MMA Prophecy
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UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett
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JG PP Gaethje vs PimblettMain Card · Lightweight SO SY O'Malley vs YadongMain Card · Bantamweight WC DL Cortes-Acosta vs LewisMain Card · Heavyweight AA JS Allen vs SilvaMain Card · Featherweight NK MB Krylov vs BukauskasPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight UN DF Nurmagomedov vs FigueiredoPreliminary Card · Catchweight AP CJ Perez vs JohnsonPreliminary Card · Catchweight NS RN Silva vs NamajunasMain Card · Women'S Flyweight JH DF Hokit vs FreemanEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight AG AP Gautier vs PulyaevPreliminary Card · Middleweight AF TM Fugitt vs MillerEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE We back Hokit over Freeman · Heavyweight Our fair value$1.38 Coolbet pays above fair $1.45
Where to back Hokit best price · region · EV vs fair $1.38
US Bovada $1.44 +4%
UK William Hill (UK) $1.40 +2%
EU Coolbet $1.45 +5%
AU Bet Right $1.44 +4%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.41
Consensus194 picks · conf 99/99
Hokit 153
41 Freeman
CITBBT pick Hokit
How it endsmethod calls · Hokit · crowd line
KO/TKO 28 $1.57
Submission 1 $44.08
Decision 3 $14.69
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Hokit 9-0 VS 7-1 Freeman
6'1" height 6'1"
233 lb weight 260 lb
74" reach 78"
28 age 34
Orthodox stance Southpaw
— strikes landed / min —
— striking accuracy —
— strikes absorbed / min —
— striking defence —
— takedowns / 15 min —
— takedown accuracy —
— takedown defence —
— submissions / 15 min —
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market73% vs 69%
Consensus153 of 194 analysts
Sharpest angleHokit by KO/TKO — 28 of 32 method calls
Recommendation Back Hokit @ $1.45 · fair $1.38 +5% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MA Mustafa Abutair picks Denzel Freeman VALUE “I'm going with Denzel Freeman. Reason why Denzel Freeman is a natural heavyweight. ... I got Denzel Freeman by TKO in the first round.”
FI FightCircuit picks Denzel Freeman VALUE “I'd like to see the Denzel Freeman upset. I think it's possible, but more likely than not, Hog's going to win, but I'm sure for Denzel Freeman”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Josh Hokit
LI liltoaster picks Josh Hokit “I'm I'm going with Josh Hokit on this one.”
LI liltoaster picks Denzel Freeman “You're going Denzel Freeman.”
FI FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Denzel Freeman “I am actually going to go with Denzel Freeman by KO.”
FI FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Josh Hokit “I'mma go with um Josh Hokit. Um, I just think he wins.”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Josh Hokit VALUE “I'm gonna go with Josh Hackett.”
CO CouchWarrior1 picks Josh Hokit “I have Josh Hokit to win by uh Grandon Poundo uh first round.”
JA Javianfighttalk picks Denzel Freeman VALUE “Denzel Freeman is really good.”
FF Frozen Fists picks Josh Hokit VALUE “Probably probably a Josh Hokit KO here, man.”
FF Frozen Fists picks Denzel Freeman VALUE “Morgan Denzel Washington Denzel Freeman, bro.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Hokit9-0
W Lewis KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
W Blaydes Decision · R3 Apr '26
W Freeman KO/TKO · R1 Jan '26
W Gimenis KO/TKO · R1 Nov '25
Freeman7-1
L Hokit KO/TKO · R1 Jan '26
W Bujło Decision · R3 Nov '25