MMA Prophecy
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UFC 303: Pereira vs. Procházka 2
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AP JP Pereira vs ProcházkaMain Card · Light Heavyweight DL DI Lopes vs IgeMain Card · Catchweight RD AS Dolidze vs SmithMain Card · Light Heavyweight MC MS Chiasson vs SilvaMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight IG MP Garry vs PageMain Card · Welterweight JP MB Pyfer vs BarriaultPreliminary Card · Middleweight AF CS Fili vs SwansonPreliminary Card · Featherweight JS CJ Silva vs JourdainPreliminary Card · Catchweight PT YG Talbott vs GhemmouriPreliminary Card · Bantamweight GR MW Robertson vs Waterson-GomezEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight MB AA Buday vs ArlovskiEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight RT CH Tsuruya vs HernandezEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight VO RS Oliveira vs SimónEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Fili v Swanson Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus52 picks · conf 70/99
Fili 35
17 Swanson
BPMBUJ pick Fili
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Fili 25-13 VS 30-14 Swanson
5'11" height 5'8"
145 lb weight 146 lb
74" reach 70"
36 age 42
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.9 strikes landed / min 4.7
37% striking accuracy 50%
4.1 strikes absorbed / min 3.9
51% striking defence 59%
2.1 takedowns / 15 min 1.0
43% takedown accuracy 50%
70% takedown defence 63%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 0.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Andre Fili “I'm gonna pick Andre Fili here gonna say Andre Fili”
ES etoft21 sports picks Andre Fili “probably crazy for betting on Andre Fili it's what I've been hearing so um Andre Fili's but I think Andre Fili is gonna be able to get sometimes um but I I think Andre Fili is gonna with Andre Fili”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Cub Swanson VALUE “I'm taking Andre phy here”
BE BetSam picks Andre Fili VALUE “give me Andre Fili I think he wins this fight on the scorecards”
US Uselyis picks Andre Fili “I got Andre Fili at a minus 235 to win this fight” $1.43
CM Comedian Romeo Mac picks Andre Fili VALUE “I think fely's the better fighter” $1.41
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Andre Fili “my official pick and my subscribers official pick is um Andre phy” $1.53
MP MMA Prophecy picks Andre Fili VALUE “Andre Fili to get the win in this one probably by KO”
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Andre Fili VALUE “starting with the fighters that I have the most exposure to in my top 150 lineups Jiří Procházka Ricky Simón Alex Pereira Macy Chiasson Andre Fili Brian Ortega and Diego Lopes”
TB Totally Blitzed picks Andre Fili VALUE “I was going to say fely had a gap in his career let me tell you I'm going for fely really Cub is coming to fight which is great he's already got a fight in the Hall of Fame and all that Cub's coming to fight he's got nothing to gain he's got nothing to lose what is he gonna gain by beating him beside a victory in the check you're not going for Championship he's coming to fight feel is coming to win I think he's on I don't know where I remember he's he's somewhere in the record books for like either wins at a weight class or I don't know for sure I just know that he's somewhere in the record books or knocking on the record books because the last time he fought somebody they brought it up and I remember that when I because I I I lowkey kind of [__] with Co Swanson because he's been around for a while I've remember seeing him in like UFC 1 i' never seen his ass in UFC to I like who is this guy but but uh I believe he is that's the only thing you say he has nothing to fight for I would say the only thing I think he like he might be having that's still keeping him going is that like he is knocking on the door of some records and he is he has talked about it openly like yeah like like not that like oh that's what I want but like oh yeah like he is aware that he he is knocking on the door no no I feel you Romeo I would um I think ph's the fighter” $1.41
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Andre Fili VALUE “I don't mind some Andre Fili he's going against Cub Swanson”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Cub Swanson VALUE “Cub Cub Swanson 7,600 another live dog here in Cub Cub Swanson Andre Fili I question the chin I question the durability uh we know with um you know the power is the last thing to go Cub Cub Swanson 40 years old but I still think he can hit hard I think he's live to knock out Andre Fili in this fight”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Fili25-13
L Oliveira KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
L Delgado Decision · R3 Mar '26
W Rodriguez Decision · R3 Aug '25
L Costa Submission · R1 Feb '25
W Swanson Decision · R3 Jun '24
Swanson30-14
W Landwehr KO/TKO · R1 Apr '26
W Quarantillo KO/TKO · R3 Dec '24
L Fili Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Dawodu Decision · R3 Aug '23
L Martinez KO/TKO · R2 Oct '22