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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Buday v Arlovski
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Buday 14-2
VS
34-24 Arlovski
6'4"
height
6'3"
266 lb
weight
245 lb
77"
reach
77"
34
age
47
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.8
strikes landed / min
3.8
53%
striking accuracy
45%
5.5
strikes absorbed / min
3.2
52%
striking defence
57%
0.2
takedowns / 15 min
0.4
25%
takedown accuracy
35%
100%
takedown defence
76%
0.2
submissions / 15 min
0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Andrei Arlovski VALUE
“I'm going with V for why”
The Rambling Dad picks Andrei Arlovski VALUE
“I'm going with V for why”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Martin Buday VALUE
“I'm taking Martin Bond day on this one”
The Rambling Dad picks Martin Buday VALUE
“I'm taking Martin Bond day on this one”
BE
BetSam picks Martin Buday VALUE
“Martin Buday is the pick here he will get it done”
BetSam picks Martin Buday VALUE
“Martin Buday is the pick here he will get it done”
US
Uselyis picks Martin Buday VALUE
“I'm going to be taking Martin BD to win this fight not only uh by decision I think it's going to be unanimous 2928 2928 maybe maybe 3027”
$1.38
Uselyis picks Martin Buday VALUE
“I'm going to be taking Martin BD to win this fight not only uh by decision I think it's going to be unanimous 2928 2928 maybe maybe 3027”
$1.38
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Martin Buday
“my subscribers and I went with Martin Buday”
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Martin Buday
“my subscribers and I went with Martin Buday”
MP
MMA Prophecy picks Andrei Arlovski
“I'm going to pick Andrei Arlovski to get the win”
MMA Prophecy picks Andrei Arlovski
“I'm going to pick Andrei Arlovski to get the win”
VS
VSiN picks Andrei Arlovski VALUE
“Give me orlovski give me the former Champion the future Hall of Famer at plus money”
VSiN picks Andrei Arlovski VALUE
“Give me orlovski give me the former Champion the future Hall of Famer at plus money”
TM
Trips Talks MMA picks Martin Buday VALUE
“the first leg of the parlay is going to be Martin Buday money line at minus 265 against Andrei Andrei Arlovski Andrei Arlovski is just old at this point and I think Martin Buday has enough to get the win”
$1.38
Trips Talks MMA picks Martin Buday VALUE
“the first leg of the parlay is going to be Martin Buday money line at minus 265 against Andrei Andrei Arlovski Andrei Arlovski is just old at this point and I think Martin Buday has enough to get the win”
$1.38
TB
Totally Blitzed picks Martin Buday VALUE
“Charles Jourdain will win Charles I don't even know the other dude and I don't even [__] care about jordane like that Charles air jordane is how you say his name when you talk to about him on this podcast when he gets enough victories and starts being somebody I give a [__] about he could be air but air is only the great Michael Jordan shout out to Ronnie James the fraud I can't even get into that right now that the fraud Michael Jordan right now but Charles I don't know how you don't like him but he kind of knows he's not like he knows he's comfortable in his own in like he makes Tik toks about like being like a not a titled guy like he's he literally said like bro I hate being from Canada because the media literally Compares you to GSP like there's no chance of me being the next George St Alex Pereira Pereirare like I'm [__] like I'm I'm just I'm happy just being a UFC guy like [__] I ain't George St Alex Pereira Pereirare like he's just a cool ass guy I [__] with him”
$3.00
Totally Blitzed picks Martin Buday VALUE
“Charles Jourdain will win Charles I don't even know the other dude and I don't even [__] care about jordane like that Charles air jordane is how you say his name when you talk to about him on this podcast when he gets enough victories and starts being somebody I give a [__] about he could be air but air is only the great Michael Jordan shout out to Ronnie James the fraud I can't even get into that right now that the fraud Michael Jordan right now but Charles I don't know how you don't like him but he kind of knows he's not like he knows he's comfortable in his own in like he makes Tik toks about like being like a not a titled guy like he's he literally said like bro I hate being from Canada because the media literally Compares you to GSP like there's no chance of me being the next George St Alex Pereira Pereirare like I'm [__] like I'm I'm just I'm happy just being a UFC guy like [__] I ain't George St Alex Pereira Pereirare like he's just a cool ass guy I [__] with him”
$3.00
DS
Dynes Sports picks Martin Buday
“if action is a path to victory that not only would have success for Martin Buday ... not the would be the cleaner path to Victory um but again which Andrei Arlovski shows up here”
Dynes Sports picks Martin Buday
“if action is a path to victory that not only would have success for Martin Buday ... not the would be the cleaner path to Victory um but again which Andrei Arlovski shows up here”
BD
Big Dave picks Martin Buday
“I'mma go Martin Buday I guess to scare Martin Buday off I'm going to pick Martin Buday I think he's Ricky Simón Carlos Hernandez Martin Buday decision”
Big Dave picks Martin Buday
“I'mma go Martin Buday I guess to scare Martin Buday off I'm going to pick Martin Buday I think he's Ricky Simón Carlos Hernandez Martin Buday decision”
CZ
Comedian Black Zeus picks Martin Buday
“uh I'm going to go with Martin Buday uh I'm going to go with Martin Buday uh I'm going to go with yeah... yeah so I'Roman Dolidze probably go Martin Buday but I I would want to see Andrei Arlovski win”
Comedian Black Zeus picks Martin Buday
“uh I'm going to go with Martin Buday uh I'm going to go with Martin Buday uh I'm going to go with yeah... yeah so I'Roman Dolidze probably go Martin Buday but I I would want to see Andrei Arlovski win”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Buday14-2
W
Buchecha
Jul '25
W
Satybaldiev
Apr '25
W
Arlovski
Jun '24
L
Gaziev
Dec '23
W
Parisian
Aug '23
Arlovski34-24
L
Buday
Jun '24
L
Cortes-Acosta
Jan '24
L
Mayes
Jun '23
L
Lima
Oct '22
W
Collier
Apr '22