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UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett
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JG PP Gaethje vs PimblettMain Card · Lightweight SO SY O'Malley vs YadongMain Card · Bantamweight WC DL Cortes-Acosta vs LewisMain Card · Heavyweight AA JS Allen vs SilvaMain Card · Featherweight NK MB Krylov vs BukauskasPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight UN DF Nurmagomedov vs FigueiredoPreliminary Card · Catchweight AP CJ Perez vs JohnsonPreliminary Card · Catchweight NS RN Silva vs NamajunasMain Card · Women'S Flyweight JH DF Hokit vs FreemanEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight AG AP Gautier vs PulyaevPreliminary Card · Middleweight AF TM Fugitt vs MillerEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE We back Allen over Silva · Featherweight Our fair value$2.95 NordicBet pays above fair $3.25
Where to back Allen best price · region · EV vs fair $2.95
US Bovada $3.20 +8%
UK Unibet (UK) $3.00 +2%
EU NordicBet $3.25 +10%
AU Bet Right $2.95 -0%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $2.86
Consensus340 picks · conf 99/99
Allen 133
207 Silva
DCSBRM pick Allen
How it endsmethod calls · Allen · crowd line
KO/TKO 1 $26.59
Decision 8 $3.32
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Allen 20-4 VS 16-3 Silva
5'8" height 5'7"
145 lb weight 145 lb
70" reach 69"
32 age 29
Southpaw stance Orthodox
3.5 strikes landed / min 3.7
41% striking accuracy 41%
2.9 strikes absorbed / min 2.3
61% striking defence 68%
0.9 takedowns / 15 min 1.2
47% takedown accuracy 43%
75% takedown defence 51%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 1.3
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market34% vs 31%
Consensus133 of 340 analysts
Sharpest angleAllen by Decision — 8 of 9 method calls
Recommendation Back Allen @ $3.25 · fair $2.95 +10% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MA Mustafa Abutair picks Jean Silva VALUE “I think Arnold Allen goes out there, grapples the [ __ ] out of Jean Silva, and we get the same result as last time. I think Jean Silva gets overly confident. I think he hurts Arnold Allen, and I think Arnold Allen grapples him for three rounds for a decision win.”
IM Industry Plant MMA picks Arnold Allen VALUE “Arnold Allen is so or off a long layoff”
IM Industry Plant MMA picks Jean Silva VALUE “Jean Silva will do um get that victory over Arnold Allen, get Dererick or Waldo Cortes-Acosta potentially how long think Jean Silva when he slimes out good guy”
WB WeeklyMMA Breakdowns picks Jean Silva VALUE “I believe Jean Silva will get a done”
FI FightCircuit picks Arnold Allen VALUE “I think I got Jean Silva winning decision”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Arnold Allen
LI liltoaster picks Arnold Allen “I'm going Arnold Allen.”
FI FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Jean Silva “Uh I got Jean Silva on this one.”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Arnold Allen VALUE “I think Arnold Allen could be him.” $3.20
BI BigMoneyMMA picks Arnold Allen “Final prediction Arnold Allen by decision.”
CO CouchWarrior1 picks Arnold Allen “I do also see G uh Arnold Allen uh grinding away to a nice uh 2928 victory.”
JA Javianfighttalk picks Jean Silva VALUE “I feel like he's the Jean Silva.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Allen20-4
W Costa Decision · R5 May '26
L Silva Decision · R3 Jan '26
W Chikadze Decision · R3 Jul '24
L Evloev Decision · R3 Jan '24
L Holloway Decision · R5 Apr '23
Silva16-3
W Allen Decision · R3 Jan '26
L Lopes KO/TKO · R2 Sep '25
W Mitchell Submission · R2 Apr '25
W Baghdasaryan KO/TKO · R1 Feb '25
W Dober KO/TKO · R3 Jul '24