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Tsuruya vs HernandezEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
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Pereira vs ProcházkaMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Lopes vs IgeMain Card · Catchweight
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Dolidze vs SmithMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Chiasson vs SilvaMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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Garry vs PageMain Card · Welterweight
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Pyfer vs BarriaultPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Fili vs SwansonPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Silva vs JourdainPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Talbott vs GhemmouriPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Robertson vs Waterson-GomezEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Buday vs ArlovskiEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Tsuruya vs HernandezEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
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Oliveira vs SimónEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Tsuruya v Hernandez
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Tsuruya 10-1
VS
10-5 Hernandez
5'6"
height
5'8"
125 lb
weight
126 lb
68"
reach
67"
24
age
32
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
2.3
strikes landed / min
3.9
60%
striking accuracy
45%
1.3
strikes absorbed / min
3.4
46%
striking defence
50%
5.5
takedowns / 15 min
1.6
50%
takedown accuracy
21%
50%
takedown defence
67%
2.5
submissions / 15 min
0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Carlos Hernandez VALUE
“I'm going with NOT_IN_ROSTER_1”
The Rambling Dad picks Carlos Hernandez VALUE
“I'm going with NOT_IN_ROSTER_1”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Rei Tsuruya VALUE
“my subscribers and I went with um Rei Tsuruya”
$1.25
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Rei Tsuruya VALUE
“my subscribers and I went with um Rei Tsuruya”
$1.25
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Rei Tsuruya VALUE
“that is pyton talit Rei Tsuruya Joe Pyfer Ricky Simón and Alex Pereira”
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Rei Tsuruya VALUE
“that is pyton talit Rei Tsuruya Joe Pyfer Ricky Simón and Alex Pereira”
HP
Hayjive Picks picks Rei Tsuruya VALUE
“over one and a half rounds in the Rei Tsuruya versus Carlos Carlos Hernandez fight”
Hayjive Picks picks Rei Tsuruya VALUE
“over one and a half rounds in the Rei Tsuruya versus Carlos Carlos Hernandez fight”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Carlos Hernandez VALUE
“I also think there's some upside on the Carlos Hernandez side who's very cheap and if he's able to survive these first seven and a half minutes I think the fight can get a little interesting”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Carlos Hernandez VALUE
“I also think there's some upside on the Carlos Hernandez side who's very cheap and if he's able to survive these first seven and a half minutes I think the fight can get a little interesting”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Rei Tsuruya VALUE
“I think there are some reasons to play Rei Tsuruya just with that uh grappling upside that he brings to the table”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Rei Tsuruya VALUE
“I think there are some reasons to play Rei Tsuruya just with that uh grappling upside that he brings to the table”
KC
Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Rei Tsuruya VALUE
“maybe Hernandez can avoid the submission and suya can win a decision here at like plus 265”
Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Rei Tsuruya VALUE
“maybe Hernandez can avoid the submission and suya can win a decision here at like plus 265”
KC
Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Carlos Hernandez VALUE
“I'll probably take a piece of the dog”
Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Carlos Hernandez VALUE
“I'll probably take a piece of the dog”
MM
MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Carlos Hernandez VALUE
“I'm going to predict Hernandez wins this one in an upset via decision”
MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Carlos Hernandez VALUE
“I'm going to predict Hernandez wins this one in an upset via decision”
KU
Kunath picks Rei Tsuruya
“Rei Tsuruya is going to be throwing Carlos Hernandez from one side of the Octagon to the other all night long”
Kunath picks Rei Tsuruya
“Rei Tsuruya is going to be throwing Carlos Hernandez from one side of the Octagon to the other all night long”
SJ
Shaun Jones picks Rei Tsuruya
“I might actually go with Rei Tsuruya winning this fight”
Shaun Jones picks Rei Tsuruya
“I might actually go with Rei Tsuruya winning this fight”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Tsuruya10-1
W
Gurule
May '26
L
Van
Mar '25
W
Hernandez
Jun '24
Hernandez10-5
L
Hyun-sung
May '25
W
Tumendemberel
Nov '24
L
Tsuruya
Jun '24
L
Taira
Dec '23
W
Bondar
Jun '23