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Oliveira vs SimónEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Pyfer vs BarriaultPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Fili vs SwansonPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Silva vs JourdainPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Talbott vs GhemmouriPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Robertson vs Waterson-GomezEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Buday vs ArlovskiEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Oliveira vs SimónEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Oliveira v Simón
Bantamweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Oliveira 23-4
VS
20-6 Simón
5'9"
height
—
145 lb
weight
—
70"
reach
—
30
age
33
Switch
stance
Orthodox
5.9
strikes landed / min
3.0
43%
striking accuracy
43%
2.9
strikes absorbed / min
3.8
53%
striking defence
61%
1.4
takedowns / 15 min
5.2
60%
takedown accuracy
44%
68%
takedown defence
75%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Ricky Simón
“I really like Ricky Simón ... let's go Ricky Simón ... I don't think Vinicius Oliveira has much of a chance feet and against Ricky Simón”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Ricky Simón
“I really like Ricky Simón ... let's go Ricky Simón ... I don't think Vinicius Oliveira has much of a chance feet and against Ricky Simón”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Ricky Simón VALUE
“I think Ricky Simón gets it done”
The Rambling Dad picks Ricky Simón VALUE
“I think Ricky Simón gets it done”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Ricky Simón
“my official pick and my subscribers official pick here is um I'm not going to answer that”
$1.44
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Ricky Simón
“my official pick and my subscribers official pick here is um I'm not going to answer that”
$1.44
MP
MMA Prophecy picks Ricky Simón
“I'm going to go with Ricky Simón to get a win”
MMA Prophecy picks Ricky Simón
“I'm going to go with Ricky Simón to get a win”
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Ricky Simón VALUE
“starting with the fighters that I have the most exposure to in my top 150 lineups Jiří Procházka Ricky Simón Alex Pereira Macy Chiasson Andre Fili Brian Ortega and Diego Lopes”
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Ricky Simón VALUE
“starting with the fighters that I have the most exposure to in my top 150 lineups Jiří Procházka Ricky Simón Alex Pereira Macy Chiasson Andre Fili Brian Ortega and Diego Lopes”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Vinicius Oliveira VALUE
“venicius Vinicius Oliveira certainly a pump play this week”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Vinicius Oliveira VALUE
“venicius Vinicius Oliveira certainly a pump play this week”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Ricky Simón VALUE
“my core play number one is going to be Ricky Simone 8,900”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Ricky Simón VALUE
“my core play number one is going to be Ricky Simone 8,900”
DS
Dynes Sports picks Ricky Simón
“all over Ricky Simón here ... I'll be starting my night with Ricky Simón as well”
$1.41
Dynes Sports picks Ricky Simón
“all over Ricky Simón here ... I'll be starting my night with Ricky Simón as well”
$1.41
BD
Big Dave picks Ricky Simón
“I'm going to go Ricky Simón I'm going to go TKO grounded pound”
Big Dave picks Ricky Simón
“I'm going to go Ricky Simón I'm going to go TKO grounded pound”
KC
Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Ricky Simón VALUE
“leaning towards Ricky Simón but it's not too confident but he should win that KO in two or three by the way is eight to one at FanDuel”
Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Ricky Simón VALUE
“leaning towards Ricky Simón but it's not too confident but he should win that KO in two or three by the way is eight to one at FanDuel”
MM
MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Ricky Simón
“so I'm going with the veteran Ricky Simón to uh keep his spot and turn back Vinicius Oliveira”
MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Ricky Simón
“so I'm going with the veteran Ricky Simón to uh keep his spot and turn back Vinicius Oliveira”
IP
It's Time - UFC Picks picks Ricky Simón VALUE
“I'm still going Ricky Simón uh his last fight with um you know he had two hard fights he fought Batista who clearly is good Yang sadang look where the hell he's at so to me this is actually one of my actually favorite plays on the card already on the first fight”
It's Time - UFC Picks picks Ricky Simón VALUE
“I'm still going Ricky Simón uh his last fight with um you know he had two hard fights he fought Batista who clearly is good Yang sadang look where the hell he's at so to me this is actually one of my actually favorite plays on the card already on the first fight”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Oliveira23-4
W
Fili
Jun '26
L
Bautista
Feb '26
W
Phillips
Jul '25
W
Nurmagomedov
Feb '25
W
Simón
Jun '24
Simón20-6
L
Barcelos
Nov '25
W
Smotherman
Jun '25
W
Basharat
Feb '25
L
Oliveira
Jun '24
L
Bautista
Jan '24