MMA Prophecy
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UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett
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JG PP Gaethje vs PimblettMain Card · Lightweight SO SY O'Malley vs YadongMain Card · Bantamweight WC DL Cortes-Acosta vs LewisMain Card · Heavyweight AA JS Allen vs SilvaMain Card · Featherweight NK MB Krylov vs BukauskasPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight UN DF Nurmagomedov vs FigueiredoPreliminary Card · Catchweight AP CJ Perez vs JohnsonPreliminary Card · Catchweight NS RN Silva vs NamajunasMain Card · Women'S Flyweight JH DF Hokit vs FreemanEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight AG AP Gautier vs PulyaevPreliminary Card · Middleweight AF TM Fugitt vs MillerEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE We back Fugitt over Miller · Welterweight Our fair value$5.64 Caesars pays above fair $6.00
Where to back Fugitt best price · region · EV vs fair $5.64
US Caesars $6.00 +6%
UK LeoVegas $5.40 -4%
EU Unibet (NL) $5.40 -4%
AU TABtouch $5.40 -4%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $5.88
Consensus177 picks · conf 99/99
Fugitt 32
145 Miller
TSTMRB pick Fugitt
How it endsmethod calls · Fugitt · crowd line
KO/TKO 3 $7.51
Decision 1 $22.54
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Fugitt 10-5 VS 6-0 Miller
6'1" height 6'2"
171 lb weight 170 lb
77" reach 77"
37 age 26
Southpaw stance Orthodox
4.7 strikes landed / min
45% striking accuracy
4.5 strikes absorbed / min
51% striking defence
2.0 takedowns / 15 min
29% takedown accuracy
50% takedown defence
0.0 submissions / 15 min
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market18% vs 17%
Consensus32 of 177 analysts
Sharpest angleFugitt by KO/TKO — 3 of 4 method calls
Recommendation Back Fugitt @ $6.00 · fair $5.64 +6% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
FI FightCircuit picks Ty Miller VALUE “I have Ty Miller by knockout”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Ty Miller VALUE
UC UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Adam Fugitt “a small bet on Adam Fugitt as well.”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Ty Miller
LI liltoaster picks Ty Miller “Ty Miller. I'm going time also.”
LI liltoaster picks Adam Fugitt “Adam Fugitt. Adam Fugitt is about to destroy.”
FI FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Ty Miller “Ty Miller. You know, I'm just taking Sorry. just taking him by um decision.”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Ty Miller “the way he's built is stupid, bro. I I ain't trying to say nothing about nobody, no other man figure, but that [__] look like a [__] Greek god or some [__] bro.”
BI BigMoneyMMA picks Adam Fugitt “I'm going to go with Ty Miller by decision.”
BI BigMoneyMMA picks Ty Miller “I'm going to go with Ty Miller by decision.”
CO CouchWarrior1 picks Ty Miller “it's a welterweight belt that's probably going to go to a decision. Um, and it's uh going to be on Ty Miller's side, I believe.”
MT Mic Talks picks Adam Fugitt “Adam Fugitt, NOT_IN_ROSTER_6 NOT_IN_ROSTER_7. NOT_IN_ROSTER_8 Ty Miller, NOT_IN_ROSTER_61 NOT_IN_ROSTER_10 NOT_IN_ROSTER_11”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Fugitt10-5
L Miller KO/TKO · R1 Jan '26
L Dulatov KO/TKO · R1 Jul '25
W Quinlan Decision · R3 Jun '24
L Malott Submission · R2 Jun '23
W Kinoshita KO/TKO · R1 Feb '23
Miller6-0
W Fugitt KO/TKO · R1 Jan '26