MMA Prophecy
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UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett
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JG PP Gaethje vs PimblettMain Card · Lightweight SO SY O'Malley vs YadongMain Card · Bantamweight WC DL Cortes-Acosta vs LewisMain Card · Heavyweight AA JS Allen vs SilvaMain Card · Featherweight NK MB Krylov vs BukauskasPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight UN DF Nurmagomedov vs FigueiredoPreliminary Card · Catchweight AP CJ Perez vs JohnsonPreliminary Card · Catchweight NS RN Silva vs NamajunasMain Card · Women'S Flyweight JH DF Hokit vs FreemanEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight AG AP Gautier vs PulyaevPreliminary Card · Middleweight AF TM Fugitt vs MillerEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE We back O'Malley over Yadong · Bantamweight Our fair value$1.44 Coolbet pays above fair $1.51
Where to back O'Malley best price · region · EV vs fair $1.44
US Bovada $1.50 +4%
UK William Hill (UK) $1.50 +4%
EU Coolbet $1.51 +5%
AU PointsBet (AU) $1.50 +4%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.51
Consensus347 picks · conf 99/99
O'Malley 268
79 Yadong
FDCBIP pick O'Malley
How it endsmethod calls · O'Malley · crowd line
KO/TKO 12 $5.53
Decision 34 $1.95
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
O'Malley 19-3 VS 22-9-1 Yadong
5'11" height 5'8"
135 lb weight 136 lb
72" reach 67"
31 age 28
Switch stance Orthodox
5.4 strikes landed / min 4.5
55% striking accuracy 43%
3.7 strikes absorbed / min 4.0
56% striking defence 55%
0.2 takedowns / 15 min 0.7
33% takedown accuracy 40%
82% takedown defence 72%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 0.2
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market69% vs 66%
Consensus268 of 347 analysts
Sharpest angleO'Malley by Decision — 34 of 46 method calls
Recommendation Back O'Malley @ $1.51 · fair $1.44 +5% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
FI FightCircuit picks Song Yadong VALUE “I think they got NOT_IN_ROSTER_12 by decision”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Song Yadong
LI liltoaster picks Song Yadong “Song Yadong is gonna win.”
FI FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Sean O'Malley “I got Sean O'Malley. He's going to go out there. I think he's going to knock Song Dong out.”
FI FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Song Yadong “I think Sonia Dung is going to take uh take Shawn Miley out.”
BI BigMoneyMMA picks Sean O'Malley “I'm going to go with Patty Pimble... I could see this fight playing out a lot like that... Round three submission.”
CO CouchWarrior1 picks Sean O'Malley “I think Sean O'Malley wins a uh a pretty competitive 2928 victory against him.”
TH ThaGamingDojo picks Song Yadong VALUE “I'm going for Song Yadong on that one.”
TP The Touch Gloves Podcast picks Song Yadong VALUE “I am picking Shawn Ali to win this one.”
MM MMAJac. picks Song Yadong VALUE “I'm going to pick Ali by three round decision.”
BS Betting Weekly Studios picks Song Yadong VALUE “I'm likely to do like Song Yadong as a fighter. And I finishing upside for Song Yadong”
OP Overdogs Podcast with Mike Perry picks Song Yadong “I'm going to go with uh Song Yadong.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
O'Malley19-3
W Zahabi KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
W Yadong Decision · R3 Jan '26
L Dvalishvili Submission · R3 Jun '25
L Dvalishvili Decision · R5 Sep '24
W Vera Decision · R5 Mar '24
Yadong22-9-1
W Figueiredo Submission · R2 May '26
L O'Malley Decision · R3 Jan '26
W Cejudo Decision · R3 Feb '25
L Yan Decision · R3 Mar '24
W Gutiérrez Decision · R5 Dec '23