%
3.8 strikes absorbed / min 4.0
61% striking defence 57%
0.1 takedowns / 15 min 1.7
0% takedown accuracy 65%
92% takedown defence 68%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Alex Pereira “I like Alex Pereira here I will have Alex Pereira yeah I think you have you have Alex Pereira ... think Alex Pereira wins by knockout again yeah good things I think Alex Pereira is the clear”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Alex Pereira VALUE “I'm going with Pereira to retain”
US Uselyis picks Alex Pereira “Alex Pereira y PKA has been claiming... I am going to be picking y proska to win this fight” $1.68
CM Comedian Romeo Mac picks Alex Pereira VALUE “I got I got I think we all we all agree I think this is the fight we're all in agreement with with the Finish Alex Pereira Alex Pereira Pereira” $1.67
TH TheMacLife picks Alex Pereira “tomorrow is the time for us to prove who's ready physically and ment no”
AC Agents Of Calamity picks Alex Pereira “I think Alex Pereira retains the title”
MP MMA Prophecy picks Alex Pereira VALUE “my pick is going to be Alex perrero but Alex Pereira to get the win”
MC Middle of the cage picks Alex Pereira “I'm going to lean towards Alex Pereira just because of how consistent he is just because of how dangerous he is”
MC Middle of the cage picks Jiří Procházka “I'm going Jiří Procházka cuz with the Chosen Few but also I think he might have learned from his mistake cuz people don't understand and also it makes things interesting he beats him then it's a trif factor Trilogy and I won't be the only one to knock this guy out”
VS VSiN picks Alex Pereira VALUE “I think we're going to get the same result uh which was a knockout victory for Alex Pereira so if you're not confident that just on the money line at a145” $1.69
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Jiří Procházka VALUE “Alex Pereira Jiří Procházka so the two fighters in the main event each projected for the most ownership followed by Macy Chiasson”
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Alex Pereira VALUE “Alex Pereira Jiří Procházka so the two fighters in the main event each projected for the most ownership followed by Macy Chiasson”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Pereira13-3
L Gane KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
W Ankalaev KO/TKO · R1 Oct '25
L Ankalaev Decision · R5 Mar '25
W Jr. KO/TKO · R4 Oct '24
W Procházka KO/TKO · R2 Jun '24
Procházka32-5-1
L Ulberg KO/TKO · R1 Apr '26
W Jr. KO/TKO · R3 Oct '25
W Hill KO/TKO · R3 Jan '25
L Pereira KO/TKO · R2 Jun '24
W Rakić KO/TKO · R2 Apr '24