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BEST PRICE
We back
Bukauskas
over Krylov · Light Heavyweight
Our fair value$1.75
Virgin Bet · UK
$1.75
Where to back Bukauskas
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.75
US
DraftKings
$1.77
+1%
UK
Virgin Bet
$1.75
-0%
Virgin Bet
$1.75
-0%
EU
Pinnacle
$1.81
+3%
AU
TAB
$1.75
-0%
PM
PM
Polymarket crowd exchange
$1.82
How it endsmethod calls · Bukauskas · crowd line
KO/TKO
28
$2.00
Decision
4
$14.03
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Krylov 30-11
VS
19-7 Bukauskas
6'3"
height
6'3"
205 lb
weight
204 lb
78"
reach
78"
34
age
32
Orthodox
stance
Switch
4.4
strikes landed / min
4.4
55%
striking accuracy
47%
2.5
strikes absorbed / min
2.8
44%
striking defence
64%
2.3
takedowns / 15 min
2.2
38%
takedown accuracy
30%
53%
takedown defence
58%
1.4
submissions / 15 min
1.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market57% vs 55%
Consensus118 of 196 analysts
Sharpest angleBukauskas by KO/TKO — 28 of 32 method calls
Recommendation
Back Bukauskas @ $1.81 · fair $1.75
+3% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
FI
FightCircuit picks Nikita Krylov VALUE
“I think NOT_IN_ROSTER_4 is going to finish him either way”
KM
Keep it a Buck Media picks Nikita Krylov
LI
liltoaster picks Modestas Bukauskas
“So, um he's gonna I think he's going to get knocked out.”
FI
FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Modestas Bukauskas
“give me Boas by decision.”
FI
FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Nikita Krylov
“I'm picking Nikita Krylov just because this, he has if you, if you, I mean, he he has to win this fight.”
BI
BigMoneyMMA picks Modestas Bukauskas
“I'm going to go with Modestas Bukauskas.”
CO
CouchWarrior1 picks Modestas Bukauskas
“he's going to win by uh probably a second round uh second round um TKO finish.”
SP
SportsLine picks Nikita Krylov
“Give me Nikita Krylov to prove people that he his opponent Modestas Bukauskas.”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Modestas Bukauskas
“want to lay a minus number on Modestas Bukauskas ... Modestas Bukauskas probably knocks him out.”
DM
DMan&MariPulls picks Modestas Bukauskas
“I'm leaning Modestas Bukauskas on this one.”
MK
Morning Kombat picks Modestas Bukauskas
“I actually think Modestas Bukauskas is gonna win”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Krylov30-11
W
Bukauskas
Jan '26
L
Guskov
Jul '25
L
Reyes
Apr '25
W
Spann
Mar '23
W
Oezdemir
Oct '22
Bukauskas19-7
W
Edwards
May '26
L
Krylov
Jan '26
W
Craig
Sep '25
W
Cuțelaba
May '25
W
Cerqueira
Feb '25