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UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · breakdown

UFC 324 Breakdowns + Free Picks

SC System Capping
5 months ago 4W–1L · +2.3u 5/6 graded
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
JG Justin Gaethje v Paddy Pimblett MONEYLINE WON
“You know, right off the bat, uh I see value already on Justin Gaethje at this price.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.00 close$3.00
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
PP Paddy Pimblett v Justin Gaethje PROP · SUBMISSION LOST
“If I were to bet Paddy Pimblett, it most likely could be by submission.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.48 close$1.48
Pimblett’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
SO Sean O'Malley v Song Yadong PROP · DECISION WON
“and that's why I'm looking his way if I had to bet aside here. Uh and I probably lean more by decision.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.52 close$1.53
O'Malley’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
NS Natália Silva v Rose Namajunas PROP · DECISION WON
“if you had to bet aside on this fight, I would take Natália Silva. Natália Silva by decision.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.29 close$1.30
Silva’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
MJ Michael Johnson v Alexander Hernandez PROP · DECISION VALUE
“I would lean Natália Silva by decision”
Moneyline since pick CLV +6%
◆ entry$2.40 now$2.27
Johnson’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
WC Waldo Cortes-Acosta v Derrick Lewis MONEYLINE WON
“The lean is going to be Waldo Cortes-Acosta... Waldo Cortes-Acosta is going to be the play for podcast purposes.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.33 close$1.33
entry: Bally Bet · best in any region at publish